Bannings | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Tue, 04 Aug 2020 04:36:52 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png Bannings | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 Banned and Restricted List Update – August 3rd, 2020 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/08/banned-and-restricted-list-update-august-3rd-2020/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/08/banned-and-restricted-list-update-august-3rd-2020/#respond Tue, 04 Aug 2020 04:33:57 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=95808

Today brought one of the most significant bans in recent memory, and at breakneck speed. Surprise?! The August 3rd, 2020 Banned and Restricted announcement is live!

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Banned and Restricted List Update – July 13, 2020 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/07/banned-and-restricted-list-update-july-13-2020/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/07/banned-and-restricted-list-update-july-13-2020/#respond Mon, 13 Jul 2020 15:33:18 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=95689

The July 13, 2020 Banned and Restricted announcement is live!

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One Time at Banned Camp: The March ’20 Ban https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/03/one-time-banned-camp-march-20-ban/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/03/one-time-banned-camp-march-20-ban/#comments Tue, 10 Mar 2020 16:00:23 +0000 https://quietspeculation.com/?p=21410 Well that was fast. It's only been two months since Oko, Thief of Crowns was banned. It's pretty rare for Wizards to issue Modern bans in consecutive announcements, except for during emergencies like Hogaak, Arisen Necropolis's reign of terror. So I wasn't actually expecting anything to happen in Modern. However, last Thursday, that changed; I […]

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N’Oko: Parsing the January Bans https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/01/noko-parsing-january-bans/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/01/noko-parsing-january-bans/#comments Tue, 14 Jan 2020 17:00:53 +0000 https://quietspeculation.com/?p=21192 Well, everyone should have seen another ban coming. There was no way that Wizards wasn't going to let their last scheduled banned and restricted announcement go by without doing something about Oko, Thief of Crowns. However, I didn't expect it to go this far. Three cards banned would be a fairly substantial shift by itself, […]

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Insider: Post-Ban Standard Winners to Watch https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/11/insider-post-ban-standard-winners-to-watch/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/11/insider-post-ban-standard-winners-to-watch/#respond Fri, 22 Nov 2019 14:18:01 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=94283

Bans have brought uncertainty to the Standard metagame, but the first tournaments have brought some clarity and some appealing speculation targets.

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Modern Movers After the B&R Announcement https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/08/modern-movers-after-the-br-announcement/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/08/modern-movers-after-the-br-announcement/#respond Fri, 30 Aug 2019 14:05:10 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=93788

Monday's Banned and Restricted Announcement has turned the Modern metagame on its head, and Adam is here to explain what it means for the future of the market.

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Testing the Consistency of Ancient Stirrings https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/09/testing-consistency-ancient-stirrings/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/09/testing-consistency-ancient-stirrings/#comments Thu, 27 Sep 2018 18:00:12 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=18821 There was much debate a little while back about the Modern bannings. Should Mox Opal get the axe? Is the card selection of Ancient Stirrings too good for Modern? I saw a lot of people making arguments on either side, but I did not see a lot of solid evidence for either case. It was […]

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Testing Preordain: Qualitative & Quantitative Results https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/12/testing-preordain-qualitative-qualitative-results/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/12/testing-preordain-qualitative-qualitative-results/#comments Wed, 27 Dec 2017 21:52:44 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=16908 David is out for the holidays until next week. In the meantime, please enjoy his article from earlier this year where he presented results from the Preordain ban test. These results were originally presented in two separate articles (here and here), but I've divided them into parts for the purpose of easier reading. Part 1: […]

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“No Changes” – Reactions to the Banlist Announcement https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/08/no-changes-reactions-banlist-announcement/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/08/no-changes-reactions-banlist-announcement/#comments Tue, 29 Aug 2017 22:10:27 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=15227 It is inevitable. Every time a new Banned and Restricted Announcement comes out, speculation runs rampant. Everyone has their pet cards to advocate for or against, everyone is utterly convinced they're right, and they take offense to disagreement. Every single time. It's really tiring. I've written about this problem before. I have no problem discussing possible […]

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A Modern Proposal: Six Years Later https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/08/proposal-fix-banlist-tiering-rotation/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/08/proposal-fix-banlist-tiering-rotation/#comments Thu, 10 Aug 2017 19:41:50 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=15078

This week, I’m doubling down. Modern is returning to the Pro Tour, and with that, banned list discussion is certain to resurface. I’ve chosen to get out ahead of it; my article last week speculated on a potential opportunity for Wizards of the Coast to "solve" the banning problem once and for all. Unsurprisingly, this […]

