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MTG Metagame Finance #28

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The Ravnica Allegiance prerelease is happening this weekend. And I’m pretty excited for the set. I don’t normally preorder to many cards from sets; but this one seemed a bit different, or at least I noticed my strategy has changed a little with Ravnica Allegiance. I seemed to have focused a bit more on foil commons and uncommons. So I’ll be highlight those cards that I’ve already picked up.

I’ll also do some predictions at the end of this article too. So let’s get right into the cards.

Article Series Main Focus Points

  • Cards that you should hold on to or pick up for tournaments if you need them before they rise in price. These cards are either seeing increased play in one or more formats, the supply is drying up, or they’re pretty far from the next reprint.
  • Cards that you should consider selling or trading away. Their prices are pretty much at the ceiling owing to inflation from speculation, reprint inevitability in the near future, a lull in tournament play, or some combination of these.

Recent Buys

Depose // Deploy - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$2.40

I’m not sure if we’ll see this pop up in Modern or Legacy. But I like it for Standard, especially alongside decks that might want to run Absorb. I like that both halves are instants. It seems like a card that control or midrange would want to play to preserve its life total, allowing the deck to reaching the stage where it can take over with a large creature or powerful planeswalker like Teferi, Hero of Dominaria or Karn, Scion of Urza.

Senate Guildmage - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$0.99

It’ll be interesting to see if we have enough playable Wizards for a new type of deck in Modern or Legacy. I can see this potentially seeing play with Meddling Mage, Lavinia, Azorious Renegade, Spell Queller, Reflector Mage, and Deputy of Detention to name a few cards. For more...check out all the Wizards in Modern here. The question is...will this deck be more efficient than Humans or Spirits? This remains to be tested.

Stony Strength - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$0.49

I don’t think this is quite good enough to make the cut in Modern or Legacy, but I could be wrong. Someone please prove me wrong. Thanks. However, I think this could see play in some sort of Simic Adapt deck in Standard that could contain Incubation Druid, Growth-Chamber Guardian, and Biomancer's Familiar. I like this as a trick to mask Adapt triggers in combat. And untapping that creature just seems like a bonus that will create some pretty nice blowouts.

Pteramander - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$5.99

I think this price is too high. But I think I really just like this card. The artwork is sweet too. And it probably looks awesome in foil. But none of those are reasons to preorder this card at that price. I think the card could just end up being very mediocre or bad. But we just have to test it out and see.

I asked my friend and SCG Open champion, David Thomas, what deck he thinks this card could possible slot into. And he said maybe Grixis Shadow. It’s funny how he mentioned that deck and two of them just made the top eight of SCG Worcester.

[deck title=Modern: Grixis Shadow by Kei Rong]
[Creatures]
4 Death's Shadow
4 Gurmag Angler
3 Snapcaster Mage
4 Street Wraith
[/Creatures]
[Non-Creature Spells]
3 Mishra's Bauble
2 Dismember
3 Fatal Push
2 Lightning Bolt
2 Opt
3 Stubborn Denial
2 Temur Battle Rage
3 Thought Scour
2 Faithless Looting
2 Inquisition of Kozilek
4 Thoughtseize
[/Non-Creature Spells]
[Lands]
1 Island
1 Swamp
1 Blood Crypt
4 Bloodstained Mire
4 Polluted Delta
3 Scalding Tarn
1 Steam Vents
2 Watery Grave
[/Lands]
[Sideboard]
1 Engineered Explosives
2 Grim Lavamancer
1 Snapcaster Mage
1 Abrade
1 Ceremonious Rejection
2 Disdainful Stroke
1 Kolaghan's Command
1 Stubborn Denial
3 Surgical Extraction
2 Liliana, the Last Hope
[/Sideboard]
[/deck]

The question is what does Pteramander replace? And what else could you possibly change in the deck? Well for starters...you could replace the Snapcasters with Pteramanders and the Gurmag Anglers with Delver of Secrets // Insectile Aberration. Does that mean the non-creature spell suite needs to change too? Possibly, but I’m not sure what should be changed if anything at all right now without testing. If you have ideas after testing, please let us know in the comments below.

