Insider: MTGO Cards to Buy, Sell or Hold – Episode 21

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Welcome back, investors!

On Thursday, Wizards announced the schedule for the first part of 2017. The most relevant news for MTGO finance is the return of Invasion block flashback drafts. By the time I'm writing this, it's already late to buy the boosters, but it opens the possibility for other old draft sets being profitable, so pay attention and move fast when Wizards announces them.  For now, only Invasion block is confirmed.

The other important information is the return of triple Zendikar draft for a week of flashback queues. This is no surprise for me. I lost interest in speculation on Modern, or basically any older formats, on MTGO, at least until Wizards started showing they were committed to lowering singles prices. If you were holding some fetchlands or other ZEN goodies from before the treasure chest announcement, as I was, waiting for a miracle rebound to close them in positive is unfortunately passed. I sold my ZEN cards at a loss.

Regarding the Standard format: nothing relevant happened after the Grand Prix tournaments, but prices are more volatile than in previous weeks and players are still digesting the new decks in the format.

Let's see the most exciting cards of this week:

Thalia's Lieutenant


Some of the most interesting decks at the GP were White Weenie with Shambling Vents and the WG Humans. The problem with those decks is that they didn't make top eight. Those decks were around in the metagame for a few days and players are aware of them, but the number of players hasn't increased much. I think Thalia's Lieutenant reached a short-term high and selling is the best move. Holding them is also an option, but a slightly worse one, because if those decks don't prove to be strong enough in the current metagame, the price will go back to it lowest level.

Verdict: SELL

Elder Deep-Fiend


Elder Deep-Fiend's appearance rate decreased drastically after the Temur Emerge deck from Pro Tour Eldritch Moon fell off the radar. Some cards, in Standard in particular, don't see play for a long period of time even if they are powerful; they just sit there waiting for the right moment to return to the fields. With the release of Aether Revolt one month away, Elder Deep-Fiend has great potential to rebound in the new metagame. The card went from 0.75 to slightly over 1 tix overnight previously, proving it has a strong 1-tix support level. I recommend grabbing as many copies as you want for up to 1 tix.
Verdict: BUY

Thought-Knot Seer

The UW Panharmonicon deck's potential didn't match the number of players in the metagame, even though it should have good matchups against the most-played decks. It might not be as strong as it appeared without the surprise factor, or players might not be interested in trying new decks with Aether Revolt's release in mind and no big Standard tournaments coming up. Reasons aside, what matters is that if you bought Seers at a high buy-in price during the GP coverage for a super short-term spec, we don't have a wide selling window nor enough time to wait for a metagame shift, so I recommend selling them as soon as possible and avoid a bigger price drop.
Verdict: SELL

Fortified Village

With only a handful of Aether Revolt spoilers, one thing is certain: the WG combination seems strong in the set. After the recent ephemeral popularity of white aggo decks in Standard, hitting 0.80 tix, Fortified Village's price went back to near it lowest price level. It is just a matter of time for it to rebound for speculative reasons.
Verdict: BUY

Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger

The RG Aetherworks Marvel helped Ulamog's price to rise, changing the direction of it bearish trend. I think it has reached a high price and will likely go down in the following days as we are closer to a new set release.
Verdict: SELL
That's all for today, see you next week!

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