Comments on: Insider: When to Sell on MTGO https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Tue, 18 Jan 2022 02:46:03 +0000 hourly 1 By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50503 Wed, 03 Apr 2013 13:40:25 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50503 In reply to David Hunt.

It might work out, but I can’t advocate for this strategy and will not be pursuing it myself. In fact, I have been actively selling my SOM block mythics.

ZEN block was much more redeemable than SOM block I think. First, you have the fetch lands in Zendikar, then Jace in Worldwake, and then a popular casual set in Rise of the Eldrazi. For this reason, I think it’s reasonable to think that SOM block will not see a similar price pattern over the final months of redemption.

This could change if we start to see large price increases for SOM block in paper. If this happens, then redemption demand will increase, leading to price increases for digital mythics. If you start seeing price increases in paper, this will be a signal that buying SOM block mythics might be a good move.

On the other hand, if we see a drops in the price of digital cards, maybe from cube payouts or something, then redeemers will have incentive to redeem more sets.

Just remember, there’s always another opportunity down the road. Feeling like you missed the boat can be tough, but if you waste your bullets on marginal opportunities, then you won’t be ready to make a big score that can lay the foundation for a nice portfolio.

]]>
By: David Hunt https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50433 Tue, 02 Apr 2013 20:28:14 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50433 Do you think it is too late to get on the train for the current crop of rotated redeemable mythics? The good eternal playable ones from ZEN block continued to go up well in to Core Set season and up until redemption cutoff. I may not make as much of a gain as if I had bought up those mythics last October when they rotated, but there should be some profit to be made on those if I buy now and hold until August or September, right?

]]>
By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50124 Sun, 31 Mar 2013 18:18:30 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50124 In reply to Cyprien Ganassali.

Here’s an answer, but it rambles, a lot.

Well, if you can predict how the standard metagame to be mostly the same over the next two months, then waiting for DGM’s release will ensure you don’t over pay for Seer.

For me, I just want to make sure that by MM and Magic 2014’s release, that I have a good stock of all the potential breakout mythics from RTR block. If I am overpaying somewhat for Duskmantle Seer today, I’m ok with that.

Getting Seer for 3.25 to 3.5 tix is a fine price in my opinion. I’d rather buy some now when I can, instead of having to scramble for some down the line, but that’s my style. You should work out how you want to operate and go from there.

Bank roll consideration also plays a role. If you have no excess tix, better to wait for a slam dunk. If RtR boosters were still 3.33, I’d suggest putting all your tix into those. But now that they’ve risen, I don’t see any slam dunk specs any more. When tix are precious, you want to be sure of what you are doing with them. Duskmantle Seer is not a slam dunk and you might be able to use tix elsewhere on better specs.

]]>
By: Cyprien Ganassali https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50122 Sun, 31 Mar 2013 17:23:55 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50122 Great article Mat’ đŸ™‚

Do you think it’s preferable to buy Duskmantle Seer copys now or wait for DGM prerelease ?

]]>
By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50111 Sun, 31 Mar 2013 14:23:06 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50111 In reply to Lee Bosley.

Thanks for the response! I’ll be sure to keep it regularly updated.

Rares like Birthing Pod aren’t affected as much by redemption, and so I agree that it will be ‘safe’. The only thing holding back birthing pod on mtgo is the relatively complex nature of pod decks, and the lack of an arbitrarily large looping ability on mtgo. I’d be a buyer if it gets down into the 2 tix range which appears to be the floor.

]]>
By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50110 Sun, 31 Mar 2013 14:19:27 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50110 In reply to JonyFerreira.

I think Chas Andres compared Duskmantle Seer to Falkenrath Aristocrat, which I feel is apt. There’s currently no home for Duskmantle Seer, but if it does find a home, it’s a 10-15 tix card in next year’s Standard.

Aurelia’s Fury is seeing play in Block and seems to be stable at around 4 tix. If it stays at that price into DGM, it will see a dip in price due to release events. At that point, I’ll be interested in buying more.

]]>
By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50109 Sun, 31 Mar 2013 14:17:08 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50109 In reply to Alexander Carl.

Thanks for reading, and commenting, =)

]]>
By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50108 Sun, 31 Mar 2013 14:16:13 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50108 In reply to Tian Yi Wang.

Thanks for reading.

]]>
By: Matthew Lewis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-50107 Sun, 31 Mar 2013 14:15:50 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-50107 In reply to Mansonian.

Thanks! I think it will be a regular feature going forward.

]]>
By: Lee Bosley https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-49839 Fri, 29 Mar 2013 23:40:37 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-49839 “If you feel this would be a helpful section, let me know in the comments!” – Yes. Yes, it is.

I see potential in Duskmantle Seer. He’ll find a home this summer, I’m confident.

I’m also picking up the odd Birthing Pod whenever I can. It ultimately feels safe, regardless of redemption.

]]>
By: JonyFerreira https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-49792 Fri, 29 Mar 2013 15:03:51 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-49792 Great article. The portfolio update was very cool

I really like Duskmantle Seer and was already watching him IRL but dislike Aurelia’s Fury.

]]>
By: Alexander Carl https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-49790 Fri, 29 Mar 2013 14:49:25 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-49790 Thanks Matt! Once again, a very helpful resource!

]]>
By: Tian Yi Wang https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-49771 Fri, 29 Mar 2013 12:16:02 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-49771 Thanks for the article! The ressources shown are very helpful.

]]>
By: Mansonian https://www.quietspeculation.com/2013/03/insider-when-to-sell-on-mtgo/#comment-49759 Fri, 29 Mar 2013 11:40:28 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=36916#comment-49759 Hello, great article, as usual. Also like the portfolio update !

]]>