And I guess for Legacy, you could also try replacing Anglers with Pteramanders. At the very worst, they can be pitched to Force of Will. But I’m still not sure if Pteramander is better than Angler since it dodges Abrupt Decay and Fatal Push.

[deck title=Modern: Dimir Shadow by duke12]
[Creatures]
4 Death's Shadow
4 Delver of Secrets
2 Gurmag Angler
4 Street Wraith
[/Creatures]
[Non-Creature Spells]
4 Brainstorm
4 Daze
1 Dismember
2 Fatal Push
4 Force of Will
3 Ponder
1 Preordain
2 Reanimate
1 Snuff Out
2 Stubborn Denial
4 Thoughtseize
[/Non-Creature Spells]
[Lands]
2 Bloodstained Mire
2 Misty Rainforest
3 Polluted Delta
2 Scalding Tarn
2 Underground Sea
4 Wasteland
3 Watery Grave
[/Lands]
[Sideboard]
2 Diabolic Edict
2 Dread of Night
1 Flusterstorm
3 Hymn to Tourach
1 Liliana, the Last Hope
1 Marsh Casualties
1 Nihil Spellbomb
2 Ratchet Bomb
2 Surgical Extraction
[/Sideboard]
[/deck]

Catacomb Crocodile - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$0.35

Many people seems to be loving the flavor text of this card. And I must admit, it’s pretty sweet. Maybe this will become a collector’s item because of it? Are there any other cards that are collector’s items because of the flavor text? Let us know if you know of any in the comments below. One of the cards that I saw floating around is this…

And although not famous for its flavor text but this long-time running joke that it’s better than Tarmogoyf, we have…

Footlight Fiend - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$0.35

This might be an important card to enable Spectacle. It’s a new mechanic, so we’re not exactly sure how to best work with it yet. But you’d better bet that people are going to try hard to break it and use it to it’s best ability because it’s a way to ‘cheat’ on casting costs. And historically, you know that cheating on casting costs is one of the most broken things you can do in Magic which includes the mechanics such as Delve and Phyrexian Mana.

Open the Gates - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$0.49

I think this card might enable some pretty wonky and powerful decks in Limited. But will it make the cut for Standard Constructed? I’m not sure. Probably not because well have all ten shocklands and checklands in the format. Could it see play in Pauper? Maybe. But the only Guildgate that sees play in the format is Boros Guildgate right now.

This is a super stretch...but could we ever see a Maze's End deck that includes this in Modern. It’ll probably be a very long time before that happens I think. So...buyer beware. This is just a fun card that I decided to pick up.

Spear Spewer - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Purchased Price
$0.49

This is another card that could see play alongside Footlight Fiend to enable Spectacle. Will both of these be good enough for something like Modern? Probably not. But we’ll see. On the other hand, if you can pick up cheap foil copies of Skewer the Critics, definitely go for those as we will most likely see this card in new versions of Burn and maybe Mono Red Phoenix decks.

Threads of Disloyalty - Signature Spellbook: Jace (Foil)


Purchased Price
$1.17

This one of the cheaper foils from this set. And I really like the design of these; plus, the foils look nice. Not to mention, Eli Kassis, just won Grand Prix Oakland with the card in the sideboard of his Izzet Phoenix deck.

[deck title=Modern: Izzet Phoneix by Eli Kassis]
[Creatures]
4 Arclight Phoenix
2 Crackling Drake
4 Thing in the Ice
[/Creatures]
[Non-Creature Spells]
4 Faithless Looting
2 Flame Slash
4 Serum Visions
4 Sleight of Hand
3 Gut Shot
1 Izzet Charm
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Manamorphose
4 Thought Scour
2 Pyromancer Ascension
[/Non-Creature Spells]
[Lands]
1 Breeding Pool
2 Island
1 Misty Rainforest
2 Mountain
4 Scalding Tarn
3 Spirebluff Canal
2 Steam Vents
2 Sulfur Falls
1 Wooded Foothills
[/Lands]
[Sideboard]
2 Ancient Grudge
2 Anger of the Gods
2 Blood Moon
2 Ceremonious Rejection
1 Engineered Explosives
2 Surgical Extraction
2 Threads of Disloyalty
2 Young Pyromancer
[/Sideboard]
[/deck]

Sleight of Hand - Ultimate Masters (Non-Foil)


Purchased Price
$1.44

I mentioned this in article #21, so I put my money where my mouth was. And if you didn’t notice, Eli Kassis ran four of them in his winning list mentioned just before this. Plus, this card sees a decent amount of play in Modern. One-mana blue cantrips will always be up for consideration when building decks.

