Comments on: Know Your Enemy: Analyzing GP Vegas https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/06/know-your-enemy-analyzing-gp-vegas/ Play More, Win More, Pay Less Tue, 27 Jun 2017 20:16:01 +0000 hourly 1 By: Norbert Oravec https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/06/know-your-enemy-analyzing-gp-vegas/#comment-2128447 Tue, 27 Jun 2017 20:16:01 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=14644#comment-2128447 I understand your opinion but do not share it. I am local player playing BW tokens for years now, tuning my deck with each new set. Currently I love matchups against death’s shadow variants. Having access to 3 leyline of sanctity, survival extraction, flying tokens, 7 discard spells and 7 spot removal plus engineered explosives and 2 auriok champions, matchup is one of easiest. What i hate je to play my fair midrange deck against degenarate unfair combo decks. This is real unfun for me.
Truth is that when I watch coverage of big events showing DS match after match, I root against DS always. Even ad nauseum je better. The main reasons is I really hate bandwagoning. Watching top pros with ton of experience sleeving “best deck” is painful and for me shameful as well. This is the reasons aby i have so much respect for Craig wescoe (loyal to white whinnie strategies) od Zach elsik (innovation, it was pleasure to see him playing deep blue Tech – beat it pros!).

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By: Justin Brown https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/06/know-your-enemy-analyzing-gp-vegas/#comment-2128446 Tue, 27 Jun 2017 12:10:19 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=14644#comment-2128446 Your last article: This deck is busted, Grixis Shadow is by far the best deck in Modern!

This article: Why is everyone hating so irrationally hard on DS Grixis?!?

I think you should reread your last month+ of articles on this subject, ideally with someone else helping to identify where your own biases and ego are hampering your analysis and your writing.

You predicted that the best deck in the format would do well, then it did and you bragged about it in your next article (akin to me bragging about predicting that the Warriors would win the title). This led you to overstate just how good the deck actually was, calling it dominant and writing off evidence to the contrary (didn’t show up in the Classic because it’s pilots were all in day 2? Seriously?). Your bias also led you to misinterpret your own tournament performance, in a way that came off as extremely arrogant. Now your pet deck, which happens to be the best deck in the format, gets targeted by some hate (predictably) and we get some pseudo-psychology about how the hate is irrationally driven by the deck being less fun to lose too (something many people would NOT agree with).

I think you could write some useful content if you were able to drop some of the ego/bias driven stuff and focus more on actually helping the reader than validating your opinions. Instead of just making predictions why not give more concrete advice related to those predictions? “Decks X, Y, Z are poised to surge next week so you should be looking to do…”.

Of course to a degree this kind of analysis is limited in its usefulness in Modern due to the sheer diversity in the format. Dredge upticking from 5% of the meta to 8% is a big jump…but not actually going to have that big of an impact on how often I face the deck in a given league/tourney. With that in mind I think an extremely useful analytical take along the lines you are good at would involve grouping/sorting multiple decks by angles of attack or cards that they are soft to. Maybe Dredge going up a few % isn’t a big deal, but it it is rising along with 2 other decks that are weak to Gradiggers Cage now we have some actionable intelligence. Along the same lines you could keep track of the meta shares of decks that are softer to Path/Push/Bolt/Decay/etc, helping people to know which types of removal will likely be optimal that week. Are decks that are soft to sweepers on the uptick? Anyway, just a suggestion for how you could convert your predictions (something I think you are good at) into more useful information for the reader.

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By: MTGLuca https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/06/know-your-enemy-analyzing-gp-vegas/#comment-2128445 Tue, 27 Jun 2017 06:28:45 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=14644#comment-2128445 I can do nothing but agree with the contents of this article. I think death’s shadow, believe it or not, created a very healthy modern metagame. I don’t think any action towards the deck is needed. If something, I think the format is in such an healthy spot that un unban might be in order.

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