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Deck Overview: The Return of Kird Ape to Legacy

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It's hard to say if Daryl Ayers broke it or if he and Ralph Betesh trolled the world at the SCG Open in Philadelphia with their Kird Apes.

But what we do know is that they both Top 8'd and Daryl took the whole tournament down.

Daryl Ayers' Temur Delver

spells

4 Delver of Secrets
4 Kird Ape
4 Tarmogoyf
4 Brainstorm
4 Daze
4 Force of Will
4 Lightning Bolt
1 Pyroblast
3 Spell Pierce
3 Forked Bolt
4 Ponder
4 Treasure Cruise

lands

4 Misty Rainforest
4 Scalding Tarn
1 Taiga
2 Tropical Island
3 Volcanic Island
3 Wasteland

sideboard

2 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Pithing Needle
1 Sulfuric Vortex
1 Sylvan Library
1 Ancient Grudge
2 Flusterstorm
1 Krosan Grip
2 Pyroblast
1 Umezawa's Jitte
1 Vendilion Clique
2 Rough

Ralph Betesh's Temur Delver

spells

4 Delver of Secrets
4 Kird Ape
4 Tarmogoyf
4 Brainstorm
4 Daze
4 Force of Will
4 Lightning Bolt
1 Pyroblast
1 Spell Pierce
3 Stifle
2 Forked Bolt
4 Ponder
4 Treasure Cruise

lands

3 Misty Rainforest
3 Scalding Tarn
1 Taiga
2 Tropical Island
3 Volcanic Island
3 Wasteland
2 Wooded Foothills

sideboard

2 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Sulfuric Vortex
1 Sylvan Library
1 Ancient Grudge
1 Flusterstorm
1 Krosan Grip
2 Pyroblast
1 Spell Pierce
1 Umezawa's Jitte
1 Vendilion Clique
1 Forked Bolt
2 Rough

People are comparing Monastery Swiftspear favorably to Goblin Guide and are actively excited to play it. Does this mean that Ayers and Betesh are bananas for running Kird Ape?

There was an error retrieving a chart for Kird Ape

Magic players are the first group of people to jump down your throat if you try to say that something is strictly better than another thing, and Kird Ape is not without its advantages. Always being a 2/3 is not for nothing, but it comes at the cost of both haste and the potential to hit much harder.

The big upside of Kird Ape is strategic coherence with counterspells that Monastery Swiftspear lacks. Many Delver players have moved away from Spell Pierce in order to function more like a burn deck--a strategy that heavily increases Swiftspear's stock.

This, of course, has led to a rise in popularity of Storm and other such combo decks, which makes it unsurprising to see the Delver players with Spell Pierce seeing the most success. Betesh plays fewer Pierces in his list, but his Stifles present the same tension with Swiftspear.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Spell Pierce

Another downside that's easy to overlook is that Kird Ape pushes you towards playing Taiga in your Daze deck. To be fair, you can probably get by without the Taiga, but it's worth pointing out that it was always bad in older Temur Delver decks.

If Spell Pierce is the big draw to Kird Ape, then I have to wonder if Kird Ape is actually better than Swiftspear. Personally I've been fine playing Pierce in my Swiftspear build, but there might be something to this deck's success.

Chime in in the comments on the Kird Ape vs Swiftspear debate! Can you make a monkey out of me?

Marking the Future

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We know Fate Reforged is the crux of the "Time Travel" aspect of Khans of Tarkir block (how went your prerelease, by the way?). Anyway, this is the set where the time travel begins as we look at Tarkir in the past.

And also the future.

BGCgjLK

If you look closely, you can see that this Crux of Fate was marked with not just the normal watermark, but also the Dragons of Tarkir watermark, a little easter egg throwing forward to the final set.

It's another sign of how deep the WOTC team hides stuff like this. We see something new every year, or it seems, every set. Really makes you wonder what all we're missing...

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Your Visual Prerelease Primer!

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It's nearly time for FNM and after that, the midnight prerelease events kick off. If you're looking to do any battling this weekend, it couldn't hurt to see what the Pros think.

Someone on reddit took the time to compile not only Marshall Sutcliffe's ratings, but also LSV's ratings for the commons and uncommons and compile them into on imgur gallery. Marshall is on the left, LSV the right. Each common and uncommon looks like this.

Untitled

 

Familiarize yourself with the cards they call poop and the cards whose ratings may surprise you before midnight. For the most part, they agree with each other within a letter grade, which helps to support the ratings they both give.

One last thing, Danny Brown wrote about "unplayables" this week and a few of you came out against Danny's classification of Aven Skirmisher as poop and made fun of him. You can disagree with us here at Brainstorm Brewery. That's fine. But sometimes that means disagreeing with Marshall and LSV, too.

Untitled

 

The entire gallery is on IMGUR and is a pretty quick read. I used to peruse the text set lists, but this is a better way to do it. Isn't technology the best?

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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Insider: MTG Stocks 1/11/15

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Welcome back, readers! It's time for another MTG stocks article. I'm happy to say I've gotten a lot of positive feedback for this series of articles so I plan on continuing them until you guys and gals get sick of them. As usual we start with the "Penny Stocks," or the cards that started out sub-$5 (in some cases they remained sub $5...but sometimes they breach that point).

Penny Stocks

#1 Aggravated Assault (+42.5%) - This one isn't a surprise. It's a very solid EDH card that combos really well with Sword of Feast and Famine and Bear Umbra or any other effect that untaps lands on combat damage. I mentioned this one weeks ago when I talked about the other Narset cards that had spiked and I expected this one to follow suit. This one has a lot going for it (single printing in an old set, combos in EDH, mono-colored) so it can go in a larger number of decks.

aggravated assualt

#2 Cyclonic Rift (Commander 2014) (+30.4%) - This one actually made the list two weeks ago as it was $1 back then and had jumped closer to $2. It's continued to rise and is still under the price of a Return to Ravnica copy (which is sitting at around $3 on TCG-Mid). The lack of popularity of the blue deck likely means that there are less of these out there than RtR ones, but the "first printing rule" means that demand for the RtR one will likely remain higher than the Commander 2014 one (although given the past month it's likely they'll get closer and closer until they reach an equilibrium of sorts).

cyclonic rift

#3 Thran Dynamo (Commander 2014) (+29.7%) - Another Commander 2014 card that showed up in my last article this one continues to rise (similar to Cyclonic Rift) and again was in the blue commander deck. This rise has finally put it on par with its brothers from Urza's Legacy though it still falls below the Archenemy and FTV: 20 printings. I don't expect much more upside to this one though. As you can see by the graph it appears to have plateaued.

thran dynamo

#4 Hooded Hydra (+28.1%) - This card has been getting a lot of hype because of how well it plays with manifest. Because of the similarities between manifest and morph and the fact that his unmorph trigger simply states "when this card is turned face up," people realized that you can use his manifest unmorphing cost to flip him instead of his regular morph cost and get a 5/5 for two green mana. This same trick works with Master of Pearls, but being a regular rare in Khans means that his price ceiling is pretty limited.