The Flame of Keld - Dominaria (Foil)


Purchased Price
$1.99

If you haven’t seen Frank Karsten’s You Can Deal Infinite Damage with Judith, the Scourge Diva in Standard article yet, check it out. Aside from that, I think someone might break this card in the future. Although it doesn’t provide three-mana, it does half of what Lion's Eye Diamond does. So we maybe we just have to figure out the other half to make it broken.

[deck title=Standard: Black-Red Judith by Frank Karsten]
[Creatures]
4 Fanatical Firebrand
4 Skirk Prospector
4 Rix Maadi Reveler
4 Runaway Steam-Kin
1 Dark-Dweller Oracle
4 Goblin Chainwhirler
3 Judith, the Scourge Diva
2 Squee, the Immortal
1 Siege-Gang Commander
[/Creatures]
[Non-Creature Spells]
3 Gruesome Menagerie
4 The Flame of Keld
2 Shock
[/Non-Creature Spells]
[Lands]
4 Swamp
12 Mountain
4 Blood Crypt
4 Dragonskull Summit
[/Lands]
[/deck]

Holds

Brushland - Ice Age


Target Purchase Price
Under $5

I mentioned Adarkar Wastes in article #25. And this along with Karplusan Forest are the only ones of the Ice Age painlands that see some play right now. I think these can only go up from here. A lot of this set was printed and opened, but we’ve see one spike already and it could happen again.

Did You Know?

Persistent Petitioners - Ravnica Allegiance (Foil)

Observed Price
$5-6

This is sold out on Star City Games at $4.99 as a preorder. And Card Kingdom has this listed at $5.99. People love these cards like these. Just take a look at foil Rat Colony.

Predictions

Okay...as promised...here are my predictions for Ravnica Allegiance. I think these are three of the most powerful cards in the set.

Electrodominance - Ravnica Allegiance

Observed Price
$8-10ish

That is a steep preorder buy-in price. So I would stay away for now. However, the card seems very powerful as I don’t think we’ve see an instant-speed version of this effect yet. A lot of people are talking about Suspend cards like Ancestral Vision, Living End, and Wheel of Fate. But I think that could just be the tip of the iceberg since this will allow you to play any card at instant speed as it ignores timing restrictions. We’ve seen this with Kari Zev's Expertise, but that’s a Sorcery. This being an Instant changes the whole game.

Angel of Grace - Ravnica Allegiance

Observed Price
$18ish

I think this could be one of the defining cards of Standard. And it could also see play in Modern since you can tutor for it using cards like Eldritch Evolution and Chord of Calling.

Incubation Druid - Ravnica Allegiance

Observed Price
$4-5ish

This could be a very dangerous card. A mana producer that costs two mana is already almost playable by itself. But when you have to ability to turn this into a pseudo Black Lotus every turn either via Adapt or Stony Strength, things can get out of control and scary very quickly.

Public Spreadsheet

Stay up to the minute on what I’m looking at on a daily basis via the MTG Metagame Finance Spreadsheet. Don’t forget to bookmark it, because I update it on the fly. This way you can see what’s going on as the market moves and before articles about certain cards are published.

Summary

Recent Buys

Holds

Did You Know?

Predictions

Public Spreadsheet

MTG Metagame Finance Spreadsheet

Let me know what you think in the comments below. Agree? Disagree? Why? You can also connect with me on Twitter at @edwardeng. I’m also open to suggestions on how to make this series more valuable. Hit me up.

Have fun,
Eddie

One thought on “MTG Metagame Finance #28

  1. Wow, so, how much money did writing this article lose you? I guess maybe you just dope out advice and don’t take it, but wooof, I have never seen so much bad mtg finance advice in one place. I think I will write an article about why all of this advice was bad.

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