Grief | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Fri, 30 Aug 2024 16:18:32 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png Grief | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 August ’24 Metagame Update: Wings Clipped https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/08/august-24-metagame-update-wings-clipped/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/08/august-24-metagame-update-wings-clipped/#respond Fri, 30 Aug 2024 16:18:31 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132380

Nadu richly deserved to be banned, and the August metagame data proves it. However, Grief is a more speculative ban but will cause a stronger metagame shift.

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July ’24 Metagame Update: Bird’s the Word https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/08/july-24-metagame-update-birds-the-word/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/08/july-24-metagame-update-birds-the-word/#respond Sat, 10 Aug 2024 20:57:46 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132356

Nadu Breakfast is confirmed as a Tier 1 deck. Sorta. Magic Online never behaves as expected. However, the metagame's direction is quite clear. August 26 looms.

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April ’24 Metagame Update: Holding Pattern https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/05/april-24-metagame-update-holding-pattern/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/05/april-24-metagame-update-holding-pattern/#respond Thu, 09 May 2024 18:01:57 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132222

Modern's metagame has fallen back on old favorites. With Modern Horizons 3 coming soon, players are holding their breath for the new shakeup. The data is clear.

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February ’24 Metagame Update: Championship Changes https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/03/february-24-metagame-update-championship-changes/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/03/february-24-metagame-update-championship-changes/#respond Wed, 06 Mar 2024 19:01:38 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132149

I haven't had to do that many metagame updates for February, it being the month where bans tend to happen. That wasn't the case this month, though I suspect that the data will add fuel to the banning call fires. I understand, but I'd caution everyone to consider the context before jumping to conclusions. February's data is defined by the Regional Championships and that created a localized warp.

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November ’23 Metagame Update: A New World https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/12/november-23-metagame-update-a-new-world/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/12/november-23-metagame-update-a-new-world/#respond Thu, 07 Dec 2023 21:34:59 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132020

With Fury and Up the Beanstalk banned, Modern is set to dramatically change. The data clearly shows how necessary the bans were, though the impact is uncertain.

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October ’23 Metagame Update: It Got Worse https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/11/october-23-metagame-update-it-got-worse/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/11/october-23-metagame-update-it-got-worse/#respond Thu, 09 Nov 2023 22:53:49 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131986

Modern continues to be dominated to an extreme degree by Scam. There has been innovation in the lower tiers, but it appears that the status quo will persist.

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August ’23 Modern Metagame Update: The Unban’s Effect https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/09/august-23-modern-metagame-update-the-unbans-effect/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/09/august-23-modern-metagame-update-the-unbans-effect/#comments Thu, 07 Sep 2023 18:24:31 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131910

August was... unexpected. Wizards threw everyone off with their Ban Day decisions. Bans were expected in Standard (based on Wizards' own statements) and hoped for in multiple other formats. Instead, Modern and Legacy saw unbans. The impact this has had will be on display in this metagame update.

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June ’23 Metagame Update: Churn Returns https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/june-23-metagame-update-churn-returns/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/june-23-metagame-update-churn-returns/#respond Wed, 05 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131581

The June Modern Metagame Update is here. New additions have stirred Modern's mostly stagnant metagame, but that might not be permanent. David has the details.

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No Further Nuisance: Blue Just Got Its Fatal Push https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/no-further-nuisance-blue-just-got-its-fatal-push/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/no-further-nuisance-blue-just-got-its-fatal-push/#respond Thu, 08 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130726

Modern's top creatures have outgrown removal. Stern Scolding could change format interaction forever. See how the counterspell lines up against the competition.

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March ’23 Metagame Update: Overwhelming Outliers https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-update-overwhelming-outliers/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-update-overwhelming-outliers/#respond Wed, 05 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=128520

The March Modern Metagame Update is ready. Modern is incredibly stable, and that is translating into highly polarized, and not ideal, data. David E. explains.

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March ’23 Metagame Analysis: Innovation Attempts https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/03/march-23-metagame-analysis-innovation-attempts/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/03/march-23-metagame-analysis-innovation-attempts/#respond Fri, 10 Mar 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=127795

Players are trying, but the metagame has proven resistant to challenge. With change unlikely, is Wizards intentionally deceiving Modern players?

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January ’23 Metagame Update: Before the Storm https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/02/january-23-metagame-update-before-the-storm/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/02/january-23-metagame-update-before-the-storm/#respond Wed, 08 Feb 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=126761

The January Modern Metagame Update is here. In this month, the top decks remain stable while the lower tiers show more innovation and experimentation.

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December ’22 Metagame Analysis: A Warp Has Formed https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/december-22-metagame-analysis-a-warp-has-formed/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/december-22-metagame-analysis-a-warp-has-formed/#respond Fri, 06 Jan 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=125939

Modern is moving in a decidedly red direction. Indomitable Creativity decks are diverging between paper and online play. David E. explains how and why.

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December ’22 Metagame Update: Concerning Continuity https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/december-22-metagame-update-concerning-continuity/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/december-22-metagame-update-concerning-continuity/#respond Wed, 04 Jan 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=125702

New month, new Modern metagame update. While there have been shakeups within the Tiers, the last update of 2022 looks familiar... and that's alarming.

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State of Modern: 2022 Edition https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/state-of-modern-2022-edition/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/state-of-modern-2022-edition/#comments Wed, 21 Dec 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=125033

Modern's metagame has been shaken up repeatedly, but that's not obvious looking at winning decks. Modern is thus in a complicated place, as David E. explains.

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October ’22 Metagame Analysis: Adaptation and Endurance https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-analysis-adaptation-and-endurance/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-analysis-adaptation-and-endurance/#respond Fri, 11 Nov 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=123495

October has proven to be both a volatile and a stable month for Modern. David E looks into the reason for the contradiction and what to expect in November.

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October ’22 Metagame Update: A Newish World https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-update-a-newish-world/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-update-a-newish-world/#respond Tue, 08 Nov 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=123159

The October Modern Metagame Update has arrived, and the results are simultaneously surprising and expected. Yorion's ban had some unanticipated consequences.

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September ’22 Metagame Analysis: Metagame Shift https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/september-22-metagame-analysis-metagame-shift/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/september-22-metagame-analysis-metagame-shift/#respond Fri, 07 Oct 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=121533

Modern's metagame is shifting. Some of it is predictable, but some unforeseen developments are nonetheless returning Modern to a state of heavy flux.

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September ’22 Metagame Update: An Old Threat Rises https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/september-22-metagame-update-an-old-threat-rises/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/september-22-metagame-update-an-old-threat-rises/#respond Tue, 04 Oct 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=121112

Though Tier 1 remains stable, the September Metagame Update reflects a shaking of the lower tiers as Modern adapts to Leyline Binding. David E. shares the data.

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Deck Spotlight: RB Scam https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/09/deck-spotlight-rb-scam/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/09/deck-spotlight-rb-scam/#respond Tue, 13 Sep 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=120108

The combo of free elementals and undying effects in RB Scam is so good it feels like we're scamming our opponents. Adam goes over the deck and how it works.

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