I like the Hydra call, mainly because it's a mythic, it's not bad on it's own, and hydras have a dedicated fan base (see the value of Primordial Hydra, which despite seeing no play in any sanctioned format still commands a $6 price tag with three printings, counting the media promo).

hooded hydra

#5 Sliver Hive (+25.4%) - Another casual favorite tribe, this one with an actual historical pedigree. Sliver Hive is a truly awesome land to compliment the existing Sliver land base. It gives you a painless City of Brass and the ability to make slivers (from a land) which is pretty impressive. This is one of those cards that we would have called a slam dunk a couple years ago. I think it has a lot of potential and the price is still very reasonable. This is one of those cards that barring a reprint will be $10 some day.

Unfortunately, that caveat is a pretty major one. WoTC has shown that they have no problem reprinting things (almost randomly) to appease the casual crowd. Why else did we get Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth in M15? I like picking these up in trade and if you can buy them for under $2 you should be capable of making some decent profit before any eventual reprint (unless they just jam it in M16).

sliver hive

Next up we have our "Blue Chips" or Legacy staples which we use not only to monitor the health of the Legacy format, but also as a good indicator for the health/stability of the MTG singles market. Similar to gold, these are the cards people buy when they are concerned about volatility.

Blue Chip Stocks

#1 Dark Confidant (-2.76%) - Not surprising, poor Bob continues to trend downward as the Treasure Cruise decks of Legacy/Modern continue to prove that you don't need Bob for pure card advantage in either format. Their dominance also just pushes black back as a whole, as Black's bread and butter (outside of some combo decks) is hand disruption at one black mana. When all it takes is one blue mana (and seven previously used cards) to get three cards back...it's hard to fight that battle.

dark confidant

#2 Scrubland (+2.09%) - Finally some positive gains for a dual land that for awhile has either been in the top five movers (almost always downward) or just outside of them (also in a downward trend). Scrubland is finally back to around what it was before the big March/April '14 spike. This again proves that the spike was artificial and the demand wasn't actually there.

scrubland

#3 Bayou (+1.95%) - This dual has been one of the few non-blues that has had some price increases since the big spike (though it's still lower than its spike price). The strength of the Elves deck in Legacy lies with its speed and ability to outdraw the Treasure Cruise decks (Elves players often get to laugh at "draw 3 cards") when they get two-plus Glimpses active. This is one of the duals that has the most potential if Treasure Cruise were to get banned in Legacy (though I honestly don't see this happening at the moment).

Bayou

#4 Taiga (+1.66%) - It seems Taiga has finally had a chance to rise in value a bit. It's consistently been on our top five (almost always trending downward) similar to Scrubland and it's nice to see it get a bit of a breather. While seeing very little Legacy play anymore, it happens to be a green dual which is the best color in EDH.

I'm seeing more and more EDH players wanting to get duals for their decks as more and more decks become "static" and instead of players having one or two EDH decks they often just continue to make additional ones rather than take one apart. I even find myself in this camp as building a well running EDH deck can take many hours of practice and playtime, tweaking the number of mana accelerants and bombs until the decks run smoothly.

taiga

#5 Jace, the Mind Sculptor (+1.622%) - This one is quite surprising. Jace is often seen in only a handful of Legacy decks (the most predominant one being UWx Miracles) and we've seen some of those deck stalwarts (Joe Lossett most notably) switch to different decks.

The biggest challenge is that it's very difficult in legacy to land a four-mana spell that is cast at sorcery speed, especially in a field full of Spell Pierce, Daze, and Pyroblasts.

However, there is a Banned and Restricted update coming and the complete lack of a real control deck in Modern has some players (though not this one) speculating on him being unbanned, which would cause his price to skyrocket. As much as I love casting JTMS, I don't have much hope of him ever being unbanned in Modern so it's not worth chasing that rabbit and tying up large sums of money playing the B&R lottery.

jtms

Value Stocks

Normally these are the stocks I think have a lot of long-term potential. I usually target lands for these spots because they are often the most stable and are pretty consistent in their growth. That being said, I've been about 50/50 on my calls in this section with lands. Some have been good, while others have remained stagnant. This week we'll branch out (a little bit) in that three of my value stock picks are not lands. This week's "value stocks" are all recent reprints of valuable cards (save the last one) which dropped by 80% or more upon the reprint. Even more, all the reprints were from sets that were predominantly unpopular among the majority of Magic players (mainly Conspiracy and M15).

#1 Stifle (Conspiracy/Scourge) - Stifle used to be the bane of many Legacy decks' existence. It is the ultimate punishment for running a heavy fetch mana base. Currently the format is being dominated by U/R decks which, while they run a good number of fetches, also operate on a very low land count. This means that Stifle/Wasteland strategies have potential to come back--their biggest hindrance is that they are best against a three-or-more-color mana base, while two-color ones run enough basics to stymie the mana denial plan.

Back in RUG's heyday, Scourge Stifles were $30+ dollars each. Thanks to Conspiracy and the metagame shift they can now be had for under $11 (and the Conspiracy ones can often be found sub $5).

I'll be 100% honest and say I've put my money where my mouth is on this one and accumulated 17+ copies of the Conspiracy version (simply because I was able to buy a lot for under $5 each). Either way, all we need is for the format to swing back to a tri-color deck and Stifle is back in business.

stifle_scourge

stifle_conspiracy

#2 Chord of Calling (M15) - Birthing Pod decks used to run this as a one- or two-of and it was $40 freakin' dollars. All of a sudden M15 rolls around and the price plummets and then continues to drop (I remember trading for my personal set when they were $10 thinking there's no way they don't go up from here.) Now you can buy them for $3.50.

If you thought 17 Stifles was a lot, I'm sitting on closer to 30 Chord of Callings. I am actually surprised this one hasn't shown up in Standard yet as the ability to pay 7 mana and instantly tutor up a Siege Rhino or a god still seems really powerful.

chord of calling

#3 Exploration (Conspiracy) - While both the Urza's Saga version and the Conspiracy version are far lower than I'd expect, the Conspiracy one is sitting at under $7 (TCG-Mid). This is a card that sees occasional Legacy play (in Lands, which when they are doing well cause all kinds of weird spikes like Gamble), but more importantly is amazing in EDH. I rarely run an EDH deck with green that doesn't have Exploration in it as it often serves as a really fast ramp spell that couples well with the typical Cultivate/Kodama's Reach most green decks also play.

