Comments on: Modern Metagame Breakdown: 9/1/16 – 9/30/16 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Thu, 27 Oct 2016 14:14:20 +0000 hourly 1 By: James Luckhurst https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126968 Thu, 27 Oct 2016 14:14:20 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126968 Hey! I sent you an email some time ago about writing a primer / article for Lantern Control. Are you interested? If so, what do you request i do from here?

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By: Rj Gaskill https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126967 Tue, 18 Oct 2016 05:29:24 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126967 So I do play company, the more traditional melira build and in my experience (not terribly extensive with the evolution lists) the evolution decks are more value oriented chaining voice of resurgence into seige rhinos and silver bullets like pontiff and linvala with a combo as a backup win con. the chord builds favor the combo as everything can be played at instant speed, allowing you to win in response to something with collected company and chord of calling. With most or all of the combo hit able by company the chord lists favor the smaller cmc combo. I play both combos in my list because rest in piece and Graf diggers cage are played in response to dredge. Hopefully of some help.

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By: Tiago D'Agostini https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126966 Mon, 17 Oct 2016 14:40:42 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126966 In reply to Jesse Bammann.

You just need to kill it before that happens. Dredge cannot afford to sleeve many anti hate cards without reducing its consistency. And cage DOES goes against him building his grave. If he draw cards then he does not build the grave, if he build the grave he does not draw the anti artifact hate.

I have never won a game where the cage was cast in turn 1 or 2 while i was playing with dredge.

But indeed ravenous trap also works wonders and it also hits on some coco decks since the finks can be hit after it goes to the grave for the third time.

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By: Tiago D'Agostini https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126965 Mon, 17 Oct 2016 14:36:40 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126965 In reply to Roland F. Rivera Santiago.

People just stubbornly refuse to sleeve 4 cages against dredge. When people learn to have 4 grave hate cards on their side dredge will not feel that impressive. Grave hate also hits Jund, hits any finks reliant deck, hurts snapcaster decks.. in fact hits most non linear decks.

I played dredge for a while. It falls in pieces whenever people field grave hate. Nothign is more frustrating than the other player starting with a cage turn 1.

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By: Roland F. Rivera Santiago https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126964 Sun, 16 Oct 2016 17:08:58 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126964 In reply to Jesse Bammann.

It’s better than what you’re giving it credit for, as a resolved Cage stops Ancient Grudge from being flashed back. That means a Dredge player looking to remove the Cage has to either have the hate in hand or draw it naturally. It’s not perfect, as the best solution is to continuously wipe the ‘yard with Rest in Peace or Leyline of the Void, but it’s cheap and anyone can play it, which combines with the fact that it has applicability against the likes of Jeskai Nahiri, Abzan Company, Kiki Chord, and Elves has made it ubiquitous.

Either way, this doesn’t invalidate the fact that a lot of players are using Grafdigger’s Cage and that CoCo and Chord decks are suffering as a result. So I’m not sure what the point of your comment was.

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By: Jason Schousboe https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126963 Sun, 16 Oct 2016 14:43:30 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126963 In reply to João Costa.

The WMCQs are taken into account. Some fell in August, but some were in the September data.

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By: João Costa https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126962 Sun, 16 Oct 2016 03:00:28 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126962 The conclusions can actually be misleading without the results from WMCQ’s . Scapeshift is labeled as a Tier 3 deck, but it was actually one of the decks that gave more top8’s and wins as well (Portugal, Japan, etç), so i would never count that deck out.

I believe your results are right and on spot, of course, but as you mentioned and well, it’s dangerous no tot take WMCQ’s into account for the future.

I’m also currently seeing a lot of RG Valakut decks in MTGO, and they all use the Scapeshift plan and not the Trough the Breach one (but then again, those are for this month so far, not September, so we might still notice the switch next month).

Jeskai’s fall to tier 2 was expected, at least for me. We will still see one Blue control deck coming to Tier 1 status, i believe, but probably not Jeskai.

I’m curious about the next moth, if we’ll see the shift in Valakut and if we see the comeback (very unlikely) of certain decks back to tier 1 status.

