FREE FOR ONE WEEK TO ALL!!!
On June 3rd this feature will revert back being Insider subscribers only, so hurry and sign up! Get 20% off your first month with the code 4B94AAA454.
After weeks of behind-the-scenes work (and some great Google Doc formatting by Chris McNutt), I’m proud to announce the Prediction Tracker is live and ready for use! This is the only tool of its kind in existence and it’s something that will really give Insiders a leg up on the competition.
We talk a lot about the benefits of having a team of finance writers on here, and nothing demonstrates that advantage more than the Prediction Tracker. Opinions on cards can vary, and not everyone is right every time. With the Prediction Tracker, you have everyone’s opinions aggregated into one easy-to-read spreadsheet. Think of it as your own personal trading cheat sheet.
The Tracker is broken down into three separate sections – the Hot List, Watch List, and Ditch List. The Hot List tells what cards to pick up, with the price you want to buy in at, as well as the priced each writer has targeted for the card to rise to. There also is an average buy and target price based on the predictions made by the team. The Watch List includes cards like Etched Champion that are underpriced but currently lacking a deck to push their price up. And finally, the Ditch List tells you what cards to unload now before they come down in price, either because their price has peaked (I’m looking at you, Splinter Twin), or because of rotation, reprints, etc…
There also is a comments section for each of the cards mentioned. It appears separate from the collective results, and aggregates all the comments from each writer into a column for every individual card. This allows for each contributor to explain their reasoning for why they recommended buying or selling a particular card.
One of the best features of the Tracker is that it updates in real-time! That means that as soon as a writer makes a call on a card (say, buying up Spellskites after it’s spoiled), they’ll enter it into the Tracker and it will be available for you to view whenever you want! No more waiting until Tuesday or Wednesday for a column to discuss last week’s news. No more scouring the Twitter feed of every financial writer to find card tips. A simple trip to the Quiet Speculation homepage and onto the Prediction Tracker will put all this information at your fingertips.
Every Friday, I’ll be writing an (additional) column detailing the changes and trends from week to week. Cards go from great buys to great sells at a moment’s notice, and I’ll do my best to disseminate the most important Tracker data to you every week. The Tracker will be archived each week so that anyone can look back and see what Tracker contributors were saying about Consecrated Sphinx two months ago. A common theme of my articles is accountability, and the Tracker goes a long way toward making that easier to track than ever.
Before we get to the first edition of the Tracker, I want to introduce the team of writers contributing. The QS team will be the regular contributors, but we have plans to bring in experts from outside websites to contribute as well, so keep an eye out for that. And remember, if you want access to the Tracker after this week, remember to sign up for an Insider account!
Renowned MTG financial expert and Quiet Speculation founder, Kelly is a practiced veteran of the prediction scene. Running his own hobby shop, Kelly has a close read on the MTG community and gives financial advice accordingly.
Stephen does a great job getting breaking news onto the site, often posting updates from the weekend’s events at 12:01 Monday mornings, giving readers a huge heads up when it comes to the cards likely to be discussed that week. Stephen keeps a close handle on seemingly every online MTG store and provides that insight to readers.
A savvy trading veteran, Ryan interacts with more traders in a weekend’s time than most people do in a year. He has a ton of experience interacting with dealers and knows exactly how much you can expect to sell your cards for.
Not only did Chad do some pioneering work on a post-Besieged Pyromancer Ascension list, he knows his way around the trade tables as well. A solid addition to any financial team.
Our resident pro, Josh brings a player’s perspective to the team, a crucial angle that allows him to spot cards or decks that are under-the-radar. Not only can Josh tell you that Phyrexian Revoker is going to rise in price, he can also tell you exactly why it’s going to do so.
That’s me! I fall somewhere in between a player and a full-time trader. Some of my recent called shots include Stoneforge Mystic, Tezzeret, Agent of Bolas and Spellskite. Hopefully I’ll continue the hot streak!
Legacy expert Doug Linn has been playing Magic for a long time, and has seen a lot of cards come and go. His weekly financial reviews of older sets are invaluable to newer players and he brings that knowledge to the table for the Prediction Tracker!
As you can see, that’s a pretty solid resume for everyone contributing to the Tracker, and I promise you will make money based on the advice of this team. With that, let’s get to the first edition of the Tracker!
(Editor’s Note – Google is experiencing intermittent availability issues. Spreadsheets may be unavailable until Google corrects the issue.)
[iframe https://spreadsheets2.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AukC5EWiTvOpdGtvb0c3YmFRRmZLZEhTWVFwRjczeFE&single=true&gid=2&output=html 925px 1000px]
[iframe https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AukC5EWiTvOpdGtvb0c3YmFRRmZLZEhTWVFwRjczeFE&single=true&gid=10&output=html 925px 700px]
[iframe https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AukC5EWiTvOpdGtvb0c3YmFRRmZLZEhTWVFwRjczeFE&single=true&gid=11&output=html 925px 700px]
[iframe https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0AukC5EWiTvOpdGtvb0c3YmFRRmZLZEhTWVFwRjczeFE&single=true&gid=12&output=html 925px 700px]
As you can see, one of the most agreed-upon cards to pick up from the current list is Consecrated Sphinx. The card has risen about 50% in the last two weeks, and figures to continue to do so. If the Titan cycle isn’t reprinted, then the Sphinx stands to become a go-to finisher post-rotation. As a Mythic, this card has a lot of room to grow.
Another card that has received a lot of attention is Jace, the Mind Sculptor. He appears on both the Hot List and the Ditch List for a reason, which spelled out in the comments. To quote Josh Justice, “Pick up from Standard-only players when the rotation hits, hold for half a year or so, then flip for profit to Extended PTQ players (if that season exists next spring) and Legacy players. See Tarmogoyf for price comparisons. Dropped from ~65 to <40 when it got suddenly rotated out of Extended, and is back up there now. Legacy alone could keep Jace that high. Blue control won’t get a card this good for years, if ever again.” Seems true.
The Ravnica cycle of Shocklands, including Hallowed Fountain and friends, also are a popular subject. These things are a great pickup right now. With Commander decks coming out this summer, the possibility of the creation of a Paper Modern or Overextended format, and prices of dual lands rising out of control, demand for these lands is only going to grow. Pick them up now in trades from people who still value them at $5.
There also seems to be some consensus that now is the best time to move your Spellskite and Splinter Twins. Why are we suggesting to ditch two of the hottest cards in Standard? In short, the Law of Mythics, which state that very few Standard Rares can hold a price tag above $10. Looking at BlackLotusProject.com, which tracks Ebay prices, it’s easy to see that Splinter Twin has peaked. Therefore, there is nothing left to do but clean out your stock for a profit.
That’s all I’ve got for this week. Everyone here is really excited about the creation of the Prediction Tracker, and I hope you are as well. This is very much an dynamic project, and your feedback is welcome and appreciated. Let us know what you think!
The live and permanent location for the Prediction Tracker can be found in the sub-menu for “Finance” in the top menu bar under “Articles” or at the following link.
@Chosler88 on Twitter