Reprints tend to mean price adjustments. And Double Masters 2022 is full of sweet reprints! The many spoilers for Double Masters 2022 we got this past week inspired me to dig into the cards' reprint history and provide some perspective on what one can expect with regards to shifting prices.
It's important to keep in mind that estimated future values are heavily dependent on any additional reprints, or on the flip side, no major product availability issues. Those might drive prices higher than expected.
As there are a ton of mythics in this set, I have sorted them into five sections from high-dollar to bulk. Let's dive right in!
High-Dollar Mythics ($50+)
This vintage staple has been in need of a true mass reprint for some time now (the judge promo doesn't count). Given its price at announcement was sitting around $700-$750 thanks to scarcity, I expect it will likely be the marquee mythic of the set, and a whole lot more Commander players will finally get a chance to run this worse Vampiric Tutor.
A fair number will realize that sorcery speed and putting the card on top of the library makes a card much worse than staples Vampiric and Demonic, but that doesn't mean it won't be in demand. I could see this card dropping into the $70-$90 range and to be the "chase" mythic of the set.
Five printings of this card cannot seem to keep its price down. It is fair to note that all but its The List reprints were upgraded to mythic, and given the size of The List options, it was essentially still mythic there, too. I expect we will see a price trend similar to the Ultimate Masters reprint with an initial price dip down to $50-$55 that eventually returns to around $60-$65.
Wrenn and Six has seen a resurgence in demand in Modern thanks in large part to the powerful Kamigawa: Neon Destiny spell lands, especially Boseiju, Who Endures as a nigh-uncounterable answer to a lot of threats in Modern. I expect its price will dip below $50 as packs get cracked, but I imagine it will eventually break that $50 barrier.
Valuable Mythics ($25-$49)
The fact that this Commander bomb was not included in Streets of New Capenna (a crime-themed set) felt like a huge flavor miss. Though it makes more sense now as this much needed reprint will now help sell more expensive packs, and thanks to the upgrade to mythic rarity, the price won't tank as much. My estimate is it levels off in the $18-$25 range.
Yet another mythic reprint of Mana Vault, this card's ubiquity means it will likely tank in value as supply hits the market and recover slowly after the big initial glut gets absorbed. I honestly expect this card to drop to around $20-$24 and bounce back to around $30.
While this is being reprinted at mythic, its price was heavily driven by scarcity. I expect this reprint will likely drive the price to under $15 if not $10. Shepard simply doesn't see much play outside of fringe Neoform strategies in Modern.
While it currently sits in the $40 range, after its first big reprint in Iconic Masters, copies dropped to under $15. I could easily see this card initially dropping to $15-$20 before eventually rising back to $25.
The powerful Eldrazi titans keep getting reprinted and keep returning to their original values. I do think that this printing will finally push Kozilek, Butcher of Truth below $50.
As mentioned above, the price on the original Eldrazi titans always bounces back. However, Ulamog, the Infinite Gyre got an additional printing in FTV: Legends which has always kep the price lower than Kozilek, Butcher of Truth
I was surprised to see this included in the set given it was reprinted in Commander Legends just a couple years ago. The strictly-better Counterspell is sure to remain high value.
This is the first significant reprinting of this combo enabler, so while I expect the price to drop a lot initially, I expect it will recover to the $25-$30 range.
Medium-Value Mythics ($15-$24)
Admittedly, this was one of the harder cards to analyze. Its current price sits around $35, despite being both a judge promo and a secret lair drop. However, most of the demand is from Commander players, and even then it shows up in only 3% of decks on EDHREC.
A lot of this cards' value is based on its last major printing being in Chronicles, which was 27 years ago. Its price was in the $15-$20 range before the pandemic, which jacked up its price along with those of so many other older Commander cards.
The most powerful Eldrazi titan and the only one banned in Commander. Despite being a prerelease promo, it still commands a $30+ price tag.
I honestly had no idea this card was nearing $50 prior to it being spoiled in this set. However, its price is so heavily tied to the availability of Modern events that barring a big return to in person Modern GPs (or Magic Fests), I see this card sitting closer to $22 longer term.
Low-Value Mythics ($4-$14)
This card is beloved by casual Angel players and token players alike, and despite seeing virtually no Standard play maintained a $7+ price tag for over a year before spiking up into the $10+ range where it has sat since.