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The Bilbao Effect: The Chance to Change Modern Forever https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/08/bilbao-effect-chance-change-modern-forever/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/08/bilbao-effect-chance-change-modern-forever/#comments Thu, 03 Aug 2017 18:06:21 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=15025 Modern Magic’s history under the lights has been… complicated. As a format, it was born into fire in 2011 with Pro Tour Philadelphia, and since then, the format has bounced from darling to redheaded stepchild to orphan and back, faster than strobe lights at a Skrillex show. Bannings, Pro Tours, more bannings (as a result […]

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Analyzing the April 24th Banlist Announcement https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/04/analyzing-april-24th-banlist-announcement/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/04/analyzing-april-24th-banlist-announcement/#comments Fri, 28 Apr 2017 16:00:13 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=14222 April 24th came and went, and besides some misguided grumbling about Death's Shadow, most Modern players were content. Without one deck consistently surpassing 10% of the metagame, a "no changes" banlist announcement was easy to predict. But Wizards went the extra mile with this particular announcement, including a blurb about Modern despite choosing not to shake it up. […]

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Finance 101: What Is Risk? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/03/finance-101-risk/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/03/finance-101-risk/#comments Sat, 25 Mar 2017 17:31:43 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=13669 In my past articles, when talking about buying a given card, the concept of "risk" has frequently come up. I've seen some confusion in the comments about my use of this term, which has lead to misinterpretation of the information I'm trying to convey. Some people were under the impression that I was predicting, or […]

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Modern Metagame Breakdown: 2/6/17 – 3/12/17 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/03/metagame-breakdown-feb-17/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/03/metagame-breakdown-feb-17/#comments Mon, 20 Mar 2017 21:49:45 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=13749 Welcome back for another metagame update. I'm calling today's the "February update," even though it encompasses a week-and-a-half of March data as well. As we had extended last month's data, it made sense to do so this month too in order to avoid a three-week metagame with scant data. The astute reader will notice that […]

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Modern Metagame Breakdown: 1/1/2017 – 2/5/2017 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/metagame-breakdown-jan-17/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/metagame-breakdown-jan-17/#comments Tue, 14 Feb 2017 07:13:06 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=13220

On January 9th, Wizards of the Coast brought the heavy weight of the banhammer down upon Modern, attempting to target several linear decks that ranked among the best-performing archetypes during 2016. On the one hand we had the aggressive, explosive creature combos with a gotcha! element, headlined by Infect. On the other hand we had Dredge, taxing […]

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A New Format! – Post-Aether Revolt Decklists https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/post-aether-revolt-decklists/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/post-aether-revolt-decklists/#comments Thu, 09 Feb 2017 17:45:37 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=13256 With so many new changes to Modern recently, every assumption we’ve previously held regarding the format as we know it is suspect to change. Mono-Green Stompy is back, Zur the Enchanter is finally poised to take the format by storm, so prepare yourself for Vexing Devil mirror matches every third round. Now that we’re all […]

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Financial Deck Tech: Cheeri0s https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/financial-deck-tech-cheeri0s/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/financial-deck-tech-cheeri0s/#comments Wed, 08 Feb 2017 17:00:08 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=13163 Magic cards don't take much to catch fire, huh? If you've been following along online, a bunch of people have been working on a new version of a combo deck called "Cheeri0s." If not, let's take a look at why this is one of the hottest new decks in Modern and what the most optimal […]

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Deck of the Week: Death’s Shadow Jund https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/dotw-deaths-shadow-jund/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/02/dotw-deaths-shadow-jund/#comments Mon, 06 Feb 2017 19:07:04 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=13223

I had initially intended to bring you the January metagame update today, but looking over the data and consulting with Sheridan, we decided to wait a week in order to incorporate more post-banning data, including Star City Games Regionals. Instead, we'll be covering one of the early changes that has resulted from Wizards' recent format shake-up. The […]

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Back in the Woods: Probeless Temur Delver https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/01/probeless-temur-delver/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/01/probeless-temur-delver/#comments Fri, 13 Jan 2017 17:00:08 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=12905

When Wizards banned Gitaxian Probe on Monday, many players reached out to me to express their condolences and ask where Temur Delver goes from here. Probe was an integral part of my Monkey Grow deck, and starting games by paying 2 life for the sorcery was some of the most fun I ever had playing Magic. I will […]

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Parsing the Gitaxian Probe & Golgari Grave-Troll Bans https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/01/parsing-bans-probe-grave-troll/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/01/parsing-bans-probe-grave-troll/#comments Thu, 12 Jan 2017 17:00:58 +0000 http://34.200.137.49/?p=12874

I knew they were going to take actions in Standard with the new banlist update—especially with it being moved up to this week. The pessimist in me expected that Modern would be left untouched. To be fair, I enjoyed Modern prior to this announcement, much unlike Miracles Legacy, though I'm very happy that action was […]

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