Overall I think their still room to grow for many of them.

If Pauper really becomes popular again I expect prices to cycle like Modern, ups and downs, more or less frequent, and not all cards following the same rhythm. I don’t necessarily expect pauper cards to be really sensitive to other set releases, I don’t foresee a big deep for DTK or MM2015 for instance.

Since we are talking about commons, flashback drafts will have a huge impact on prices and I would really sell all my pauper once we know about flashback drafts.

As for when selling, looking at their previous record high is one factor to consider. If you can sell with a 200% profit that’s also a strong incentive to sell. For instance, with Mental Note, a card with no record of high prices, my target is 1 Tix (having it bought at 0.25 Tix, that more than 200%).

And since I think prices will cycle (assuming pauper see some demand) selling with moderate profit to rebuy few weeks/months later and sell again later on is a viable strategy to capitalize efficiently on moderate profits (~30-50% profits).

Yes, you are correct on Medomai. Most mythic rares from redeemable sets end up at 1+ tix after rotation. Therefore, Medomai at 0.5 tix or less is a good bet for a long term profitable trade. It’s almost 100% that one will be able to sell this card for 0.5 tix or more at some point in the months after THS rotates.

There’s definitely some assumptions underlying this spec, so I’d recommend looking through my article archives and reading up on redemption and the mtgo economy.

Historically I’ve avoided foils. It was a market I didn’t understand well and had a higher cost of entry, so I stuck to studying non foils.

Lately though, starting with my own experiment with KTK foil mythics (check the forums for my post), I have been trying to get a feel for the foil market. My thinking now is that there is a strong argument to be made that foil mythic rares are (selectively) a good target for speculators. I’ll explore this some more when DTK is released. Broadly, avoid the mythic rares that show up in the seeded packs as these are bound to be relatively abundant and thus cheaper. And buy any other foil mythic rares that seems reasonably priced.

Thanks for reading, and commenting!

Also, anything in regard to foils? Or are those traditionally avoided in MTGO when it comes to speccing based on redemption?

Well written article as always. All the articles recently by all the writers have been top notch lately.