Drop of Honey | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Tue, 18 Jan 2022 01:58:40 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png Drop of Honey | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 Will History Repeat Itself This Time? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2021/03/will-history-repeat-itself-this-time/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2021/03/will-history-repeat-itself-this-time/#comments Mon, 15 Mar 2021 11:00:50 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=97600

"History repeats itself." We hear this phrase time and again to describe all sorts of socioeconomic phenomena. But does it apply to the Magic market this time? This week, Sig examines the market-moving forces of 2020-2021 and compares back to 2017-2018.

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Strategic Buylisting to Card Kingdom https://www.quietspeculation.com/2021/02/strategic-buylisting-to-card-kingdom/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2021/02/strategic-buylisting-to-card-kingdom/#respond Mon, 15 Feb 2021 12:00:03 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=97324

As Reserved List prices continue to climb, Sig is noticing some aggressive buylisting from Card Kingdom. Perhaps a little...too aggressive? This week he shares his strategy for what he's looking to sell to the vendor, citing specific examples.

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Old School: Cautious Optimism for 2020 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/01/old-school-cautious-optimism-for-2020/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2020/01/old-school-cautious-optimism-for-2020/#respond Mon, 13 Jan 2020 12:00:57 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=94556

2019 has been a tough year to be holding Old School cards, to put it mildly. As prices equilibrate, Sig is slowly making new acquisitions for his collection. Will this be a brighter year for card prices? Or will they continue to stagnate? This week, Sig shares his take.

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The Case Against Power https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/02/the-case-against-power/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/02/the-case-against-power/#comments Fri, 22 Feb 2019 10:00:20 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=91686

Today's article subject spawned from a discussion that began in the QS Discord chat. One of our members was contemplating stepping away from the game for a while and wanted to know the best place to park his money and/or what to trade into. As expected, a lot of people immediately jumped to Power. The general […]

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Three Strategies to Remember https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/02/three-strategies-to-remember/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/02/three-strategies-to-remember/#comments Mon, 04 Feb 2019 10:00:33 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=91571

We've all been waiting for tax refunds to kick in and restimulate the market. Well, that time is upon us. Sig has three strategies to keep in mind when putting new capital to work.

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Ravnica Allegiance: Spoilers, Facts, Specs & More https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/01/ravnica-allegiance-spoilers-facts-specs-more/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/01/ravnica-allegiance-spoilers-facts-specs-more/#comments Sat, 12 Jan 2019 12:00:24 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=90531

The sequel to Guilds of Ravnica and the 80th expansion set in Magic: The Gathering's history is due to release on January 25, 2019.  Here's what we know about Ravnica Allegiance (RNA) so far, including any cards in the spoiler, the guilds represented, and cards to speculate on before the full spoiler is released.   The Guilds […]

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MTG Metagame Finance #25 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-metagame-finance-25/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-metagame-finance-25/#respond Tue, 25 Dec 2018 17:44:01 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=90930

The holidays are in full swing and the new year is right around the corner. And as some of you may know, the stock market has been a bit shaky in the last month or so. But it seems Magic is still doing pretty well during this slightly volatile time. I think a good portion […]

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MTG Metagame Finance #24 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-metagame-finance-24/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-metagame-finance-24/#respond Fri, 21 Dec 2018 01:05:52 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=90841

Ultimate Masters is still in full bounce back mode, and the last World Magic Cup has come to a finish. Plus, some sweet Ravnica Allegiance spoilers have hit the market so there’s gonna be a nice mix of things to talk about again in this piece. Owing to the spoilers, this might be a little […]

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Mtg Arena Has Been Framed! Who Is the Real MTGO Killer? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-arena-has-been-framed-who-is-the-real-mtgo-killer/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-arena-has-been-framed-who-is-the-real-mtgo-killer/#comments Tue, 11 Dec 2018 10:00:44 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=90705

Magic Online has a problem. A card value problem. In a recent Channel Fireball article, Florian Koch showed just how much card prices have fallen over the past few years: That's right. To own a playset of the cheapest version of every Magic card ever printed on MTGO would have cost you roughly $28,000 in […]