The Conspiracy printing slaughtered the price, but that just means that now is the time to pick them up. As existing copies get thrown into EDH decks the tradeable supply will begin to wane and we'll see the price gradually start to rise. This one I only have a few extra copies of, because when I find them for trade and my trade partner finds out they are worth less than $7 they often don't want to trade them...which is a good sign that the card's price will rise.

exploration

#4 Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth - Another recent reprint (you've probably noticed the pattern by now), this was another $40+ card before it's second reprinting (as the FTV: Lands print didn't seem to hurt it at all). The M15 printing obliterated the price though and it was such an odd throw-in that most speculators didn't see it coming. This is another one that's hard to find in trade binders and is often removed from the trade when the other person finds out it's sitting at around $6 (price memory is a very real thing).

This card was a major part of the old Thepths decks (allowing you to play turn 1 Dark Depths, Turn 2 Urborg into Vampire Hexmage, now I have a 20/20 flying indestructible guy) and helps EDH decks with black power out massive spells via Cabal Coffers. This one I feel has a lot of potential, but the oddity of its reprinting might suggest that WoTC feels okay just throwing it into a set for the casual appeal.

urborg

#5 Sliver Hive - I know I mentioned it earlier in the penny stocks section, but this land has a good amount of potential. With WoTC ending the "core set" run after this year, we're far less likely to see Slivers return much. That being said, the sliver fan base is rabid for sliver cards and this is one that goes in every sliver deck (from casual to those Legacy Meathooks stalwarts).

It is both a mana fixer and a card advantage machine (in a land) as making a sliver per turn can be brutal with enough synergistic slivers on the battlefield. It's a single print run rare in a relatively un-opened set makes it a very attractive speculation target. I expect it to continue its upward trend as we move further and further away from M15.

sliver hive

Usually I end with growth stocks, but if you caught my last article I did a graph showing the price trends of the various sealed products from when I started this series until the beginning of this year. Almost all the graphs showed virtually no gains (or very minor ones) and thus it seems like a waste of space and time to review them on a bi-weekly basis. Any expected growth is likely far more long-term, so I will continue to follow them, however, I will bump that section out to once per month.

Insider: A Financial Guide for the Conscientious Cube Owner (Early 2015)

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If you're reading this, that means you're an Insider here at Quiet Speculation. Based on that, I am making a very basic assumption about you: you hate losing value on Magic cards.

Well, I'm right there with you, friend. There's nothing I hate more than when I know I should be taking action on a card, but dither about it until it's too late. For example, Chord of Calling wasn't announced super early in the M15 spoiler schedule, but with convoke in the set, it was a likely candidate for reprint. I only had two copies of the original version, but it still bothers me that those copies now have a retail price lower than the buylist price before M15 (and they're still sitting in my binder).

With situations like that in mind, I'm interested in minimizing value losses from my cube in the coming year. Many of the considerations in this article will apply to your Commander cards, too, but I'm sticking with what I know, which is Cube.

Know Your Approach for Cube

Broadly, there's two ways one can run a Cube:

1. A gradually improving list that only switches in upgrades, never downgrades or lateral moves. This is the kind of cube that you tune and test and try to get perfect, and once a card has earned its slot, there had better be a really good reason to remove it.

2. An ever-changing list with cards moving in and out on a regular basis, for many different reasons: power level, fun, novelty, a sweet trade opportunity, or finance.

It's the last one, finance, that will be our topic today. If you're more the type of cube manager as described first above, you probably don't care that you're likely to lose value on Elspeth, Sun's Champion in the coming months. But if you're sensitive to value losses and don't mind a more fluid approach to cube building, read on.

Current Standard Cards

Cards currently in Standard are the ones that are most interesting for a manager of a fluid cube. The aforementioned Champion of the Sun is a good example here. There's no way a $20 retail price is maintained after a Duel Deck printing in the short term and rotation in the medium term. Planeswalkers that are only good in Standard and casual formats tend to drop below $10 after rotation, so trading them out now lets one lock in value at a higher price (with the intention to reacquire once the floor is reached).

Yeah, you're giving up playing with Elspeth in your cube or deck for a few months. That's why this approach is only worthwhile to those who are sensitive about value losses and willing to have a fluid cube that changes out cards regularly.

Other candidates for cards with prices derived mainly from Standard play that are likely to lose a ton of value at rotation are Sylvan Caryatid, Courser of Kruphix (although this one has poked its head into Modern on occasion), and Hero's Downfall (also negatively impacted by the pre-con reprint recently announced). Remember what happened to Thragtusk when it rotated. The clear call there was to sell and rebuy, and that's the case with many Standard cards.

Just because a card like Elspeth looks like a likely candidate to drop at rotation doesn't mean that Theros cards are a sell across the board.

Thoughtseize

Eternal staples, like Thoughtseize, might drop a little at rotation, but in general, these are cards that will go up until they are reprinted next. I'm not worried about any value lost on cards like Thoughtseize because I expect it to be minimal. Another big example of this kind of card is the Khans of Tarkir fetchland cycle. You don't need to worry about losing value on your personal set (assuming you purchase at or near the floor and don't overspend), so just hold them through rotation and continue to enjoy playing with them.

As opposed to Theros block cards, Khans of Tarkir cards are currently near peak supply, so acquiring the cards you want from this set right now is advisable. A year from now, when we're approaching the KTK rotation, we'll be looking to sell the Standard-only staples that have grown in price. Everything else will either be an Eternal staple or something that we acquired at its floor price, meaning a loss in value isn't really a concern.

The one category of current Standard cards I haven't touched on are ones like Master of Waves and Thassa, God of the Sea. These are cards that were big last season, but because they don't see much current play, their prices do not reflect the previous year's demand and this year's lack of supply. These two cards in particular are both around $4, which is a floor price for each.

They could both drop all the way to $2 at rotation, but outing and then reacquiring for just a couple dollars is getting pretty nit-picky even by my standards. Some cards are just worth holding onto even if you expect to lose a buck or two, and that's where I categorize these. It's only ones you're reasonably certain you don't want in your cube in the long term that you should be getting rid of immediately.

Modern Masters Looms

The other category of card that is likely to lose value in the next few months is any card likely to see reprint in Modern Masters 2015. We've only seen one Modern Masters set released before for precedent, but I think it's fair to say that anything printed at common or uncommon is likely to lose most of its value, anything printed at rare is likely to lose significant value (but possibly regain it, as in the case of Cryptic Command), and anything printed at mythic is likely to lose minimal value.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Serum Visions

This means that expensive commons like $7 Serum Visions and $5 Smash to Smithereens have got to go (this goes beyond Cube into Modern, by the way. And if you have playsets of these, the amount of money at stake is relatively significant, too).

Money uncommons like Aven Mindcensor and Remand are also candidates of cards that are likely to drop to 50 percent of their current prices overnight. Remand just got a Duel Deck printing, but there's nothing keeping it from showing up in Modern Masters 2015, too.

Casual rares have got to go, as those were the things that suffered the most damage after the first Modern Masters. Competitive rares are trickier, though. I already mentioned Cryptic Command, which has kind of a crazy chart:

crypticcommand

Cryptic Command is an extreme, but here's a card that lost a little value on its reprint, only to gain a lot of value in the year since. This means that a card like Snapcaster Mage may not be a snap-sell.

