Comments on: Insider: Seasonality and MTGO https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Thu, 27 Dec 2012 22:02:45 +0000 hourly 1 By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36682 Sat, 03 Nov 2012 13:10:03 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36682 In reply to Nicolás Granelli.

Mutavault has seen a similar drop in price as compared to Vendilion Clique, looks like a buy to me.

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By: Nicolás Granelli https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36678 Sat, 03 Nov 2012 01:16:15 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36678 Great article, great targets.

I bought Karn and Grove last week, and also mutavault. The most important reason was speculation, but I also bought the shell to build both decks, tron and modern fish 🙂 is hard not to mix speculation and playing…

What do you think about mutavault?

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By: craw https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36671 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 17:43:47 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36671 In reply to Matthew Lewis.

Ah yeah, I see now. I picked up a few Inkmoth Nexus’s as well back when you wrote that article. I forgot about the peak being in Standard, that’s a really good point. I always take off the Set Release graphics on MtgGoldfish.com, but I’m starting to think I should just leave them there so that these things are more apparent =). Anyways I think I got some for 2tix each a couple weeks ago, nice to know that its already gone up a little.

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By: ari m https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36670 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 17:36:46 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36670 ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh ok ok lol thank you so very much for the explanation!! much appreciated! 🙂

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By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36669 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:27:43 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36669 In reply to Matthew Lewis.

And thanks for the feedback! If there’s other terms or ideas that get used a lot without much explanation, I’d be happy to explore those ones too.

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By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36668 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:24:37 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36668 In reply to Matthew Lewis.

Also, the price peak for Inkmoth Nexus occurred while it was Standard legal and Modern is not as popular as Standard. So demand will be less than when it was in Standard. Supply will also be less because MBS is no longer being opened. However, I think the lower demand will be the larger effect, which will limit prices on this card.

Compare with the chart for Blinkmoth Nexus, often used in Affinity as well.

http://www.mtggoldfish.com/card/Blinkmoth%2BNexus

Mid season peak is over 10 tix, and this is for a card that’s been out of print for a long time. If Modern and MTGO keep growing, Inkmoth Nexus might get there next year, or the year after that, but it’s highly doubtful it cracks 10 tix this season.

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By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36666 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:14:01 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36666 In reply to ari m.

Highly recommend this article as primer

http://www.quietspeculation.com/2011/08/the-price

In general, the prices for digital cards are different and do not follow the same economic forces as paper prices. You must discard the assumption that prices should be similar and start from there.

Event Tickets are used to enter drafts and constructed events. Typically it costs 2 Event Tickets (or tix) and the booster packs to enter a draft with prizes. Constructed events with prizes are typically 6 tix. The secondary market uses tix as an in game money to enable buying and selling with a standardized unit of account instead of trading cards for cards.

Hope this helps!

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By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36665 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:08:41 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36665 In reply to craw.

I like Inkmoth Nexus and stocked up on these last month just as Scars block rotated out. It bottomed at around 1.5 tix. I talked about watching the price of Inkmoth Nexus in my Rotation article back in September.

At the current price of 3.22 tix, it’s not so attractive as a spec target for me and I can’t recommend it as a buy. We don’t really know what price it will get to mid season, but right now I’d guess 4-5 tix.

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By: ari m https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36664 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:07:24 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36664 k im officially confused…after going on mtgo…WHAT THE HELL IS A TICKET??!! lol just goes to show you how much of a newbie i am lol

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By: ari m https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36662 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:02:26 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36662 like tarmogoyf as an example… theres no place in the world that lets them go for less than 80-85 NM online..how is it 50 tix? maybe im crazy lol

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By: craw https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36661 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:01:05 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36661 Great article, I think I said it in the forums but I love the breakdown of the seasonality like this. When I was just starting to speculate the concept of “seasons” was really confusing to me, but the way you explain it makes everything crystal clear.

I thought it was interesting what you said about Affinty getting hated out and people wanting to play the BUG Poison deck. If I remember correctly, a version of it did well recently at one of the SCG modern tourneys. I was wondering what you thought about “Inkmoth Nexus” as a target. It looks like its around 2tix, but its been as high as 11 when it gets hot. I think the card has a lot of potential: its a 4 of in every Poison deck which has shown itself to be mildly competitive, its casually attractive (poison), and it’s not likely to see a reprint for a long time (because of the set specific poison mechanic).

Thanks!

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By: ari m https://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/11/inside-seasonality-and-mtgo/#comment-36660 Fri, 02 Nov 2012 16:00:04 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=32997#comment-36660 all these cards are at its highest prices ALREADY all over the web… i dont get it…the prices you’re stating that they are now,are they trade prices??

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