ironworks | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Wed, 11 Dec 2019 17:00:10 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png ironworks | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 A Year in Modern: 2019 Metagame Review https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/12/year-modern-2019-metagame-review/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/12/year-modern-2019-metagame-review/#respond Wed, 11 Dec 2019 17:00:10 +0000 https://quietspeculation.com/?p=21092 The saying goes that those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it. In Modern, those who do not observe the metagame are doomed to be passed by. Applied to Magic, such proverbs encourage every player to duly note how the metagame evolves and develops over a competitive year. Having spent the […]

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Punishing Fire: Qualitative Results and Conclusion https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/05/punishing-fire-qualitative-results-conclusion/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/05/punishing-fire-qualitative-results-conclusion/#comments Tue, 21 May 2019 16:00:01 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=20088 Last week, I unveiled the first part of my Punishing Fire test. With the data compiled and revealed, it's time for the less-concrete part. The data is the data and speaks for itself. However, that's not the whole story. Magic isn't just a numbers game; there are a lot of intangibles. For instance, it's also supposed […]

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Testing Punishing Fire: Quantitative Data https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/05/testing-punishing-fire-quantitative-data/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/05/testing-punishing-fire-quantitative-data/#comments Tue, 14 May 2019 16:00:01 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=20049 And now it's time for everyone's favorite part of the banlist test: the experimental data. With 500 matches of Jund with and without Punishing Fire under my belt, I have developed a very strong opinion on unbanning the card. Today, I will reveal the hard numbers and their statistical significance. As always, these data are […]

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Testing Punishing Fire: Experimental Setup https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/05/testing-punishing-fire-experimental-setup/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/05/testing-punishing-fire-experimental-setup/#comments Tue, 07 May 2019 16:00:51 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=20023 The time has come to start rolling out the results of my latest foray into the Modern banlist. In the past, the return of this series was hailed with a public vote for which card I'd work on, followed by months of silence while I actually did the work. This time, extenuating circumstances dictated the […]

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Slice & Dice: January 21st Banlist Prediction https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/01/slice-dice-january-21st-banlist-prediction/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2019/01/slice-dice-january-21st-banlist-prediction/#comments Fri, 18 Jan 2019 17:00:48 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=19433 Another banlist announcement is just around the corner. While the last few announcements have proven unfruitful, I believe this time will be different; after all, it is January, and Wizards has a history of shaking up Modern around this time. I'm anticipating at least one unban, and wouldn't be surprised if a ban occurred as […]

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Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #9 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/09/hold-em-fold-em-9/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/09/hold-em-fold-em-9/#comments Fri, 07 Sep 2018 14:51:33 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=89418

This week has a nice focus on lands, but we're not referring to the Legacy deck. Eddie also starts touching on Guilds of Ravnica spoilers.

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The Hidden Strength of Krark-Clan Ironworks https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/07/hidden-strength-krark-clan-ironworks/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/07/hidden-strength-krark-clan-ironworks/#comments Tue, 31 Jul 2018 16:00:52 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=18437 I've spoken about Krark-Clan Ironworks on several occasions now, but continued testing has reinforced my belief that many Modern players don't really understand how it works. The combo itself is incredibly complicated once it gets going, and as a result, players frequently misplay. But the strategy's true strength isn't its density, but how much Engineered […]

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Colorless Matchup Guide: Mardu and Ironworks https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/07/colorless-matchup-guide-mardu-and-ironworks/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2018/07/colorless-matchup-guide-mardu-and-ironworks/#comments Fri, 13 Jul 2018 16:00:56 +0000 http://quietspeculation.com/?p=18340 Mardu Pyromancer and Ironworks are wildly successful Modern decks right now, and for good reason: the former attacks from multiple angles while making excellent use of the format's premier abusable resource, the graveyard; the latter is an artifact-based combo deck that's at once tricky to disrupt and unintuitive to play against for most opponents. So […]

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