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MTG Questions: What’s an Easy Way to Sell Bulk? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-questions-whats-a-fast-way-to-sell-bulk/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/mtg-questions-whats-a-fast-way-to-sell-bulk/#comments Fri, 07 Dec 2018 10:00:42 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=90648

This is the first article from my new series, MTG Questions. You might be familiar with the Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em series (rebranded as MTG Metagame Finance), which takes a tournament-oriented perspective. I decided to start this series to focus on more general aspects of MTG finance. The two series will work together, as when […]

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Preparing for the December 6th Announcement https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/preparing-for-the-december-6th-announcement/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/12/preparing-for-the-december-6th-announcement/#respond Thu, 06 Dec 2018 22:37:50 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=90668

Welcome back, folks. It's been a while since I last wrote an article, in large part because I've been unwilling to make any financial moves on MTGO before reading the December 6th announcement about competitive play on Arena. What is announced there could have major ramifications for investing on MTGO, and so I've been very […]

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Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #20 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/11/hold-em-fold-em-20/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/11/hold-em-fold-em-20/#comments Wed, 21 Nov 2018 16:15:32 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=90488

Many people have been saying there’s been a little less movement regarding Magic finance during the past few weeks or months. Some people are saying there’s a slowdown. Others are saying it’s normal because the holidays are around the corner and players have less money to spend on Magic cards. Regardless, Magic continues to move […]

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Looking at Colorshifted Reserved List Cards https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/09/looking-at-colorshifted-reserved-list-cards/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/09/looking-at-colorshifted-reserved-list-cards/#respond Wed, 26 Sep 2018 20:29:59 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=89677

Wizards apparently does not consider colorshifts to break the principles of the Reserved List. David looks at some of the RL cards that got the treatment worth keeping an eye on.

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Unlocked: Don’t Panic! https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/08/unlocked-dont-panic/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/08/unlocked-dont-panic/#comments Mon, 13 Aug 2018 11:00:33 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=88988

There's been concern over the market's health lately, but is a correction really bad for the market? Sig explores why panicking is not the best strategy in this environment.

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Insider: All the Other Old Cards Are Spiking, so Why Not the Power Nine? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/06/insider-why-hasnt-power-9-spiked-yet/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/06/insider-why-hasnt-power-9-spiked-yet/#comments Thu, 07 Jun 2018 13:22:42 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=87843

Brian's noticed that the Power Nine is behaving differently from the rest of the Reserved List market. What does this mean?

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Insider: The Reprint’s Price Curve https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/04/insider-the-reprints-price-curve/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/04/insider-the-reprints-price-curve/#comments Mon, 02 Apr 2018 09:00:34 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=86894

Reprints seem to follow a predictable trajectory every time. Sig examines the three stages of a reprint's price curve and identifies some cards that may be solid pickups right now.

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Insider: My Motivation to Buylist https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/03/insider-my-motivation-to-buylist/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/03/insider-my-motivation-to-buylist/#comments Mon, 26 Mar 2018 09:15:53 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=86755

Buylisting is often financially suboptimal, but that doesn't make it a bad idea. Sig explains why buylisting can be the right move even if it leaves a buck or two on the table.

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Insider: Does Becoming a Modern Staple Doom a Card? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/12/insider-does-becoming-a-modern-staple-doom-a-card/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/12/insider-does-becoming-a-modern-staple-doom-a-card/#respond Thu, 21 Dec 2017 19:05:20 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=85010

Masters sets have fundamentally changed the Magic marketplace. Brian explores what it means when virtually every Modern staple is doomed to a reprint.

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Insider: A Rare Window of Opportunity https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/10/insider-a-rare-window-of-opportunity/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/10/insider-a-rare-window-of-opportunity/#comments Mon, 02 Oct 2017 10:00:54 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=83425

The Reserved List spikes have quietly generated a rare opportunity in the high-end market. Sig shares some concrete examples of how to exploit these recent trends.

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Insider: Tiers of Value in Old School Magic https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/09/insider-tiers-of-value-in-old-school-magic/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2017/09/insider-tiers-of-value-in-old-school-magic/#comments Tue, 26 Sep 2017 19:28:13 +0000 http://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=83339

Cards tend to break down into "tiers" of value, based on the formats they're played in. Brian explains how this theory can inform potential picks in the Old School format.

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