Comments on: [MTGO] 1 Year, 100 Tix – 365 Days Later https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Thu, 14 Jan 2016 21:54:36 +0000 hourly 1 By: Lee Bosley https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1590472 Thu, 14 Jan 2016 21:54:36 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1590472 I was amazed at how well you did last year. It was fascinating!

Thanks for showing us what’s possible, I followed it every week.

I too made profit, but not even close to the percentage you made! Well done.

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By: Sylvain Lehoux https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589521 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 21:45:05 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589521 Mtggoldfish is probably the most important tool. For cyclical positions, such as Modern mostly, having a visual on price history is the determinant factor on when to buy and sell.

For Standard positions, or full sets for instance, on the other hand it’s more a matter of knowing the “seasons” of when it’s best to buy and sell. Here as well Mtggoldfish charts help but only as a comparison tool. For instance, I’ll compare mythics from different sets to guide me in the determination of the best selling price. Or to compare with other sets as to when such cards or full set price started declining or rising.

Another helpful “tool” is trying to get as much info from anywhere else: forums, tweeter, tournament result, announcement, etc… Getting more info help you make faster and better decision, or reinforcing a thought you may have.

I often look at daily gainers/losers on mtggoldfish. This is great to know what’s happening and to be very familiar with a lot of prices. When something looks odd I try to get more info on why it happens. But I also always keep in mind the main trend I was following for each spec. Sometime prices jump or fall only to go back on track within a week, so price trends don’t always dictate everything.

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By: Sylvain Lehoux https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589519 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 21:44:37 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589519 In reply to Maxiewawa.

In these two graphs the “other” axis do not represent anything. Dots are spreadout only for a better visualization. If dots were not in a “cloud” shape you would only see a straight line without the possibility to really distinguish dots from one another. It gives should a better idea of the density and as to where are the bulk of the points.

By “We” I mean myself and the QS editorial staff, to make sure “we” deliver the best format. So it will be something in addition to what Matt is doing with the MTGO market report.

Off course I don’t mind any questions, no problem at all.

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By: Bertrand Lamarre https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589458 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 20:24:22 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589458 Still looking through older articles but something I have the least used (if ever, intentionally anyways) are quick flips as I am interested in diversifying. Any quick tips on tips, how you choose the targets which tools if any are being used etc?

On first glance the price history seems to play a very bog role on this and trying to find the cards that bottomed for some reason seems to be the first thing to look into. Anywho cheers!

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By: Bertrand Lamarre https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589453 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 20:21:20 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589453 In reply to tim brenner.

I also also looking forwards to a 1k roll. Guess we will be seing the entire roll now instead of limiting himself to a smaller than max. Will still be interesting but will not be the same since probably cannot be done by most followers at the same time. Also the bankroll having a very big importance on what is to be invested in/or how will give a different outlook. Eager to watch it unfold regardless.

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By: Maxiewawa https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589431 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 19:30:42 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589431 Well done. I wish I had followed more closely now! I don’t even follow you on Twitter, I have a year and 500 tix worth of regret!!!

A few questions though.

Your two dot graphs only have one axis. So the first, with % gains, is vertical, with Eye of Uginnat the top, but they are spread out horizontally as well. What’s the horizontal axis signify? And the next graph is horizontal, with no vertical.

Also, in the last paragraph, you mention “We are working on something similar.” Is “we” equal to you and Matt? His article today says you two aren’t writing together any more, but yours makes me think you are.

I hope you don’t mind so many questions, I’m obviously very interested in MTGO speculating, and data visualisation too.

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By: Sylvain Lehoux https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589323 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 16:54:04 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589323 In reply to jonathan prichard.

Thanks for the comment Jonathan! and thank you for following.

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By: Sylvain Lehoux https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589322 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 16:53:03 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589322 In reply to Gabe.

Thanks for the comment. Clearly yes the Standard results got skewed because of the premature end of this project. However, at the same time of the year with M14 and M15 specs for instance (rares and mythics)I was much more positive, probably around 50% with M15 positions. I think that Jace might also be partly responsible for sucking up a lot of value of ORI cards, which is about to change…

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By: Sylvain Lehoux https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589319 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 16:50:17 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589319 In reply to tim brenner.

The project in preparation will involved a much larger bankroll, much larger than 1K.

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By: tim brenner https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589314 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 16:42:08 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589314 Would love to see the same general idea but with a 1K or so bankroll

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By: Gabe https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589300 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 16:14:19 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589300 Great analysis from beginning to end. The most interesting statistic from this report, is average % return based on format. It really shows that investment focus should be on modern/pauper and not standard (I do think the fact you had to prematurely close positions at the end definitely skews the standard numbers some).

Your work on this project has helped me tremendously with my own mtgo speculation. Thank you for all the work you’ve done.

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By: jonathan prichard https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/01/mtgo-1-year-100-tix-365-days-later/#comment-1589136 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 11:53:14 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=68383#comment-1589136 absolutely loved this project. it is one of the main reasons I joined QS and gave a real life speculation project for the smaller bankroll investors like myself. thanks for all the work you put in it definitely paid off!

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