Quick aside: The Modern Masters 2015 announcement doesn't specify Innistrad as a returning plane, but it doesn't rule it out either. It says, "including Zendikar, Mirrodin, Ravnica, Lorwyn, Kamigawa, and Alara." The first Modern Masters announcement very explicitly stated "Cards are reprints from Eighth Edition through Alara Reborn," so I think it is optimistic to assume Innistrad reprints are definitely coming. End aside.

Regardless of that aside, my point is that a card like Snapcaster Mage, which sees tons of play, may dip a little upon reprint, but that doesn't mean I'm going to have a fire sale on my playset. If anything, I feel fairly safe holding onto it.

Consider Your Buy-In Cost

There are other cards I don't feel so safe about. Noble Hierarch, currently sitting around $70, has been skipped over a few times now, and I'm not so sure it will avoid the reprint hammer again. If that happens, and it happens at rare, I am very confident the card will drop precipitously. However, I traded for my cube's copy quite a while ago, when the card was retailing for $25. If Hierarch is printed at rare and loses half its value, that still puts it at $35, above where I traded in a couple years ago.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Noble Hierarch

This is a judgment call, honestly. I'm still losing a whole bunch of value if I don't rid myself of my Hierarch before the reprint, and even though I think it's one of the best mana dorks available, I don't need it in my cube.

There's other cards that I traded into well below their current retail prices: my $5 Stoneforge Mystic, my $10 Elesh Norn, my $15 Karn Liberated, etc. Any of these cards could get reprinted, but because I got in on my copies at the floor, it's very unlikely I'm losing anything other than virtual, perceived value.

In these situations, you need to look critically at the card and weigh 1) how much you want it in your cube versus 2) how much you want to lock in the value you've gained on the card. Unfortunately, I can't tell you what to do in those instances—you have to figure out what you value more on your own.

As Always: It's Okay to Lose Value

Sometimes being an MTG financier means you only see cards in terms of dollars and cents, but remember: it's okay to decide you like playing with a card enough that you are willing to hold a card through rotation or reprint in order to continue playing with that card. If that's how you want to roll, that's your prerogative. But if you just can't handle losing those extras few bucks, I hope today's article was useful to you. Until next time.

Podcast: Conley Woods joins Brainstorm Brewery for Fate Reforged set review

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We were lucky enough to have Conley Woods guest on the podcast this week! Huge shoutout to him for coming on the cast (and poking fun at Jason while doing so).

elitescaleguard

As for the actual contents of the episode, this is our regular set review episode, and it was great to have Conley's unique take on the set for this episode.

You can find the full podcast here.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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How Do You Handle It When Your Opponent Plays an “Unplayable”?

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We've all had it happen: you sit down for a game, wish your opponent luck, and shuffle up. On his first turn, he slams a Plains followed by this guy:

avenskirmisher

Personally, I do a little mental fist pump and then go on with the game as if my opponent played a real card, doing everything I can not to indicate that he should definitely be sideboarding that nonsense out at the end of the game. But especially at a prerelease, I'm not sure this is the best way to be friendly to new players and be an ambassador of the game.

And I do think that all experienced players should be ambassadors of the game at prereleases (and other events, but especially prereleases). This doesn't mean you have to go easy on your opponents, and it certainly doesn't mean you shouldn't play to win. But maybe turning off the normal poker face that many experienced players revert to and trying a friendly, outgoing approach is the way to go at these mostly casual events.

That still doesn't answer my initial question, though: how do you deal with an opponent who plays a bad card? On one hand, as ambassadors of the game, we should be jumping in and helping our opponents not to make easy-to-avoid mistakes like that. On the other hand, sometimes people don't take unsolicited advice well.

neutralizingblast

I mean, it is kind of a jerk move to tell someone that his deck is horrible and the cards in it are all bad. Obviously you want to have a little more tact, but even with the best of intentions, people might be offended if you try to preach at them when they're just trying to have a good time.

I'm not really sure how to handle this. The fact is, I've had many people outright ask me for advice, only to argue with every point I tried to make. Some players don't care to get better, and some already think they're the best in the room (as a rule, these players are decidedly not the best in the room).

There's one thing I will never do: encourage a player to make a change to his deck in between games of our match. Sorry, I'm all about being an MTG ambassador, but if I am going to take the step to offer advice, I'll do it after I've dispatched my opponent, thank you.

cacheddefenses

But past that caveat, I'm legitimately unsure whether we should be butting in with our opinions on which cards are good and which cards are not, or if we should just keep quiet until asked. Realistically, every situation is different, and you'll need to read your opponent's demeanor to get a sense of whether you should speak up.

But in general, what do you think? Should an obviously new player be given unsolicited advice when he's doing something wrong? Or is it better to mind your own business until you're asked? Let me know how you'll handle these situations at your prerelease this weekend.

Fate Reforged Price Cheatsheets are here

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Hey, it's that cool time of Spoiler Season, where we know basically what the prices will be going into the prerelease weekend. There's still a lot of value in this set even though it lacks fetchlands in a rare spot (I know they're in the land slot, belay your hatemail). A lot of the value is tied up in Monastery Mentor, Ugin and Soulfire Grand Master. Of those three, I think Ugin is the most likely to retain his price, while the others might not work out the way people had hoped they would.

 

Anyway, here's the lists. If you're going to the store, you can email these to your friends or print out extras. The best thing at a prerelease is helping a casual player find the true value of their cards so they don't get ripped off - it's a good way to encourage people to keep coming back and having fun!

 

Fate Reforged Cheatsheet: Price-ranked Version

 

Fate Reforged Cheatsheet: Alphabetized Version

 

Have fun and I hope you open an alternate-art Ugin in your prize pack!

Douglas Linn

Doug Linn has been playing Magic since 1996 and has had a keen interest in Legacy and Modern. By keeping up closely with emerging trends in the field, Doug is able to predict what cards to buy and when to sell them for a substantial profit. Since the Eternal market follows a routine boom-bust cycle, the time to buy and sell short-term speculative investments is often a narrow window. Because Eternal cards often spike in value once people know why they are good, it is essential for a trader to be connected to the format to get great buys before anyone else. Outside of Magic, Doug is an attorney in the state of Ohio.  Doug is a founding member of Quiet Speculation, and brings with him a tremendous amount of business savvy.

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Posted in Fate Reforged, Free, Free Finance, Special4 Comments on Fate Reforged Price Cheatsheets are here

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Insider: Forging the Fates – A Fate Reforged Prerelease Primer

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It’s that time again. Time for the set review! If you’re not familiar, this is both a financial review of the set but also my trading plans for the prerelease itself, which doesn’t always align where I expect cards to settle three months down the road.

