Wrenn and Six | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Thu, 04 Jan 2024 17:46:19 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png Wrenn and Six | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 December ’23 Metagame Update: Holiday Hangover https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/01/december-23-metagame-update-holiday-hangover/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/01/december-23-metagame-update-holiday-hangover/#comments Thu, 04 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132059

Time to close the books on 2023. It's been quite a year. We saw two of the biggest sustained warps in Modern's history, banned and restricted policy reverted to an earlier form, and we had the first unban since 2019.

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I Put All Modern’s Best Cards into One Deck and It’s Sick https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/i-put-all-moderns-best-cards-into-one-deck-and-its-sick/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/i-put-all-moderns-best-cards-into-one-deck-and-its-sick/#respond Fri, 14 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130643

Modern has finally achieved critical mass... of legends! Mox Amber holds together a five-color pile that can grind out anything with its top-down engine-focus.

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Data Danger: Modern Is Not as Diverse as You Think https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/03/strategic-diversity-a-metagame-update-addendum/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/03/strategic-diversity-a-metagame-update-addendum/#respond Wed, 15 Mar 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=127901

How much of Modern's "diversity" is really just the same strategies masquerading as different decks? David E. asks whether the numbers really do lie.

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“New Decks Are Bad:” Overcoming Metagame Inertia https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/03/new-decks-are-bad-overcoming-metagame-inertia/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/03/new-decks-are-bad-overcoming-metagame-inertia/#respond Wed, 01 Mar 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=127457

The Pioneer metagame isn't changing post-Pro Tour. David E. believes that physics has the answer to why players seem unwilling to innovate or change decks.

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Tournament Report: SCGCON NJ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/tournament-report-scgcon-nj/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/tournament-report-scgcon-nj/#respond Tue, 17 Jan 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=126187

Adam's back with a Modern tournament report fresh from SCGCON NJ. Read on to see just how Indomitable his Creativity was this weekend!

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December ’22 Metagame Analysis: A Warp Has Formed https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/december-22-metagame-analysis-a-warp-has-formed/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/01/december-22-metagame-analysis-a-warp-has-formed/#respond Fri, 06 Jan 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=125939

Modern is moving in a decidedly red direction. Indomitable Creativity decks are diverging between paper and online play. David E. explains how and why.

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Modern Ban Watchlist: 2023 Edition https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/modern-ban-watchlist-2023-edition/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/modern-ban-watchlist-2023-edition/#respond Wed, 28 Dec 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=125247

The end of the year means an update to the Modern Ban Watchlist. The metagame has failed to deal with its outliers and so corrective bans may be incoming.

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Magic 30: Tournament Reports https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/magic-30-tournament-reports/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/magic-30-tournament-reports/#respond Mon, 14 Nov 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=123534

Sig's focus at Magic 30 was talking to vendors, but he did manage to play in two side events that weekend. This week he shares brief reports of both events.

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October ’22 Metagame Analysis: Adaptation and Endurance https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-analysis-adaptation-and-endurance/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-analysis-adaptation-and-endurance/#respond Fri, 11 Nov 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=123495

October has proven to be both a volatile and a stable month for Modern. David E looks into the reason for the contradiction and what to expect in November.

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Magic 30: Vendors, and the State of Magic Finance https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/magic-30-vendors-and-the-state-of-magic-finance/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/magic-30-vendors-and-the-state-of-magic-finance/#comments Mon, 07 Nov 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=123161

Sig dives into the vendor dynamics at Magic 30: pictures of hotlists, high-end cards for sale, and insights from his interactions with some vendors.

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Post-Banning Check-in: Yorion Edition https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/post-banning-check-in-yorion-edition/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/post-banning-check-in-yorion-edition/#respond Tue, 18 Oct 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=122106

David E. expected 4-Color Omnath to bounce back quickly from Yorion, Sky Nomad being banned. That isn't happening, and there are surprising reasons why.

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Yorion and Meathook Get MASSACRED https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/yorion-and-meathook-get-massacred/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/10/yorion-and-meathook-get-massacred/#respond Tue, 11 Oct 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=121821

Yorion, Sky Nomad is BANNED in Modern and so is The Meathook Massacre in Standard. Adam talks about why and predicts the new directions the formats will take.

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Top 2 RCQ Finish: Modern 4C Control https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/08/top-2-rcq-finish-modern-4c-control/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/08/top-2-rcq-finish-modern-4c-control/#respond Tue, 09 Aug 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=118292

Adam picks up his third RCQ Top 8, this time with 4c Omnath. He goes over which dials need adjusting, and his plans for future iterations on the archetype.

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Top 4 RCQ Finish: Modern 4c Creativity https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/08/top-4-rcq-finish-modern-4c-creativity/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/08/top-4-rcq-finish-modern-4c-creativity/#respond Tue, 02 Aug 2022 11:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=117819

Another week, and another top RCQ finish for Adam, this time with Indomitable Creativity Combo! He goes over the deck, how it wins, and how it fits in the meta.

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June ’22 Metagame Analysis: Dynamic Stability https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/07/june-22-metagame-analysis-dynamic-stability/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/07/june-22-metagame-analysis-dynamic-stability/#respond Fri, 08 Jul 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=116498

Following up on the data article, David looks to answer how and why Modern has stabilized and what, if anything, is likely to rock the boat.

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June ’22 Metagame Update: Stability Achieved https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/07/stability-achieved-june-22-metagame-update/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/07/stability-achieved-june-22-metagame-update/#respond Tue, 05 Jul 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=116226

David's June metagame update for the Modern format indicates... stability? How could this be!? Read on to get the full scoop on Omnath and others.

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Price Adjustments in Double Masters 2022 Mythics https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/06/price-adjustments-in-double-masters-2022-mythics/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/06/price-adjustments-in-double-masters-2022-mythics/#comments Wed, 29 Jun 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=115647

Double Masters 2022 is guaranteed to shake up prices in a big way. But which cards are the winners and losers? David S. has the scoop!

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Examining Double Masters 2022 https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/06/examining-double-masters-2022/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/06/examining-double-masters-2022/#respond Mon, 27 Jun 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=115916

This week Sig shares his thoughts on Double Masters 2022 preorder prices and his optimism for the secondary market. Where are preorder prices headed?

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Another Alternative: 4-Color Omnath Evolves https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/05/another-alternative-4-color-omnath-evolves/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/05/another-alternative-4-color-omnath-evolves/#respond Tue, 17 May 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=114284

David E. notices a troubling trend among Omnath decks: they're warping and converging further. The common thread? Risen Reef is better than everything!

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A Year in Review: The Complete 2021 Modern Metagame https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/01/a-year-in-review-the-complete-2021-modern-metagame/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/01/a-year-in-review-the-complete-2021-modern-metagame/#respond Wed, 12 Jan 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=108700

David closes the books on 2021 with a full-on year-end metagame report. Best performers? Biggest disappointments? Place your bets and see!

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