This one is the card I think is most likely to jump up a level, should the Modern format get some major events in the next year or so. She is typically found in Modern's BGx Rock decks, including Jund, and in some Pioneer decks.
Vampires are a beloved tribe in Commander, and Elenda, the Dusk Rose is a powerful commander that allows players to make giant Vampire token armies when creatures die. This card managed to stay above $5 its entire life despite seeing almost no Standard play when released. It has since climbed into the low $20s. I expect this reprint will likely put it at around $8 long term.
The fact that this card had already plummeted from a $30 spike down to around $8 and sat there for 7 months makes me feel confidant that it will be at the low end of this range (if now fall into the bulk category below).
A solid Commander card whose value has mostly been driven by that format alone means it will likely remain above bulk status. I expect this one to be near the upper echelon of this stratus.
Being a recent judge promo from 2019, copies were already sitting at $15 before this card was spoiled. I expect the price to now drift down to $8-$10.
I expect we will see this card's price trajectory mimic that of Imperial Recruiter, which was a $350 card prior to being reprinted in Masters 25, which has copies sitting at $8. This is too much of a niche card whose value is so heavily influenced due to extreme scarcity that any decent influx in supply tanks it.
Bulk Mythics ($0.5-$3)
This is definitely one of the bulk mythics of the set. While Mizzix was a popular Commander back in the day, with the continued power creep of creatures, it is getting harder and harder to justify choosing an older legendary creature as your Commander.
This card was sitting at under $7 prior to its spoiling, and just doesn't see enough play in any format to be above $3. It does too little for too much mana, and its plus ability is often useless the turn you cast him.
While it has finally recovered in price from it's Ultimate Masters reprint, another one will likely push it to the $3 range, given it sat around $5-6 for over a year post UMA.
Aminatou, the Fateshiftergraph name="Cavern" set=""]
Given preorders for copies moving at $7.75 and that Aminatou has been drifting downward on EDHREC.com's list of top Esper Commanders, it just doesn't seem likely that she stays above $3, especially given that the original C18 copies are already around $3.50.
With pre-sales at $6.50, there is virtually no chance this card maintains a price above $3. What surprises me most about this inclusion is that Ezuri, Claw of Progress was just released as a Judge Promo last year and that promo is already down 20% as of being spoiled. I expect it will drop to less than $20.
Back when the original Commander decks came out,Ghave, Guru of Spores was a very popular Commander for token and Aristocrats-style decks. Unfortunately those days seem to be long gone, making this a clearly sub-$2 mythic when supply hits the market.
With the original Shards of Alara copies selling at $3.50 right now, this will easily drift to $2 or less after sets release.
One of the most popular Reanimator archetype commanders, another reprint simply puts the nail in the financial coffin of this card.
While copies were sitting in the $20 range prior to being spoiled, the price is already down to $10. Being the 13th-most-played Naya commander doesn't bode well for its long-term price. I can see it easily hitting $3 as pack crackers flood the market with low-value mythics trying to recoup some cash.
On the day of being spoiled this card was $8 and was a mythic rare from Jumpstart. Despite the love Unicorns and Horses have from the casual community, this card will drop below $3 in no time.
I honestly have no idea why this card was reprinted at all, let alone at mythic. It was a bulk mythic basically its entire existence. Disciple is even worthy of falling as low as $0.25-$0.50.
Despite being the 12th most popular Commander on EDHREC.com, this reprint so recently followed the Commander Legends etched foil that it likely drops down to a $2 card.
Even considering the love for Dragons that so many casual players have, the fact that this card was already sitting at under $3 before being spoiled means it will definitely be one of the bulkiest of bulk mythics you can open in this set. I expect a price of $0.25-$0.50 long term.
Double Your Money
I expect that Double Masters 2022 will be a runaway success based on the choice of a lot of highly desirable mythic rares, not to mention the desirable rare reprints. However, I also predict that success will be a double-edged sword and many of the cards will lose a lot of their value.
It is important to note that WoTC has stated previously that Masters sets are one-and-done print runs; however, it would be foolish of WoTC to not print a ton of this set given that it will generate a massive windfall of cash for the company.
For those looking to buy singles, I would hold off for at least 3 weeks before buying up any speculation targets and I be cautious about what sorts of returns I would expect. The Secret Lair series from Wizards has shown that they aren't afraid of reprinting desirable cards in quick succession (see Bloom Tender). For people just looking to add some of these cards to their collection, though, Double Masters 2022 will be a smash success.