Right now demand is at the highest…there are none currently available and everyone who is preselling (remotely intelligently) is limiting how many they will presell to prevent themselves from having to buy them full price to fullfill an order…so high demand and limited supply…not the recipe for a ‘buy’ call.

I believe David is correct. The Meta has changes and Duals are run a lot less in Legacy as of late. Look through active decklists in the last month or two weeks. Most decks are running 2-5 range on the lower side. Growth of mono decks also.

Thanks, I appreciate the positive feedback. I still like duals for the long term, but as you can see by the overall trends…they are sliding back downwards (the march spike was way too much too fast) so I actually wouldn’t go cash buying them anywhere near their TCG-Mid (as several other authors have mentioned you can often by them a good bit below the TCG price on ebay).

I can definitely agree that there’s plenty of demand for these across the board, but you can already pre-order Polluted Delta’s on TCG for 19.99…so your argument is that they won’t drop any lower AFTER product is open and a bunch hit the market? I think $15 is an easy target (and again wouldn’t be surprised to see them drop to $12/13). I tend to believe trends that have proven themselves accurate (Zendikar fetches dropped, RTR shocks dropped, Temples dropped).

I doubt the blue ones will…but non-blue has a decent liklihood. If you recall when they announced the shocklands were being reprinted we saw the prices of the new ones pre-selling for 75% of the price of the old ones (when RTR first started preselling), but after a couple months of being opened those plummeted to 17-25% of the originals price. I know my local playerbase are all very excited for Khans and a lot more boxes will be opened than usual, which means that a LOT more fetchlands will enter the market. Maybe I’ll be wrong, but I expect to pick up the new fetchlands for $7-10 (non-blue) and $13-15 (blue).

I do mention that issue when I talk about Tropical Island and it may be a bigger one than I’d given it credit for. I do believe that it’s definitely playing a part in it, but I keep a spreadsheet with the prices on my “blue chip” stocks and update it every time I write this article and previous articles actually showed bumps in the dual land prices over previous weeks. If they were all going negative all the time, I’d agree, but when some go up and some go down it’s difficult to attribute that to anything other than changes in demand (most likely due to metagame performance). As you can see by the graphs, the overall trend appears to be universally downward (for the reason you and I both mentioned already), however, weekly price fluctuations (both up and down) are likely also tied to metagame changes.