Urza's Saga | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Mon, 09 Jun 2025 14:05:37 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png Urza's Saga | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 May ’25 Metagame Update: RCQ Questions https://www.quietspeculation.com/2025/06/may-25-metagame-update-rcq-questions/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2025/06/may-25-metagame-update-rcq-questions/#respond Mon, 09 Jun 2025 14:05:36 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132754

Modern's metagame appears to be stabilizing. However, Final Fantasy is bringing huge changes. Not from new cards, but from a hugely impactful rule change.

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June ’24 Metagame Update: The New Horizon https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/07/june-24-metagame-update-the-new-horizon/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/07/june-24-metagame-update-the-new-horizon/#respond Fri, 12 Jul 2024 18:47:29 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132278

Modern Horizons 3 has released and the metagame has dramatically shifted. There's a large problem looming over Modern, but the metagame is looking healthy.

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March ’24 Metagame Update: The Cascade Crash https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/04/march-24-metagame-update-the-cascade-crash/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/04/march-24-metagame-update-the-cascade-crash/#comments Fri, 05 Apr 2024 14:02:28 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132170

Violent Outburst is banned, and the Modern metagame is adjusting. However, from the data it's clear that players have little idea which direction it's heading.

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January ’24 Metagame Update: Convergent Consensus https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/02/january-24-metagame-update-convergent-consensus/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/02/january-24-metagame-update-convergent-consensus/#respond Wed, 07 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132090

There is a clear metagame warp in January's data. However, it appears to be driven less by actual metagame forces than Magic Online being Magic Online.

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August ’23 Modern Metagame Update: The Unban’s Effect https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/09/august-23-modern-metagame-update-the-unbans-effect/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/09/august-23-modern-metagame-update-the-unbans-effect/#comments Thu, 07 Sep 2023 18:24:31 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131910

August was... unexpected. Wizards threw everyone off with their Ban Day decisions. Bans were expected in Standard (based on Wizards' own statements) and hoped for in multiple other formats. Instead, Modern and Legacy saw unbans. The impact this has had will be on display in this metagame update.

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I Put All Modern’s Best Cards into One Deck and It’s Sick https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/i-put-all-moderns-best-cards-into-one-deck-and-its-sick/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/i-put-all-moderns-best-cards-into-one-deck-and-its-sick/#respond Fri, 14 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130643

Modern has finally achieved critical mass... of legends! Mox Amber holds together a five-color pile that can grind out anything with its top-down engine-focus.

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What Makes Modern and Legacy Special? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/what-makes-modern-and-legacy-special/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/what-makes-modern-and-legacy-special/#respond Thu, 15 Jun 2023 13:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131053

Everyone has their favorite formats. In his first article, Mapson tells us why Modern and Legacy are his. He also gives us his lists for the weekend.

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Caught Blue-Handed: Is Murktide Modern’s Best Deck? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/caught-blue-handed-is-murktide-moderns-best-deck/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/caught-blue-handed-is-murktide-moderns-best-deck/#respond Wed, 26 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129313

What is the best deck in Modern? There are many possible answers, but David E. has the data-driven case for Murktide being the best deck in Modern today.

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Testing with MOM: Unexpected Success https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/testing-with-mom-unexpected-success/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/testing-with-mom-unexpected-success/#respond Wed, 19 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129140

March of the Machine may have seemed underwhelming during spoiler season, but David E. has found had surprising luck testing cards in Modern... even a battle!

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January ’23 Metagame Analysis: Return of Churn https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/02/january-23-metagame-analysis-return-of-churn/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/02/january-23-metagame-analysis-return-of-churn/#respond Fri, 10 Feb 2023 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=126923

Attention, insiders! Modern is entering a new period of churn. All Will Be One may even lead to bannings. David E. shows you how to get ahead of the risk.

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Modern Ban Watchlist: 2023 Edition https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/modern-ban-watchlist-2023-edition/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/modern-ban-watchlist-2023-edition/#respond Wed, 28 Dec 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=125247

The end of the year means an update to the Modern Ban Watchlist. The metagame has failed to deal with its outliers and so corrective bans may be incoming.

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State of Modern: 2022 Edition https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/state-of-modern-2022-edition/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/state-of-modern-2022-edition/#comments Wed, 21 Dec 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=125033

Modern's metagame has been shaken up repeatedly, but that's not obvious looking at winning decks. Modern is thus in a complicated place, as David E. explains.

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November ’22 Metagame Analysis: Gradual Shifting https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/november-22-metagame-analysis-gradual-shifting/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/12/november-22-metagame-analysis-gradual-shifting/#respond Fri, 09 Dec 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=124757

The Modern metagame looks relatively stable. However, that's deceptive. The data doesn't show all the brewing by players trying to beat the established decks.

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October ’22 Metagame Analysis: Adaptation and Endurance https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-analysis-adaptation-and-endurance/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/11/october-22-metagame-analysis-adaptation-and-endurance/#respond Fri, 11 Nov 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=123495

October has proven to be both a volatile and a stable month for Modern. David E looks into the reason for the contradiction and what to expect in November.

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Fate is Fickle: Modern RCQ Report https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/07/fate-is-fickle-modern-rcq-report/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/07/fate-is-fickle-modern-rcq-report/#respond Tue, 19 Jul 2022 16:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=117051

David E. attended a Modern RCQ this weekend. Despite being his preferred format, it didn't go well. Winning takes more than just good preparation, after all.

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Adjusting Downward: March ’22 Metagame Analysis https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/04/adjusting-downward-march-22-metagame-analysis/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/04/adjusting-downward-march-22-metagame-analysis/#respond Fri, 08 Apr 2022 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=113057

David explains the latest Modern metagame update: what do the numbers mean for tournament prep and budgeting? And which card offers players its own market game?

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Layers, Part Four: Color-Changing, Ability-Altering, And P/T-Changing Effects https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/03/layers-part-four-color-changing-ability-altering-and-p-t-changing-effects/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/03/layers-part-four-color-changing-ability-altering-and-p-t-changing-effects/#respond Thu, 03 Mar 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=111797

Andrew ties up his series on layers, focusing on effects that change colors, abilities, or power and toughness. In the process, he also demystifies Dress Down!

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Not Quite There: A Tameshi Testing Tale https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/03/not-quite-there-a-tameshi-testing-tale/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/03/not-quite-there-a-tameshi-testing-tale/#respond Tue, 01 Mar 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=111752

David sees real potential in Tameshi, Reality Architect, and tries breaking the Wizard for Modern in a plethora of combo and value shells.

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Modern Top 5: Bullets https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/02/modern-top-5-bullets/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/02/modern-top-5-bullets/#respond Mon, 21 Feb 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=111418

Lightning Bolt has been replaced as Modern's most-played card... by a bullet! Jordan explains why while exploring the applications of Modern's best bullets.

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Layers, Part Three: Type-Changing Effects https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/02/layers-part-three-type-changing-effects/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2022/02/layers-part-three-type-changing-effects/#respond Thu, 17 Feb 2022 15:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=111198

Andrew takes a step forward in his layers series, looking now to type-changing effects and popular interactions with Blood Moon, Urza's Saga, and more.

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