Comments on: How Rare is an Expedition? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2015/09/how-rare-is-an-expedition/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Fri, 25 May 2018 14:17:56 +0000 hourly 1 By: Nicky B https://www.quietspeculation.com/2015/09/how-rare-is-an-expedition/#comment-1962742 Fri, 25 May 2018 14:17:56 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=66322#comment-1962742 ive been holding onto 2 misty’s, and they’ve been at 250 range for awhile. Thinking of finishing the play set eventually. Thoughts on this? Also, what should i be paying for one? the two i currently have i pulled myself from packs and have been cased. Mint.

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By: Adam Henderson https://www.quietspeculation.com/2015/09/how-rare-is-an-expedition/#comment-1959938 Sun, 06 May 2018 04:35:19 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=66322#comment-1959938 And Scalding Tarn Expedition is now at $350. Looks like the price did eventually balance out at the preorder price.

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By: Mats Karlsson https://www.quietspeculation.com/2015/09/how-rare-is-an-expedition/#comment-1364131 Thu, 01 Oct 2015 21:23:06 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=66322#comment-1364131 In reply to Jason.

You have to factor in Magic Online redemption for the price setting of the Khans fetches though.

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By: Jason https://www.quietspeculation.com/2015/09/how-rare-is-an-expedition/#comment-1359888 Wed, 30 Sep 2015 18:32:05 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=66322#comment-1359888 In reply to TargetAcquired.

If there’s 2 expeditions per case, then the chances of getting any individual expedition in any given box is…

2 expeditions per case / 6 boxes per case / 25 expeditions = 1.33%

Likelihood of getting a particular FOIL Khans Fetch was ~1.7%.

Therefore, if the same amount of boxes are opened, there would be 1.33 expedition Polluteds for every 1.7 Khans Foil Polluteds = 78%.

Plus, BFZ will be opened more than Khans. So, it’s be *VERY* easy to see a world in which there are an EQUIVALENT amount of Expeditions Deltas, Floodeds, Windswepts, Woodeds, and Bloodstaineds as there are Khans Foil versions.

Therefore, I can’t possibly imagine that the Expedition Delta and Strand stay in the $200-$300 range when their equally rare Khans counterparts are $80-$90. They’ll certainly hold some kind of premium, but not 2-3x. I bet the Khans Foils drop to $70, and the BFZ Expeditions for Delta and Strand eventually stabilize around $100-$120. Tarn and Misty might be higher around $150-$175, but those will be much much much much more common than the Zendikar set foils.

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By: TargetAcquired https://www.quietspeculation.com/2015/09/how-rare-is-an-expedition/#comment-1359830 Wed, 30 Sep 2015 18:13:47 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=66322#comment-1359830 In reply to Mike Lanigan.

Scalding Tarn, Misty Rainforest, Polluted Delta, and Flooded Strand may hold these obscene prices or at least close to them just by being blue. They may come down to $250 or so but the demand for these alone should keep them pretty high. The rest will fall but they are still going to be expensive for the most played ones.

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By: Mike Lanigan https://www.quietspeculation.com/2015/09/how-rare-is-an-expedition/#comment-1359697 Wed, 30 Sep 2015 17:31:30 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=66322#comment-1359697 I’m so glad to be right on track with this one. I hope everyone who read my article, saved their money for the inevitable drop in price. I have seen ebay auctions going for these crazy prices though so some believe these cards are worth as much as $350.

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