Welcome to another BSH! At this time, the metagame is defined by UW and BG Delirium as the most common decks, with Smuggler's Copter aggro decks coming in third.
It's just a matter of time until a new deck rises and shakes up prices. We can't know what that deck will be, but we can prepare for the event by grabbing underpriced staples and/or powerful cards. This weekend we will have a Modern GP in Dallas, then the World Magic Cup three weeks later, featuring more Modern. This format's singles prices have rebounded, and even though I firmly believe in avoiding long-term speculation in Modern cards, I would consider some short-term investment in the most played staples for the next season only.
To that end, let's see what the MTGO finance world has to offer us this week:
I have read a few articles online claiming that this card is great against the BG Delirium deck. I might have held Eldrazi Displacer for a bit longer, but this weekend's Modern GP will have an immediate and hopefully large influence on its price as we watch to see if the Bant Eldrazi deck is still powerful. I will probably sell my copies no later than this Sunday, no matter how good its performance is.
Verdict: HOLD (AT LEAST UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEKEND)
Gisela, the Broken Blade
I'm surprised by Gisela's price movement: the card went up since the first appearance of the UW deck at the Pro Tour. That's fine. What is not very common is maintaining this high price over time.
Looking at the graphic, I think the price started increasing due to speculators during the Pro Tour, with those investors liquidating at 10 tix (see the small price drop). The subsequent increase from that point is pure player demand. Congratulations to Gisela! ... but I don't think it will go much higher, so this is the best time to sell it.
Emrakul, the Promised End
In the previous episode of BSH, I rated Emrakul, the Promised End with HOLD. Now I think its time has come. The BG Delirium deck is now one of the most played in the format, and we will need even more players on the deck for Emrakul's price to go up. On top of that, we are close to two big Modern tournaments, and the expensive cards are the first ones players sell to buy other cards they need (for what it's worth, I don't think we will see Emrakul in Modern anytime soon). Meanwhile, investors are liquidating Standard cards in order to invest in Modern.
Emrakul is great in Standard and I could see rebuying it if it drops to 9 tix again, but I think its price will go down in the very short term, making now is the best time to sell it.
Sorin, Grim Nemesis
This a great time to pick up cheap and powerful Standard mythics that are off the radar of players, while speculators are focusing on another format altogether. I have mentioned Sorin, Grim Nemesis before, but the card unfortunately kept going down.
This is something that will happen in MTGO (and MTG) finance: every speculation won't go the way we desire; we just have to deal with it and make the best moves from our current positions. Panic selling is a common mistake among inexperienced traders and is one of the worst things you can do.
The right play here is to keep your copies (if you already bought enough) or buy them (if you don't have any or enough in your portfolio). A powerful mythic planeswalker card at this low price isn't something you will see every day.
Kiora, Master of the Depths
Another mythic planeswalker, but this one is totally unplayed in the metagame. Kiora, Master of the Depths gained popularity with the UG Crush deck, now nobody plays that deck anymore.
Giving another six months to BFZ in Standard makes Kiora a great speculation target. This is the type of card that can produce record profit, and I wouldn't even consider it a hit-or-miss strategy because the card is currently dirt cheap and unlikely to go lower.
See you next week!