For those of you not familiar with how I do set reviews, I start by giving you all a little credit. I don’t go card-by-card through the entire set and waste thousands of words telling you that obviously bulk rares are, in fact, bulk rares. Instead, I try to hit on the cards drawing the most hype as well as those I feel like you need to have on your radar for one reason or another, whether they be sleepers, overpriced, or so forth.

If you want to hear some financial thoughts besides mine on the new set, make sure to check out the latest episode of Brainstorm Brewery when it comes out next Friday at GatheringMagic.com. This week we were lucky enough to have the one and only Conley Woods as our guest on the cast, and it turned out well.

Caveats

With that said, I want to take a moment for a brief aside. We’ve got a ton of new readers here on QS lately, and that’s great. It means more opinions in the forums and more collaboration in general. It also means that, as writers, we have to keep our game up because some people reading this have maybe never read a single thing I’ve written before.

I feel like I should make a point that I’ve made elsewhere but not necessarily in a while. Here goes.

Do not blindly trust me.

I’ve been doing this for a while. I’ve been a weekly columnist for more than three years and I’m highly active in the community. I’ve been responsible for some of the best call shots on prerelease primers, from Stoneforge Mystic to Huntmaster of the Fells to Boros Reckoner. I like to think I’m pretty decent at this speculating game.

That said, guess what? I’m wrong, too. Everyone is. No one can bat 1.000, and in baseball you’re a pro if you’re successful one out of three times.

So don’t take my advice just because it’s my advice. Consider my reasoning on cards, take it into account along with what other people are saying, and at the end of the day make your own decision.

The Cards

DARGONS!

I want to talk about the rare cycle of dragons first. I like them a lot as your typical super long-term dragon gainer. That said, I don’t like any of them for Standard outside of maybe Kolaghan, the Storm's Fury and Silumgar, the Drifting Death. Kolaghan could easily top out some aggressive decks, and Silumgar is actually super relevant given all the tokens in Standard these days.

That said, I don’t see much medium-term upside for either from the $2-3 they’re at now. Maybe we see one do well early and move to $5 or so, but outside of trading for them this weekend there’s not much more to suggest.

Crux of Fate

This is not the cure-all that people have envisioned for U/B Control. It’s not just Wraths that the deck needs, it’s board control in general. And as it stands now Perilous Vault actually does a better, albeit more expensive, job of cleaning up planeswalkers.

So is the $2.50 price correct? I mean, in the past we’ve seen Wrath variants float at $4-5. That said, this isn’t likely a four-of, so $2-3 seems correct.

Soulflayer

I actually like this quite a bit at $3 this weekend. People are having fun brewing with it sure, but the more important thing to remember is that it’s simply a 4/4 for two mana a lot of the time. Sylvan Caryatid has hexproof and can die easily enough, giving this guy both hexproof and whatever else you have to fill up your graveyard.

Given your typical “dredge” deck, this guy seems like good value. A fine pickup at $3. I expect it to be extremely popular early at least, so even if it doesn’t go wild in price I suspect it will move easily.

Flamewake Phoenix

I actually like this as a card, a little more than most people seem to. It fits in a lot of builds, from the super aggressive red decks to, as Conley suggested on the podcast, Red Devotion.

That said, at $5 I can’t recommend a buy. Even if it shows up as a four-of in some cool list in the next week, it probably only goes to like $8, again making the buy-in okay but not super attractive.

That said, I don’t mind trading for some of these this weekend. There’s nothing wrong with moving a big mythic from Fate Reforged for a bunch of these smaller cards that actually have some upside.

Temporal Trespass

I find Temporal Mastery to be the closest analogue, and that card hung around $7-10 in Standard. That said, it was from a third set (even though a 3x one), while this isn’t. It seems okay in older formats but nothing truly game-breaking, since I don’t see you casting this before turn 4-5, about when you’re casting all your other Time Warps anyway.

$4-5, where it stands now, seems like the medium-term price, and once it bottoms out it becomes a solid pickup for long-term Commander purposes.

Whisperwood Elemental

Now this I’m truly excited about. The reason I think it’s so good? It’s great on both an empty board and a full one.

On an empty board you can play it and immediately start generating an army. And on a full board you can play and have some built-in sweeper protection. Not to mention that those 2/2s you’re generating actually provide way more value than that.

Of course, the one problem this has is that it doesn’t currently have a deck where it easily slots into. I get that, and that may hold it back for the next six months. That said, I’m confident the power level is high enough that, in addition to trading for these at $5-6 this weekend, I’ll for sure be buying in if this gains no traction and bottoms out in the coming months.

Torrent Elemental

When we did the cast, people were quick to label this as a bulk mythic, and I don’t agree. I think the current $6 price is probably too much, but this is a pretty sweet Falter effect for blue. I’m not sure if there’s a deck that wants it right now, but I’d keep an eye on this one post-rotation. The effect is just that powerful if any sort of creature-heavy blue deck comes around.

It’s also possible Jeskai tokens could adopt one or two of these. If that’s the case early in the season, we could see a spike. Keep an eye out.

Warden of the First Tree

Figure of Destiny this is not. Not only are the activations not super impressive, but it takes the full six mana to get past a Courser of Kruphix. Still, there are some builds of Abzan Aggro that could make use of this, so I think it’ll settle around $5-7.

Brutal Hordechief

Love it, though I’ll start this rant here. The mythics in this set do not “feel mythic” at all. Instead, they feel like the most powerful creatures for Constructed. Seriously, these aren’t even named creatures or legendary. I’d rather see the rare cycle of dragons at mythic than just the most powerful cards in the set.

That said, this card at $10 is super powerful. This likely fits into the Mardu decks, and a spike past $10 wouldn’t surprise me in the first week or two.

However, it probably settles around where it is now, at $10-12. So if you get in on these this weekend, look for the quick flip if it gains any traction.

Shaman of the Great Hunt

Same “mythicness” of Hordechief, and possibly even more powerful. Honestly I think this finds a home in a lot of decks. Anything with Savage Knuckleblade wants it, and untapping with it is a nightmare for your opponent. It also puts an awkward pressure on your green opponents. Sure, their Courser of Kruphix can trade with it, but do they attack on turn 4 with theirs if they don’t have a Rhino? Doing so risks giving you the chance to make this a 5/3.

Another card I want in my binder of the next two weeks, and one I wouldn’t be surprised to see go to $20 for a week or two, even though I think it will come back down later.

Monastery Mentor & Soulfire Grand Master

Grouping these together because both are sweet cards, and Grand Master at least passes the mythic test. That said, at $30 and $20 respectively, there is no upside, and both will end up closer to $12-15 in six months.

Ugin, the Spirit Dragon

Obviously high at $30, but I’m super interested in this card once the price settles. Karn hit $10 in Standard, and though I suspected it was a great long-term play, I didn’t expect it to be $50 good.

Ugin will follow a similar trajectory to Karn, even though I doubt he’ll reach the same numbers. The play on this is, for now, to wait. This will eventually bottom out, it will be clearly identifiable by graph, and we’ll have our window to move.

