Some of you may be familiar with my Market Watch series on www.empeopled.com, where I look at the playability and financial breakdown of a single card every few weeks. Well, one of the most important parts of making predictions is reviewing them later, and that's what I went for this week.

At the time I wrote the article, we didn't have the Judge Promo version, and this one was ticking up. I predicted it to hit a certain point, and structured a thesis based around its playability in Modern and absurd power in Commander.

So how did I do on that call?

"I made the grandest Cenobite of them all the subject of a Market Watch on Feb. 10, 2014, nearly five months ago. At the time, Elesh Norn was sitting at $22 on TCGPlayer after a solid rise in price. I wrote about her because I felt like the momentum wasn't quite done and because as a Mythic from a rarely-opened set, any number she reached was likely to hold until a reprint came. That led me to predict a $30-35 price point."

Today? She's nearly $30. While I wasn't exactly wrong, she didn't quite reach the level I thought she would. I used this retrospective look as an opportunity to look at the reasons for that.

You can read the full article here.