Insider: Standard Standouts After Dominaria

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Dominaria has been legal on Magic Online for a week now, and it’s having a big impact on Standard. Today I’m going to go over what new cards are excelling and how they’re impacting demand for other cards.

One of the very best cards in Dominaria is History of Benalia, which has revitalized white aggressive decks but is also an important piece of a new White-Blue Historic Flash deck, which uses it alongside Raff Capashen, Ship's Mage and other instant-speed cards. It resembles the White-Blue Flash deck from the days of Smuggler's Copter, and it’s having a big impact on the metagame and the market.

History of Benalia has risen to nearly $20, but I could see it hitting $25 to $30 like Gideon, Ally of Zendikar did when it was white’s staple four-of mythic that saw play in multiple archetypes.

The breakout mythic of Dominaria so far is Lyra Dawnbringer, which is another card being used in nearly every archetype that can cast it. It’s a key part of the White-Blue Flash deck and is used in more traditional White-Blue Control decks as well. It’s also seeing play in aggressive white decks, including Mardu Vehicles and White-Red and White-Black Midrange decks, and it's part of a White-Green aggro deck, some which use it alongside Mox Amber. It pre-sold for around $15, and is now at $17 and heading towards $20 or higher, but even with so much playability, I don’t think it can maintain a higher price for long.

Another part of the White-Blue Flash deck is Teferi, Hero of Dominaria, and it’s used in White-Blue and three-color control decks. It also pre-sold for around $15 and is heading towards $20, but it’s rarely a four-of and limited in its use, so I see it falling.

A card from the Flash deck that I could see making big gains is Settle the Wreckage, which online has moved from under 3 tix a couple weeks ago to over 9 tix. White-Blue Flash looks to be a real deck, and White-Blue Control is also having a comeback, so I don’t see why the paper price of Settle the Wreckage couldn’t spike towards the price of a staple like Vraska's Contempt. Hitting $14 is a long way to go from $6, but $10 seems realistic if online popularity transfers over to paper.

Another huge online gainer this week is Aethersphere Harvester, which is up to nearly 10 tix from under 5 last week. It has always been a Standard staple, but it’s seeing more play than ever as the format becomes more aggressive, and it’s used in essentially every creature deck. It’s also a beneficiary of Karn, Scion of Urza and is being used alongside it in high numbers in Black-Red Vehicles, which was one of the top decks before Dominaria and looks cemented in its position now. Aethersphere Harvester’s paper price has been falling and is down to $2 from a high of $3, which makes sense since it rotates later this year, but I could see the price seeing a brief turnaround or at least stabilizing.

One of the best ways to take advantage of the rise of White-Blue is Irrigated Farmland, a true staple of the deck and of any White-Blue deck that will be in Standard for over a year to come. It has seen a massive rise this week, up to over 5 tix from under 2, but the paper price has sagged down to $3 from a high of $5. Unlike Aethersphere Harvester, it doesn’t rotate out this year, so there’s really no reason for the price to be falling, so I see it as a great bargain with a high potential payoff compared to the downside.

Another card riding the wave of white cards in Dominaria is Gideon of the Trials, up from just over 5 tix last week to over 9 now. It has uses in all sorts of Standard decks, from aggro to control, and it sees Modern play as well, so it’s the sort of card that should maintain value even as it rotates out of the format next year. Its price bottomed out above $9 in February and has climbed to $11, and I see it heading back to $15 and potentially towards its previous high of $20.

Scavenger Grounds is one of Standard’s true staples and is accessible to all colors of decks. Its price has grown steadily since it was printed and has recently accelerated to its all-time high around $4.50. The online price has rocketed even higher to over 9 tix, and I see the paper price on the same trajectory towards $10 as long as God-Pharaoh's Gift remains in the top-tier of the metagame – and I expect it to for the duration of its run in Standard.

A card to watch is Tendershoot Dryad, which is being used in a Black-Green Saproling deck that has earned multiple 5-0 trophies in leagues. The deck looks like the real deal, which is huge for the price of a card that previously hasn’t been competitive, and could bring its price from a dollar to a few of them

Rowdy Crew was used as a four-of in a Mono-Red God-Pharaoh's Gift deck that 5-0ed a league, the beneficiary of the printing of Goblin Chainwhirler, Siege-Gang Commander and Skirk Prospector. Rowdy Crew is perfect fit in the deck, which could take market share from the popular Blue-Red version, and its especially interesting financially because it’s a mythic rare that hasn’t been used competitively, so the potential is tremendous if the deck becomes popularized. Combat Celebrant went from being practically a bulk Mythic to double-digits overnight, and Rowdy Crew could have a similar trajectory. Online it’s up to over a ticket from under half, and the paper price is under a dollar, so there’s a ton of upside.

One thought on “Insider: Standard Standouts After Dominaria

  1. Under Irrigated Farmland, you mentioned it doesn’t rotate out this year, unlike Aethersphere Harvester. I thought the Amonkhet block rotated out at the same time as the Kaladesh block? Certainly anyways they’d all rotate out sometime in the same year. That’s what says anyways.

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