Comments on: Insider: Does Pre-Rotation Hype Last? A Case Study

By: Chad O'Brien

Chad O'Brien — Fri, 18 Mar 2016 18:22:38 +0000

I am continuing to hold onto the hope of Oblivion Sower in standard. Once fetches rotate, mana will change. Oblivion Sower stealing mana seems relevant…

By: Luca Ashok

Luca Ashok — Fri, 18 Mar 2016 17:27:54 +0000

In reply to Matthew Lewis. Thanks for the kind words. I sold my Dranas at about 7.7 apiece yesterday. Interested to see whether that ends up saving or losing me money.

By: Luca Ashok

Luca Ashok — Fri, 18 Mar 2016 17:20:04 +0000

Hi Kazooki,

You are absolutely correct. I went about things in a very unscientific way. Here is what I did:

I went through the following sets: BFZ, ORI, DTK, FRF, and KTK, and I looked through the charts of every mythic in those sets and looked for any spikes in price about a month prior to a new set being released. Since I didn’t use a quantitative method, I’m sure I missed a card here or there, although I truly was trying to be unbiased in my analysis.

As you mentioned, Jace did spike from 34 to 45 a week before BFZ was released and in that case the hype was definitely sustained. Although I was more interested in spikes occuring about a month prior to the set release since that is the situation we are facing right now.

Next time I will try going straight to the data and using a quantitative method! I certainly have the capability. I appreciate the feedback!

By: Matthew Lewis

Matthew Lewis — Fri, 18 Mar 2016 11:50:27 +0000

Great work, and a reminder that hype rarely lives up to the reality. Those holding Drana would do well to take some profits I think.