For what it’s worth, I could see this guy playing nicely with Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx, which could see an uptick given that we are again filling out the format with creatures that help devotion. Those strategies are at their best with the most cards in the format, after all, and Ugin is a pretty sweet thing to ramp to.

I also thing it could find a home in some Tron lists. It’s not the turn 3 godplay Karn is, but this wraths the board quite effectively once you have eight mana, and unlike Oblivion Stone it sticks around afterward.

 

That’ll wrap up Fate Reforged. I’m not sure how awesome this set will be immediately in Standard, but it’s got some nice long-term application to make up for it.

 

Thanks for reading,

Corbin Hosler

@Chosler88 on Twitter

Insider: Fate Reforged Top 10

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Welcome to the Top 10 for Fate Reforged! You guys all know the drill by now, so let's get to it.

Honorable Mentions

New Warriors

There are quite a few cards on my Honorable Mentions list but most of them break down into two categories. The first is warriors. There are a lot of warriors who could see play based on their tribe as well as their own merits. Here’s a list of some of the better ones.

Warriors

None of these cards alone were enough to make the Top 10, but I almost included them as a group in one of the spots. I think it would be cool if tribal warriors was a playable deck in competitive events, but I don’t think it will end up that way. Still fun to play around with.

Good Times in the Graveyard

There are a number of fun cards that could be paired with the Whip of Erebos decks in Standard, but I think most of them will end up as fun cards rather than competitive ones. Here are the cards I’m referring to:

Graveyard Cards

Solid Removal

Solid Removal

One of the best parts of the set are these following three removal spells. We have the versatile Valorous Stance that lets you protect your guy or remove theirs. Wild Slash gets through Gods Willing effects as well as being at the efficiency we were used to in the past as opposed to the now normal three-cost removal spells.

Lastly, Collateral Damage seems great in a world where tokens are running around all over the place. Make a token from Goblin Rabblemaster and instead of running it into one of their blockers, sacrifice it to kill the creature instead. All three of these cards are great role players and should find homes in Standard.

Interesting cards

Interesting Cards

Here are a few cards that I briefly considered as well. While these cards could see play in Standard, they are not the best cards in the set. They do have interesting applications though, but they are on the fence as to whether they are good enough to see play.

Now onto the Fate Reforged Top 10!

10. Soulfire Grand Master

What better way to start off a Top 10 than with a controversial pick. I can’t be the only one who thinks this is the most overrated card in recent memory. It isn’t as bad as Time Reversal, but I do think this card’s price is going nowhere but down.

Let me explain my stance on this card. From my perspective, this creature is a measly 2/2 for two mana that does have relevant abilities but will rarely connect with your opponent because of the nature of the format. Green decks are not going to magically disappear and so you are left with a creature that’s unable to easily damage your opponent. Certainly being able to buy back your spells late-game is great, but overall I’m still surprised by players' high opinions of this card.

In Modern I like this card much more than in Standard because that format is much different. I could easily see Soulfire Grand Master fitting into a couple different decks in Modern and being pretty good in them. You have cheap spells to rebuy if you get to the mid or late game and giving your burn lifelink is particularly relevant in Modern.

As for Standard, I don’t expect players to be replacing their Seeker of the Way with this new high-priced mythic, nor adding spots for another two-cost creature. Therefore, unless this guy makes a new home for himself, I see him sitting on the sidelines.

On a positive note, if we think outside the box, I do think there is a solid application for the Grand Master. Many times, Jeskai Control decks (or similar versions) sideboard in more creatures after game one based on the fact that their opponent is likely sideboarding out many of their targeted removal spells. Soulfire Grand Master could be a great creature to have in your sideboard because he will act like a bad Snapcaster Mage but still do a lot of important and powerful things for your control deck.

9. Torrent Elemental

Last week, I wrote about how this creature was vastly underrated and underpriced. This week, Torrent Elemental's price has picked up and we see it coming in at number nine on my list. I wouldn’t say that this is the most powerful card in the set by a wide margin, but I do think the format is well positioned for it to be the workhorse of these Sidisi, Brood Tyrant decks.

So often, the board state with Sultai decks becomes clogged. The deck thrives on the late game so clogging the board is exactly what you want to do. The bad part is that sometimes it becomes hard to win through a crowded and complex board state and it’s definitely hard to do so within the normal fifty minute time frame. Torrent Elemental breaks those board states and whenever you want to be attacking, he forces through a lot of damage.

Additionally, being able to delve him away and then cast him from exile seems like a great way to gain some additional card advantage. Overall, a five-mana creature like this is unlikely to oppress the format, but I do think it will impact it in a positive way. I still like trading into copies of this card, especially if you can find copies that players don’t care about. The card seems innocent but it’s going to have a big impact on games of Standard.

Finally, there is a slight possibility that it will see some play in combination with Food Chain and Misthollow Griffin. Food Chain isn’t winning any big tournaments but it is a nostalgic archetype that players like to fiddle around with, and that could help the price as well.

8. Crux of Fate

With U/B Control having a presence in Standard, I think this is an obvious inclusion in that deck. Five mana is an acceptable cost for a sweeper these days and Crux of Fate is in a color that doesn’t frequently get the effect.

Another consideration for this card is how popular it is likely to be for casual and Commander players. I know that a lot of cards are sold to players that don’t regularly play in tournaments and this is the type of card they will love. Foils will likely hold their value well also. Stock up on as many regular and foil copies, because the starting price is close to the bottom for this card.

7. Shaman of the Great Hunt

6. Brutal Hordechief

Next up I want to discuss both #7 and #6 on the list, which are very similar effects in different colors. Both are have their own merits but in the end you’re doing an extra damage each turn with your other creatures. My initial impression is that Brutal Hordechief is better than Shaman of the Great Hunt because it takes a turn to get a +1/+1 counter whereas Hordechief deals the damage right away.

Hordechief being a warrior has some interesting applications. The warrior deck has not been very competitive thus far, but with a bunch of new warriors in Fate Reforged, it’s possible the archetype becomes playable.

Either of these four-drops can be played alongside the sweet token makers in Standard and both setups would yield strong sequences. It will be interesting to see which of these two cards sees play, but both might. The red one does pair well with the on-color Hordeling Outburst though, so I expect that combination will at least be tested.

As far as financially, I think both of these cards will drop a little bit in value but for the most part, I like their current price tag of approximately $10. I think they will go down a couple dollars, but should stabilize after that. These two cards should trade well to a variety of players as they will be used in many different ways.

5. Monastery Siege

Monastery Siege seems like one of the most undervalued cards in the set. One of the main reasons for this is not only is it new and strange, but its best applications may be in the sideboard rather than the maindeck.

While the bonus draw and discard helps smooth draws as well as fill your graveyard for various delve spells, the second ability is the one that seems like it will push the card to see play. In Standard, there are a lot of spells that target players or permanents and adding an additional two mana to them seems like a way to keep yourself out of burn range and your creatures safe from removal spells. This enchantment doesn’t protect you from Crux of Fate, End Hostilities or any other mass removal, but anything targeted will be much harder to cast.

