Comments on: Insider: MTGO Foil Mythics, Part 3 – An Investment Strategy to Play MTGO for Free

By: James Chillcott

James Chillcott — Thu, 22 Oct 2015 03:13:29 +0000

Great article Matt. Nice work. One of the factors I felt you touched on without stating explicitly is that the bad mythics tend to rise a lot more than the good ones. I suspect this may be for the same reason that random $2 casual paper cards turn into $10 cards given enough time: ie The Closet Effect. The Closet Effect refers to a lack of media coverage and player chatter surrounding a mediocre card leading to most copies being hidden away in collections, closets and under beds, forgotten and ignored. In these cases demand eventually outstrips supply and prices rise. With random KTK foils mythics like Hooded Hydra and Pearl Lake Ancient, my guess is that there are plenty of those cards lying around in online collections, but most players aren’t aware they’re worth anything, and as such, the bots have trouble getting a hold of them, leading to the spikes once supply peaks pass. Thoughts?

By: sheva

sheva — Sat, 26 Sep 2015 01:46:33 +0000

Hey Matt! Great article! Very insightful. I was just wondering is the prices you recommend we buy foil mythics from BFZ apply currently with Origins, or if its too late to adquire them. Thank you so much for your work!

By: Matthew Lewis

Matthew Lewis — Sat, 19 Sep 2015 16:20:19 +0000

In reply to koen_knx. Yes, prices can get very wild in the first week of pre releases and release events. Players should be looking to buy in the later half of events when availability will be higher and prices more stable.

By: Matthew Lewis

Matthew Lewis — Sat, 19 Sep 2015 16:19:13 +0000

In reply to Wood Young. This article series looks at foil prices in particular, and paper foil prices are much more stable than the regular versions. I don't expect the pattern to be any different, and if regular mythic and rare prices do tank, this will actually accelerate the flow of value to foil mythic rares because the regular rares will be so cheap.

By: koen_knx

koen_knx — Sat, 19 Sep 2015 12:50:06 +0000

Little comment : during FRF prerelease (first evening) i opened a foil Monastery Mentor; I sold it on the spot for over 30 tic. The next morning it was down to 15. Now it could be sold for 25.

So do sell the opened mythics on the first prereleasenight,i’d say, after that period it seems Matt got it figured out.

Thanks for the articles.

By: Wood Young

Wood Young — Sat, 19 Sep 2015 12:31:06 +0000

I really enjoyed the read, great series!

I’m curious if you think the expeditions will have any effect on this theory. Let’s assume that this will be one of the most opened sets ever and the paper mythic and rare prices will tank. Will this make redemption less desirable and thus make the MTGO mythics follow a different price pattern?