Are you a Quiet Speculation member?
If not, now is a perfect time to join up! Our powerful tools, breaking-news analysis, and exclusive Discord channel will make sure you stay up to date and ahead of the curve.
Hello, Insiders!
Chaz here, and I’ll be taking over a familiar segment presented formerly by Ryan Overturf. I wanted to bring these updates back on a semi-regular basis and quickly update Insiders about market movement and specific card choices – and explore why!
For this update, I’ll be focusing on Vampire Nocturnus. Why would I suddenly highlight this card? Well, earlier today Wizards of the Coast updated their Commander 2017 Product Banner. Featuring this image:
This all but confirms Vampires as one of the tribes, as many players vested in the lore of the game can identify this character is Edgar Markov. This is a fairly popular tribe, while it may be overdone - many players still gravitate to this tribe whenever new cards are presented to support it. Enter Vampire Nocturnus.
This card has always been extremely potent in this tribe, and it's been quite some time since we've had copies of this readily available to us. Pack foil versions being more scarce (even with 2 Core set printings). While there is a Pre-release version, I don't think that should be cause for concern - considering they have different art.
If we use a site like EDHREC to track some Commander data, there's only a few Vampires that have a higher percentage inclusion rate. Vampire Nocturnus sits at 74% of decks, additionally the only other mythic with a higher percentage is Bloodlord of Vaasgoth - which should be considered as well.
We've seen some excitement and market movement when we received new information about the other Tribal decks in this edition of the Commander Product - and I believe this will be a similar reaction. I also wanted to include the graph to chart the last few years:
While the card drastically decreased early on - the last few years leave some room to be optimistic. The card is becoming more scarce, specifically foil versions. It has leveled off some, but has shown it can slowly but surely increase over the years. I suspect renewed interest in the tribe may push this card back to the forefront and spark movement. Both printings in a core set as mythic should also be a contributing factor.
