Regarding Eldritch Evolution in Elves… I think it will be rather potent, as it’s basically Natural Order in the canonical Modern shell, but given that it’s essentially forcing out Chord of Calling in order to be played, I don’t think it will be too busted (and getting it countered hurts like hell). It will make them more of a tournament mainstay, but the deck is overall too vulnerable to the likes of Pyroclasm/Anger/Verdict to ever be Tier 1 for long. Abzan Company is also potent, but whether it chooses to incorporate Evolution at all (and what the fallout of that decision is) remains to be seen.

I’m very confused why we are still talking about these bans given how balanced the format is. The Modern PT was removed in no small part to decelerate the banning process and, ultimately, to create a format with less ban pressure. Based on that, there’s no reason to ban cards from decks just because those decks are beating our pet strategies. Tron is going to beat control. Infect is going to beat Tron. Abzan Company is going to beat Infect. These kinds of cyclical metagames are a part of Modern, and we need to stop advocating for bans on some other part of the cycle. If a deck is legitimately overperforming, we’ll see it and advocate for action. If a deck is just merely “good” and happens to be beating our strategies, however, we need to tone down the ban talk.

A T3 karn is essentially a turn three win. If you take karn out of the picture, tron is still a usable deck. Wurmcoil into Ugin is still insanely powerful, but the natural tron into karn is no longer an issue

Disagree about the Tron Enablers. You’d ban Ancient Stirrings: It’s brutally powerful and has only gotten moreso with the advent of a million useful colorless cards. You incidentally hit lantern control and bant eldrazi.

That said, I think what you’re seeing is just a reaction to an overwhelming fair metagame. In an overwhelming “fair” metagame, creature-based aggro decks get suppressed (check!), and strategies which die to faster decks but have excellent game vs. fair decks (Tron, to a lesser extent valakut decks) overperform (check!). Tron is basically just the only deck in this category, so all the people playing this strategy get put into one deck, and it appears over-represented.

Tron is definitely the deck to watch. I said when Eye was banned that it bought Tron a reprieve, but as long as Wizards keeps printing powerful colorless threats that deck will keep getting better. I think it’s missing a little bit of consistency and resiliency to be really problematic, but it’s definitely moving in that direction. Spreading Seas’ stock continues to rise.

I think the new Thalia was made with Tron in mind, but she’s too expensive for my taste. We’ll have to wait and see.

You’re right about any banning killing the deck. Wizards bans enablers, but the Tron enablers aren’t that impressive, nor does that prevent the problem of natural Tron. I suspect that if the deck ends up needing a ban next year the lands will go.

I do t mind infect so much since it heavily rewards being interactive

But Tron is more and more and more an issue.

Online I’d say I face about 15% Tron as well.

Tron is just oppressive in my personal opinion. But a ban wouldn’t be good. Either the entire archetype would die or it wouldn’t affect them.

The problem is that hard countermagic is basically nonexistent in modern

Nor is there effective land policing.

I fear the only solution is to print a hatebear that doesn’t allow multiple mana from a single land and to print some sort of viable hard counter.

Police decks can’t police without the right equipment to do so

This is nothing new, historically speaking, though. Modern has always been a dozen different linear and unfair decks and a couple of fair decks succeeding by preparing and facing the right decks. It’s also not going to change much until some better general answers get printed or they produce some miracle creatures that will glove the same hand.