Murktide Regent | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com Play More, Win More, Pay Less Wed, 09 Oct 2024 03:51:45 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.quietspeculation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/favicon.png Murktide Regent | Quiet Speculation https://www.quietspeculation.com 32 32 September ’24 Metagame Update: Energized Frog https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/10/september-24-metagame-update-energized-frog/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/10/september-24-metagame-update-energized-frog/#respond Wed, 09 Oct 2024 10:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132424

As expected, Energy decks moved to the top of Modern's metagame in September. However, players are beginning to adapt and adjust their decks to compensate.

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April ’24 Metagame Update: Holding Pattern https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/05/april-24-metagame-update-holding-pattern/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/05/april-24-metagame-update-holding-pattern/#respond Thu, 09 May 2024 18:01:57 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132222

Modern's metagame has fallen back on old favorites. With Modern Horizons 3 coming soon, players are holding their breath for the new shakeup. The data is clear.

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March ’24 Metagame Update: The Cascade Crash https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/04/march-24-metagame-update-the-cascade-crash/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/04/march-24-metagame-update-the-cascade-crash/#comments Fri, 05 Apr 2024 14:02:28 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132170

Violent Outburst is banned, and the Modern metagame is adjusting. However, from the data it's clear that players have little idea which direction it's heading.

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February ’24 Metagame Update: Championship Changes https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/03/february-24-metagame-update-championship-changes/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/03/february-24-metagame-update-championship-changes/#respond Wed, 06 Mar 2024 19:01:38 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132149

I haven't had to do that many metagame updates for February, it being the month where bans tend to happen. That wasn't the case this month, though I suspect that the data will add fuel to the banning call fires. I understand, but I'd caution everyone to consider the context before jumping to conclusions. February's data is defined by the Regional Championships and that created a localized warp.

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January ’24 Metagame Update: Convergent Consensus https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/02/january-24-metagame-update-convergent-consensus/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/02/january-24-metagame-update-convergent-consensus/#respond Wed, 07 Feb 2024 13:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132090

There is a clear metagame warp in January's data. However, it appears to be driven less by actual metagame forces than Magic Online being Magic Online.

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December ’23 Metagame Update: Holiday Hangover https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/01/december-23-metagame-update-holiday-hangover/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2024/01/december-23-metagame-update-holiday-hangover/#comments Thu, 04 Jan 2024 12:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=132059

Time to close the books on 2023. It's been quite a year. We saw two of the biggest sustained warps in Modern's history, banned and restricted policy reverted to an earlier form, and we had the first unban since 2019.

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October ’23 Metagame Update: It Got Worse https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/11/october-23-metagame-update-it-got-worse/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/11/october-23-metagame-update-it-got-worse/#respond Thu, 09 Nov 2023 22:53:49 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131986

Modern continues to be dominated to an extreme degree by Scam. There has been innovation in the lower tiers, but it appears that the status quo will persist.

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September ’23 Modern Metagame Update: Getting Cheated https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/10/september-23-modern-metagame-update-getting-cheated/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/10/september-23-modern-metagame-update-getting-cheated/#comments Tue, 03 Oct 2023 21:22:17 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131949

In September, Modern's metagame developed along the same lines as it did in August. This is not a good thing, and it is getting much worse. David has the data.

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August ’23 Modern Metagame Update: The Unban’s Effect https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/09/august-23-modern-metagame-update-the-unbans-effect/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/09/august-23-modern-metagame-update-the-unbans-effect/#comments Thu, 07 Sep 2023 18:24:31 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131910

August was... unexpected. Wizards threw everyone off with their Ban Day decisions. Bans were expected in Standard (based on Wizards' own statements) and hoped for in multiple other formats. Instead, Modern and Legacy saw unbans. The impact this has had will be on display in this metagame update.

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July ’23 Metagame Update: The Pro Tour Effect https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/08/july-23-metagame-update-the-pro-tour-effect/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/08/july-23-metagame-update-the-pro-tour-effect/#comments Thu, 03 Aug 2023 11:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131878

The Pro Tour strongly reflects the impact of Tales of Middle Earth. Modern's metagame is warping around the set to an alarming degree. The data is quite clear.

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June ’23 Metagame Update: Churn Returns https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/june-23-metagame-update-churn-returns/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/07/june-23-metagame-update-churn-returns/#respond Wed, 05 Jul 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=131581

The June Modern Metagame Update is here. New additions have stirred Modern's mostly stagnant metagame, but that might not be permanent. David has the details.

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May ’23 Metagame Analysis: Trending Concerning https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/may-23-metagame-analysis-trending-concerning/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/may-23-metagame-analysis-trending-concerning/#respond Fri, 09 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130882

Despite data indicating the recession of certain negative trends, Modern's metagame is moving in concerning directions... and towards becoming solved.

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No Further Nuisance: Blue Just Got Its Fatal Push https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/no-further-nuisance-blue-just-got-its-fatal-push/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/no-further-nuisance-blue-just-got-its-fatal-push/#respond Thu, 08 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130726

Modern's top creatures have outgrown removal. Stern Scolding could change format interaction forever. See how the counterspell lines up against the competition.

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May ’23 Metagame Update: Continued Continuity https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/may-23-metagame-update-continued-continuity/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/06/may-23-metagame-update-continued-continuity/#respond Wed, 07 Jun 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=130737

The Modern Metagame Update is out. Modern continues to be stable, despite efforts of rogue decks to make a mark. Some unexpected decks did well in May.

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April ’23 Metagame Analysis: Not Neck and Neck https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-analysis-not-neck-and-neck/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-analysis-not-neck-and-neck/#respond Fri, 05 May 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129757

April's Modern metagame data is deceptive. The tale that the numbers suggest isn't the story that actually happened. David E has the explanation inside.

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April ’23 Metagame Update: Looking Familiar https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-update-looking-familiar/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/05/april-23-metagame-update-looking-familiar/#respond Wed, 03 May 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129625

April's Modern Metagame Update shows the top decks settling in while innovation and change rock the lower tiers. And Murktide has a surprise for us, too!

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Caught Blue-Handed: Is Murktide Modern’s Best Deck? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/caught-blue-handed-is-murktide-moderns-best-deck/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/caught-blue-handed-is-murktide-moderns-best-deck/#respond Wed, 26 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=129313

What is the best deck in Modern? There are many possible answers, but David E. has the data-driven case for Murktide being the best deck in Modern today.

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Is Magic Getting More Expensive? https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/is-magic-getting-more-expensive/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/is-magic-getting-more-expensive/#respond Fri, 07 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=128343

An article from another site on the rising cost of Magic has David S. questioning "Is Magic really getting more expensive?" Join him as he runs the numbers.

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March ’23 Metagame Analysis: A Fable of Outliers https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-analysis-a-fable-of-outliers/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-analysis-a-fable-of-outliers/#respond Fri, 07 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=128753

While the data is clear, the reasons behind Modern's metagame trends remains elusive. David E. has a finger on the deck driving the changes, and how to respond.

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March ’23 Metagame Update: Overwhelming Outliers https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-update-overwhelming-outliers/ https://www.quietspeculation.com/2023/04/march-23-metagame-update-overwhelming-outliers/#respond Wed, 05 Apr 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://www.quietspeculation.com/?p=128520

The March Modern Metagame Update is ready. Modern is incredibly stable, and that is translating into highly polarized, and not ideal, data. David E. explains.

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