Comments on: Modern Metagame Breakdown: 7/1/16 – 7/31/16 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Fri, 12 Aug 2016 15:09:01 +0000 hourly 1 By: Kyle Wright https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126333 Fri, 12 Aug 2016 15:09:01 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126333 Wonder if Esper of Bant spirits will be on the tier3 list next month. Seems solid.

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By: Josh Dedrick https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126332 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 17:00:38 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126332 In reply to Noah Bruner.

Ah yes, the oft forgotten yet ever useful swiss army knife of modern. Also the scariest 2 mana card to represent against a twin player.

remember that if your opponent decides to make infinite creatures, you can simply charm their face for infinite damage and win the game. observant, and seasoned players will know to play around it, but I think kiki chord players will certainly not expect to get killed by rakdos charm, at least in paper.

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By: Jason Schousboe https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126331 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 16:46:35 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126331 In reply to ChaosOS.

For what it’s worth, this section has been rewritten to highlight this phenomenon more explicitly. The more I’ve thought about it, the more it seems this is the principle cause of the paper/MTGO disparity in Abzan Company results.

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By: Roland F. Rivera Santiago https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126330 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 16:13:50 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126330 In reply to Jason Schousboe.

I would certainly be interested in something like that. Especially if it came with some nice graphical representations.

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By: Noah Bruner https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126329 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 16:11:15 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126329 With the debate between graveyard hate and artifact hate going on in this article, I want to take the time to remind everyone of a certain card: Rakdos Charm. If it’s in your colors, it can destroy artifacts or exile graveyards at instant speed. It’s also great against go-wide decks (I’ve gotten seven damage off this card before). Great way to punish Affinity, Dredge, Grixis Delver/Control, Elves, Merfolk, Kiki Chord–probably more, and for the purposes of the graveyard versus artifact debate, it’s a great way to turn 4-6 sideboard slots into 2-3 sideboard slots.

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By: Jason Schousboe https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126328 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 14:56:34 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126328 In reply to Darcy Hartwick.

This is an awesome idea, and I’m surprised we haven’t done it yet. Something I will keep on my docket for when we find time. I could also just write a one-off article on it, if that sounds interesting to people.

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By: Roland F. Rivera Santiago https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126327 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 14:22:21 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126327 In reply to ChaosOS.

He actually accounted for that in his writeup. Regardless of the reason why a deck may not be particularly prevalent on a given platform (for example, Merfolk was kept out of Tier 1 for months thanks to a Kira, Great Glass-Spinner bug squashing its metagame share), if the results aren’t there, he has to demote the deck.

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By: Roland F. Rivera Santiago https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126326 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 14:19:48 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126326 In reply to Patrick Ward.

Aye, but so is Relic of Progenitus, and while it doesn’t kill Dredge or Abzan Company as dead as the Cage does, it demolishes Living End in addition to powering down Jund’s Goyfs and shutting off Nahiri’s Snapcasters pretty effectively. I guess most people are opting for the fire-and-forget power of the Cage (I own both, but I’m only rocking Relic for the time being).

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By: Zach Stackhouse https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126325 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 13:50:36 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126325 In reply to ChaosOS.

*Looks at Mono U Tron deck*

Awesome, running the worse version of a deck that doesn’t fit the overall meta lol. Oh well, still fun to play.

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By: Darcy Hartwick https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126324 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 13:32:34 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126324 Itd be interesting to see the % share of decks over time since modern nexus started tracking. So like in the past two years how did jund trend overall? Are there noticeable trends like infect going up when tron goes down? What decks consistently hover at the same percent and what ones do more ebb and flow? What decks have died out? Certainly the explanation involves banlist changes and new cards – but could still be very interesting to see and pretty easy to compile!

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By: ChaosOS https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126323 Thu, 11 Aug 2016 01:21:38 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126323 I think the heavy weight of MTGO results in this update is contributing to Abzan Company’s fall from Tier 1. 4.1% paper share is above your 4% tier 1 breakpoint, while the .8% share MTGO is pulling it down way more than you’re giving credit for. It seems like you’re glossing over that the company combo in MTGO, unlike paper, is incredibly unwieldy and can lose the player a lot of time to execute, especially if it’s only the infinite life combo which requires half a dozen clicks per 2 life increment and so doesn’t get the “I’m at one million life” that causes most decks to concede.

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By: Patrick Ward https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126322 Wed, 10 Aug 2016 22:40:30 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126322 In reply to Roland F. Rivera Santiago.

The rise of living end might have to do with the fact that grafdigger’s cage has no effect on it. People try to hit as many decks as possible with their limited sideboards and cage is very efficient, helping against coco, nahiri, and dredge. It’s also an easy inclusion in a lot of decks since it is colourless and only 1 mana.

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By: Roland F. Rivera Santiago https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/08/modern-metagame-breakdown-jul-16/#comment-2126321 Wed, 10 Aug 2016 21:51:41 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=10938#comment-2126321 Interesting developments in this update. Tron’s dip is somewhat interesting given how much Jund is out there, but I guess smashing that ~10% of decks doesn’t make up for all the fast linears that simply ruin your day if you happen to bump into them. It’s interesting to see Living End bouncing back in a time where Dredge is ascendant (and thus everyone should be scrambling to cram in more graveyard hate), but here we are. Grixis’ demotion to Tier 3 has been a long time coming – the deck has beeen hanging on, but the ascension of Nahiri, the Harbinger snatched the control playing crowd away pretty much for good.

Sisters at Tier 3 is an absolute shock – that deck has been lurking in the non-tiered morass forever, and I don’t really think Lone Rider was enough to propel it into this level of discussion. Burn’s meta share isn’t particularly high for its standards, so I’m wondering what’s fueling it right now.

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