Oh, and am kind of hoping to see UW Tron getting a comeback since it top 8’d a WMCQ, and winning trough a lot of tier 1 decks (Burn, Jund , Grixis and Suicide Zoo)

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By: Jason Schousboe https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126961 Sun, 16 Oct 2016 01:01:29 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126961 In reply to Jesse Bammann.

This has been my experience too. But that doesn’t stop Cage from hitting CoCo decks with splash damage. Even if people aren’t supposed to run it, they are.

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By: Jesse Bammann https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126960 Sat, 15 Oct 2016 15:31:07 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126960 In reply to Roland F. Rivera Santiago.

Grafdigger’s cage isn’t really that good against dredge, it only masks the yard until they can blow up cage, doesn’t dissuade them from dredging/ developing the yard, and they run 3-4 ancient grudge alongside nature’s claim or abrupt decay making an artifact that once removed has generated little value compared to other hate bad. If your in the colors for rest in peace it’s hands down the best, they have half as many chances to get rid of it (3-4 nature’s or abrupt decay vs those and ancient grudge) and it stops all development from the deck, no dredge, no drawing, nothing but do you have the answer to rest, and even if they do it still exiles the yard. Outside white ravenous trap is an option a lot of people including dredge players forget about, it’s like a tormod’s crypt but has a surprise factor instead of them knowing and playing around it. My main point is a lot of people use cage, as few other cards hate the grave and cards being cheated into play, but against dredge it’s a poor option, and I want my grave hate to hit dredge harder than I’d like cages flexibility, it’s just too poor against them because of there massive removal suite for it despite being good against other decks as well.

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By: Jason Schousboe https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126959 Fri, 14 Oct 2016 22:31:55 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126959 In reply to uninverted.

Right. My comment didn’t make this clear, but the other anti-Dredge hate (Leyline, RiP) would be what’s pushing out Living End.

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By: uninverted https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126958 Fri, 14 Oct 2016 21:45:12 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126958 In reply to Jason Schousboe.

Grafdigger’s cage doesn’t actually prevent Living End from working thanks to a quirk in its wording, even though it intuitively seems like it should.

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By: Jason Schousboe https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126957 Fri, 14 Oct 2016 20:48:07 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126957 In reply to Roland F. Rivera Santiago.

Interesting observation on Cage vs. Company. That actually makes a lot of sense. Same thing with Living End from last month (although it is back in Tier 3).

Agreed on Dredge. Lest anyone misinterpret my claims on the deck, no, I don’t think it’s broken—just obnoxious.

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By: Roland F. Rivera Santiago https://www.quietspeculation.com/2016/10/modern-metagame-breakdown-sep-16/#comment-2126956 Fri, 14 Oct 2016 20:42:46 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=11917#comment-2126956 Interesting revelations this time around. As a Merfolk player, the note about Valakut decks being pseudo-Tier 1 an important one, as that matchup isn’t the greatest and something you need to sideboard for in order to beat. Overall, though, I’m feeling really good about this metagame – the only truly unfavorable matchup in Tier 1 are Affinity and Valakut (though it takes some particular sideboarding to do well against Infect), and only Abzan Company worries me among Tier 2s. I expect Merfolk to swim right back up.

Changes that are somewhat surprising, on the other hand, are the revival of Bushwhacker Zoo (welcome back!), and Death’s Shadow Zoo’s precipitous drop (perhaps a bit too risky). I’m also somewhat impressed with Company decks hanging on as long as they have – Dredge’s rise has spoiled the metagame for those decks, because Grafdigger’s Cage (most people’s Dredge hate of choice) stops them pretty cold too.

On the subject of Dredge… I don’t really feel like it’s busted, but it does have a pretty broad range of tools. It has the explosive starts to race with Burn, punishes decks with X/1s thanks to Conflagrate, and preys on any fair deck that doesn’t interact with it early. That said, I’ve had lots of success against it, because as it turns out early countermagic and graveyard hate keeps it from ever getting off the ground. I expect to be a Tier 1 deck going forward (and they really should cool it on printing enablers like Cathartic Reunion and Haunted Dead), but as long as nothing crazy comes out in the ensuing sets, it’s just a good linear deck like others before it, and really combo’s lone top-tier representative.

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