And this is not a perfect link either. Maybe wordpress is doing something funny. Here I’ve converted to a shorter link. Hopefully this solves it.

http://tinyurl.com/ate9zfs

Ok, not sure what is going on with the links. The article is second from the top on this page, and is titled “Why Redemption Matters”

http://www.quietspeculation.com/author/yossarian/…

Whoops! Hopefully this work.

http://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/08/insider-w…

Matt, I think that is the wrong article!

Great, thanks Matt!

Supernova is a retailer that operates a number of bots on the MTGO classifieds. They buy and sell rares from all sets. They also publish buy and sell prices for all rares and booster packs on their website. Check them out at supernovabots.com. The ratio of digital to paper is a way to gauge relative value in sets. If you read some of my past articles, I go into more depth around the idea of the ratio and what it means.
http://www.quietspeculation.com/2012/08/insider-w…

Sorry I’m trying to understand what your comparing the SCG prices to, what is Supernova?

Great question. First of all, Event Decks no longer appear on MTGO. Thragtusk, for instance, is only ‘printed’ in M13 online. They do bring the theme decks online, such as Izzet vs Golgari and Koth vs Venser, so what about these. Well, they are not redeemable, and so they carry less value than cards from a ‘real’ or redeemable set.

Sometimes theme decks do put a cap on prices. Like, if one or a few cards can be sold to make up for the cost of the entire deck, then you’ll have people cracking these packs to sell. Some examples of this include the Mirage block decks that had Natural Order in them. I can’t remember what the deck sold for, but Natural Order was going for 40+ tix.

Another example was with Stoneforge Mystic when it was in Standard. Cracking the theme deck it appeared in was worth it just for the copies of SFM, so this put a cap on the price of this card.

Long story short, no, you don’t need to be as cognizant of sealed products. Much more important are Fall rotation, redemption as an ongoing theme, seasonality (buying and selling for Modern season has been consistently profitable) and changes to payouts and formats. These are the dominant themes and if you are a patient, working with these themes can be a great way to make a few tix.

My question is this: do the duel deck series have a noticeable impact on MTGO prices for certain cards (I’m thinking thragtusk here). Do I need to be as cognizant of sealed products online as I am IRL?