4. Flamewake Phoenix

Let me first say, I am ecstatic that wizards is finally taking the phoenix creature type seriously. As a mythical creature they are extremely cool and hard to kill. It took a long time for us to get a Chandra's Phoenix that closely embodied the rising-from-the-ashes mythos the creatures are known for. Now we have a couple other good creatures of the same ilk.

Ashcloud Phoenix being in print is essential to the conversation for a number of reasons. Not only is it cool that one phoenix will help the other rise from the grave, but that gets us one step closer to phoenix tribal! Okay, that will probably never be a reality we live in, but our new phoenix joining the clan is quite the potent one.

There are some major differences between Flamewake and Chandra's Phoenix. The positive changes are that it only costs one mana to bring it back from the graveyard. With Chandra’s, not only did you need to be packing a bunch of burn spells but you also had to replay it on your turn.

Unfortunately, to balance this we are going to have to be attacking every turn. It would be great to be able to block but that is not in any game plan with this card. Additionally, you do need to be playing with four-power creatures, but with the ferocious mechanic in Standard, there are plenty of options to make this happen.

Overall, this is a powerful aggressive creature that has late-game applications because of its cheap recursive cost. There are tons of good three-cost spells in Standard right now, but I think even with the available card pool, the format will make room for the new phoenix on the block.

3. Ugin, the Spirit Dragon

At the beginning of my process writing this article, one of my biggest questions was how high up the list Ugin, the Spirit Dragon would be. Initially I thought he might end up at number one, and for good reason. This enormous planeswalker not only removes all of the threats from the board, but he also exiles them in the process. With all of the crazy Whip of Erebos shenanigans in Standard, exiling creatures has become a particularly relevant endeavor.

The more I analyzed the set and thought about each card’s implications, the more I realized that Ugin was not well suited to be the number one card in the set. Surely he is the most iconic card in the set and that almost propelled him to the top, but will he really see much play costing eight mana? That is surely one of the most asked questions about this set. I believe the answer is that yes, you will have to battle against this card at FNM and probably at bigger events also.

There is no question that this planeswalker will see some play, but what is likely to happen is that he will show up at a one-of in a couple different Standard decks. In addition, he will most likely join forces with Karn Liberated in Modern to beef up Tron’s removal package even more.

With so few copies likely to be included in decks, Ugin lands at number three on the list. All of his abilities are powerful and he reaches his ultimate much faster than most planeswalkers. So, if you like control decks, I would look to pick up a couple copies of this new card at some point.

Unless you need him for a deck right away, I would wait a couple of weeks to snag your copies because I doubt that he can sustain $30 for long. There would be many factors that need to happen in order for his price not to drop. $15-$20 is a much more believable price range and I expect the market to adjust to that price within a few weeks of release.

2. Warden of the First Tree

Often new cards are compared to older cards and then fail to live up to the standards previously set by the older cards. In this case, our Warden of the First Tree here will always be "the new version of Figure of Destiny."

The first time around, it took a little while for Figure to catch on. I may have been playing the card right from the set release, but it wasn’t until the pros preparing for the Pro Tour came up with their Boat Brew that the Magic community caught on to the power of the card. These days, new sets are talked about and broken down much more than they were even five years ago, so I’m sure it’s no surprise that the First Tree’s front line of defense is so high on my list.

Just like Figure though, I think we are still underestimating the power of this card. Warden is like playing your Fleecemane Lion on turn one. Not only that, but he isn’t stopped by all of the other green cards in the format that block other aggressive creatures. Warden is also not going to be taken down by tokens like the rest of the two-mana cost creatures out there.

Another part of the puzzle is the converted mana cost of the removal spells. Because all of the good removal costs three or more, you will likely get in a couple of hits before they kill him. These things make Warden quite good in the current format. If players start running the new Wild Slash, he won’t be quite as good but I doubt that is a main deck card in this format.

A major distinction for me between the two super levelers, Figure and Warden, is that Warden gets trample instead of flying. The flying aspect was one of my favorite parts of Figure of Destiny and the fact that Warden gets trample makes him much easier to defeat. I do like that you can use the third ability repeatedly to make Warden bigger every turn you don’t have something better to do.

Warden of the First Tree is going to see a lot of play and at $10, I think he is one of the most undervalued cards in the set. Not only can he go right into the already successful Abzan Aggro, but I think Abzan Midrange might include a couple copies in their 75 somewhere as well. Another important note is that on his first level, he does become a warrior. I’m not sure how relevant that will be, but an Abzan Warriors deck could emerge that would love to include this amazing new creature.

I know that I am excited about this creature and I think there is room for growth also. Trade into copies of this guy if possible within the first week or two and you will be happy you did.

1. Monastery Mentor

Doesn’t Monastery Mentor feel like the monastery mentor? I think the biggest crime with our number one card on the list is that he is not a legend. Don’t get me wrong, the fact that he isn’t a legend means that we can have multiple in play at the same time which seems terrifying for any opponent to behold, but this mythic rare would definitely feel more mythic if his name was something like Elias, Monastery Mentor or something like that.

Names aside, our flock of Monastery Mentors have a list of great prerequisites attached to them. First of all, to become a mentor to monks, one must study the art of noncreature spells. Players love their Delver of Secrets decks and this creature fits that mold as it was designed to.

What would a good mentor be without students to teach? These mentors bring lots of pupils to the party too and they are definitely well taught. Each of the monk student tokens being able to use prowess is incredibly busted. They will be breaking boards in half as well as skulls of planeswalkers just like you.

Never fear though, for the meager price of $120, you can obtain your very own playset of mentors to teach your opponents the error of their ways. Monastery Mentors may not have a mythic feel to them, but they certainly do have powerful enough abilities backed by a strong price tag that make them feel mythic for certain.

If this card is half as good as it seems on paper and the rest of the set pans out like it seems it will, I think $30 is a reasonable and sustainable price for our new prowess dude. He is a very strong competitive level card and should see a lot of play in Standard, Modern, and possibly even Legacy.

Fate Reforged’s Financial Future

As I was setting up Fate’s spreadsheet for my store, I noticed more and more how similar it seems to a set like Born of the Gods, Journey Into Nyx, or Dragon’s Maze. We may be getting some amount of fetch lands in our Fate Reforged boxes, but even that is not likely to help the prices of the cards in the set. There are only six cards that I have listed to buy for more than $2. The most common buy price on my spreadsheet is $1. If history serves us then most or all of these low price cards will be in the $1.50 range in a month.

What this means is that the financial value of this set leaves a lot to be desired. I think the biggest problem with the set is that there are no rares worth investing in. Flamewake Phoenix is great but past that, I can’t really advise you to do anything other than trade away your other rares while they are still worth something.

