Comments on: Insider: [MTGO] Early Picks for the Modern Season https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Tue, 18 Jan 2022 02:37:39 +0000 hourly 1 By: Artifactsnlands https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79766 Thu, 30 Jan 2014 04:56:28 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79766 Love the oracle of muy dala pick. Easy easy 300% with all the brewing going on and the depressed price from the flashback drafts. Thanks for sharing a nice set of picks!

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By: Alexander Carl https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79715 Wed, 29 Jan 2014 15:35:57 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79715 Great article, btw.

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By: Charles https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79691 Wed, 29 Jan 2014 10:36:39 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79691 Thanks for the input and the article Sylvain

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By: Lost Coast Wizards https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79669 Wed, 29 Jan 2014 04:54:15 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79669 Now this is why I pay the money here. Thanks for an informative article with hard data to back.

I have been acquiring Huntmasters, Thundermaws, Elspeths, Lotus cobras, Surgical Extraction, Ravagers, Blood Moons (which is the weakest on the picks) and the Scars lands.

This article re-enforces that these have been good specs. Thanks for all the hard work you guys put in.

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By: Alexander Carl https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79636 Tue, 28 Jan 2014 20:56:04 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79636 I do not think the event decks will be released on MTGO. I thought there was confirmation of this in one of the MTGO posts.

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By: Sylvain Lehoux https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79624 Tue, 28 Jan 2014 17:40:11 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79624 Everything being equal, I would always like to be more diversify. Unless you already hold many Modern positions, I would rather have 10 difference cards than 1 Liliana.

It is likely that Liliana will keep climbing and will be higher in June that now, but it’s hard to imagine Liliana at 150+ tix. At the opposite, it’s fairly easy to imagine all the “smaller” cards doubling or more.

I’m also always trying to invest a more or less similar amount of tix in each specs, let’s say 30 tix of each Modern cards you want. This way, all your positions have the same weight.

For the fetch, I don’t really now but if some are in the event decks, their price will drop for sure and would put a cap on the fetch prices.

That is a sufficient reason to trade them for safer and more productive positions.

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By: Mark Pomerantz https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79623 Tue, 28 Jan 2014 17:28:39 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79623 I think you have a few too many picks in this article for me. Diversification is good, but it’s more inventory to manage, and more opportunity cost to sink. So I’d be a little more selective with picks personally. For example, it’s hard to think of a card less likely to spike than figure of destiny in my opinion. And shadow of doubt spiked something like 600% in the past year, and doesn’t really see that much play… How much more do you really expect it to go up? Good read overall though

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By: Charles https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79622 Tue, 28 Jan 2014 17:21:33 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79622 Thanks for the quick response, well if you had the said big cards, would you swap them out directly for those cards on your list? It seems as liliana is the most potent to climb so if someone offered you a mix of the cards you wanted of equal value, you would do so? Whats your feelings on modern event deck possibly have a fetch in it, would you trade them off after the next protour to be safe or just hang on to them through the event deck release and into the modern season?

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By: Sylvain Lehoux https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79616 Tue, 28 Jan 2014 15:08:59 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79616 Hi Charles, Thank you for reading,

For a pure speculative point, I stay away from all the cards that are already high (Karn, Liliana, Fetchlands…) for 2 main reasons:

1- They are likely to go up during the Modern season, but even a jump from 45 to 75 represents “only” a 66% profit with the best case scenario. All the cards I presented here have from 50 to 100% profit if they only reach their previous highest.

2- These high priced cards may dip a little bit during BnG events, you may want to acquire them a that point.

Scars lands are a good opportunity, I mentioned three of them, those with the most potential for me.

Personally, I’m really focusing mainly in the cards I’m talking in the article. To me, they simply represent the best chances for profit when Modern season comes.

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By: Charles https://www.quietspeculation.com/2014/01/insider-early-blossoms-of-the-modern-season/#comment-79608 Tue, 28 Jan 2014 13:56:11 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=43090#comment-79608 Hi, I was wondering what your thoughts are on Karn, Liliana, birthing pod, the fetchlands and the scars lands? Some of them are up and have been climbing, do they have a more room to grow and would you still trade into those or trade them out for the cards in your articles? Can any of them take that thoughtseize jump from 45 to 75?

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