Comments on: Insider: Recent Market Inflation

By: Jared Elick

Jared Elick — Sat, 02 Mar 2013 22:53:24 +0000

In reply to Justin Waller. Importantly, Thrun is a third set mythic. There were not humongous amounts of them in stock, and the price was not concrete. We started to buy because it started to sell. We temporarily exacerbated it, and then helped the price lower back down. It would have gone up either way. We helped it settle to where it is now.

By: Justin Waller

Justin Waller — Fri, 01 Mar 2013 02:12:28 +0000

The problem with speculation is that the price shoots up because its speculators buying all the cheap copies of the cards not stores. The price isn’t rising due to demand, thrun is not the 4 of bloodbraid is nor is jund the tier 1 menace it was with bbe in the deck. Yet thrun sells for close to 300% of his value 2 weeks ago. If speculators dont buy out cheap copies of the cards then the prices dont raise exponentially.

By: James Erickson

James Erickson — Fri, 01 Mar 2013 00:58:26 +0000

I would add an uptick in use in Karn (Modern FNM) and adoption in Legacy 12-Post to the O-Stone movement. That said, excellent calls across the board!

By: Jose Gasque

Jose Gasque — Thu, 28 Feb 2013 05:28:18 +0000

Yup, I also think that’s the way it would work. The way it happens now is, I don’t even get the card that I had ordered, before the card spikes, before the spike has plummeted, and I’m only making something like $4/hr for my work on shipping these cards out. I think the real ones who are benefiting are the people who already have the cards like the stores, because they’ll immediately ship out at the higher rate.

By: Jared Elick

Jared Elick — Thu, 28 Feb 2013 00:41:31 +0000

In reply to Jose Gasque.

We certainly exacerbate the situation at the get go. The way I see it, without us, it would go like this:

Thrun sells out at a slower rate, and climbs over a week, not 2 days.

Someone lists at $25 still when it sells out, to try to extort latecomers

People much more slowly undercut prices, and it lowers by around $.50-$1/day, instead of $4-5/day

Stores that have stock of the card jack their prices up to TCG values($19.99/$14.99), while they are still in stock

I think that would drive the price up more permanently.

By: Jose Gasque

Jose Gasque — Wed, 27 Feb 2013 22:50:42 +0000

I agree with your point that we drive the prices down quicker, but I also see speculation as part of the reason that the spikes go up so quickly. Speculation appears to me, to amplify these anomalies.

By: Justin Smith

Justin Smith — Wed, 27 Feb 2013 15:31:36 +0000

Thrun is not an EDH card, unless you’re using him as a Voltron general. I don’t know about the kitchen table people, but my guess is he’s not hugely popular there either.