The mythics in this set are a somewhat impressive group though. Six of the ten mythics are worth double digits and most of them should continue to hold most of their value. Clearly we will see a drop in their prices but most of them shouldn’t drop as much as we’ve been used to with previous sets. Even the ‘bulk’ mythics of the set seem poised to still have a couple dollars in value and not be true bulk.

Don’t waste time holding onto most of the cards in this set, start trading them away for more stable cards right away.

Do you agree with my financial advice and my top 10 order? Are there any hidden valuable cards in this set? What, if any, cards do you think have the chance to go up in value? Hit me up in the comments with your financial thoughts as well as what differences your top 10 has.

Until Next Time,

Unleash the Cube Force!

Mike Lanigan
MtgJedi on Twitter
Jedicouncilman23@gmail.com

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This may surprise you to read, but I think Chromanticore is a powerful card and I wouldn't mind serving with it. It's really hard to differentiate the rant from the aftermath now, but at the time, I was very aware that even though I thought the card was powerful and could even be a bomb in limited with the right manabase, the design of the card was terrible. It was reminiscent of the cards that my friends used to design when they were 12. And anyone remember this piece of crap?

Jesus, what terrible design. A card that may or may not be in your face-down library has an ability? You have to be able to target and opponent for this card to have a power and toughness? Yuck. Maybe Wizards was hiring 12 year-olds at the same time I was 12. I could have designed lots of cards just like this one.

Chromanticore brought back all of those memories of my friends making craptastic cards that were 20/20 creatures for two mana of every color and had 9 keyword abilities. I didn't think anything could be worse than that.

I was wrong.

Why MTGCardsmith is a tumblr page dedicated to the worst cards people are designing with the MTGCardsmith program.

There are some hilaribad cards on here, and it's fun to peruse the page and wonder what people were thinking when they made these. Spelling and grammar mistakes accompany baffling design and templating choices. If you're the kind of person who laughs at junk like this, and I'm sure most of you are, this will make your day. I found a few I really liked.

Valakut and manaplez. I win again. Good thing my lands all had haste.

I just read an article saying Underground Sea should be called "Underpowered Sea". Swampy Island will be in M16 and will be the 6th Basic land type.

This is essentially what I saw when they printed Chromanticore.

Can't be the target of spells your opponents control. Or ones you control, either. Psych.

I think it's OP the way he destroys any human/dragon that blocks it. Say your prayers, Chameleon Colossus.

 

This was fun, but the Tumblr page is full of dozens more.

 

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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Pictures of new counterfeits emerge

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Today someone got their hands on the latest round of Chinese counterfeits, and you can see the side-by-side comparisons to the real thing here.

mobrule

As you can see (the ones on the left are fake), these look close but are still pretty distinguishable on closer examination. In addition — and this is important — these feel super glossy when you hold them. I wouldn't be super worried about finding these in the wild, but if you find anything that that's on this list and is darker and duller, while also feeling glossy, it's worth looking over.

And, to look them over, you should use the light test. There are many tests for fakes, and these fakes pass some of them, but they still have this issue: They fail the light test. To perform the test, shine a bright light through the card. On a real Magic card you can find the small "blue line" that runs through the cards and is revealed if you were to rip one open. On the counterfeits, that line is black.

Hope that helps. Again, you're extremely unlikely to actually run across these, but if you do now you know a little more. Stay vigilant.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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A Quick and Easy Guide to Playing at the Fate Reforged Prerelease

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Sometimes you can fall out of the cycle of Magic news, especially immediately after the holidays. If you're in this boat, or if you just regularly don't pay too much attention to spoilers, this article is for you. Here's the top eight things you should know about this weekend to help you get the slightest edge, despite your lack of being glued to spoilers:

1. There Are Not Cards with Morph in This Set

So all that memorizing you did for Khans of Tarkir is still live–if someone plays a morph creature against you, you don't have to worry about unknown cards.

woollyloxodon

2. There Will Be Face-Down Creatures That Don't Have Morph, Though

Manifest, one of the new mechanics for this set, will allow players to put the top cards of their libraries into play face-down as 2/2 creatures. If they are actually creature cards, their controllers may turn them face-up for their mana or morph costs. If they are lands or noncreature spells, they can't be turned face up, but they're not illegal as manifest creatures.

This means you need to keep an eye on face-down creatures and make sure ones that were morphed are distinct from those that were manifested. Make sure you're not inadvertently cheating anyone (or advertently, for that matter, but you wouldn't do that) and that no one is cheating you.

etherealambush

3. It Doesn't Matter What Clan or Color You Choose Anymore

With the randomized promos, there's not really a huge advantage to choosing the "best" clan. Some pools will be more playable than others, but at this point, you should just choose the colors you like best. This is coming from someone who always chose a prerelease pack based on what I saw as the best promo—I want to win at these things, and I will take the route that gives me the advantage. But I don't think that advantage is discernible anymore, so just play what you like.

atarkaworldrender

4. You Can't Get Blown Out When You're Bolstering

Check out the reminder text: "Choose a creature with the least toughness among creatures you control and put X +1/+1 counters on it." This means that if your opponent kills your smallest creature in response to bolstering, your next-smallest creature will get the bonus. The only way you can get blown out is if your opponent kills your only creature. Don't let yourself lose an advantage because you didn't notice the lack of a targeting clause in this ability.

elitescaleguard

5. The Cards You Open Will Never Be Worth This Much Again (On Average)

If you don't have an extensive list of trade targets and stuff to get rid of, it's not a bad policy to be trading your Fate Reforged cards across the board for Khans of Tarkir cards you want or need. Sure, a few cards might go up, but the vast majority are going to go down, whereas Khans cards have had months to settle and are not as hyped at the moment.

soulfiregrandmaster

6. That Doesn't Mean You Have to Trade or Sell Them Right Away

This is a primarily an MTG finance website, so we always try to help you maximize the buying power of the dollars you spend on our favorite hobby. You can also decide you're not going to worry about those trends and just keep cards that are going to go down in value. If you get your fun in Magic from playing with cards before everyone else, or even just as soon as possible, it's not a bad thing to pay a little more or lose some value to play with sweet new cards. It might not be as efficient, but we all have different goals and values in this game, and that's okay.

Monastery Siege

7. This Isn't a Wedge Set: There Aren't Three-Color Cards

So you should have a really good reason to be three or more colors after building your deck. Those reasons can range from incredible mana fixing to three Abzan rares from your Khans packs, but if you're looking to win the most matches, you're likely going to be the most consistent with a two-color deck, maybe with a splash. Don't default to assuming you're going to be three colors—in fact, I'll be planning not to be until it's clear I would be doing it wrong by playing less.

duneblast

8. Have Fun

Prereleases are supposed to be fun, so do what you enjoy most–trade for value or cards you need, play tight and win a bunch of packs, or just kick back and laugh your way through some games of Magic with friendly people. Whatever you enjoy, go for it.

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