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What’s the Best Way to Format Decklists?

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As a reader, writer, and editor of MTG content, I have some opinions about how best to organize decklists. The new Wizards of the Coast website lists them like this:

decklistsWOTC

That's a complete mess. We don't need to have a separate section for each card type, and we certainly don't need to have so much empty space on the page. Figuring out what this deck is doing at a glance is not going to be easy for someone unfamiliar with the archetype. Even worse, there appears to be no rhyme or reason to the order the cards are listed: not alphabetical, not rarity, not quantity. Was this just put together at random?

Using fewer categories is a good thing when it comes to quickly digesting a decklist. SCG simplifies things a bit:

SCGdecklist

This is better, but the card orders within categories still don't appear to have any purpose.

The old WOTC website design had a different layout for decklists:

OLDWOTCDECKLIST

At least we can tell what's going on here. The decklist is much more compact on the page, the four sections—creatures, non-creature spells, lands, and sideboard—make sense, and the cards are arranged alphabetically. There's some sense to this type of organization, although in my mind, it's still short of ideal. Why are lands listed first? And except for pulling cards out of a carefully organized inventory, what purpose does alphabetical order serve?

My preferred decklist formatting looks something like this:

Ryan Luo, Grand Prix Taipei 2014 Top 8 Deck

Creatures

1 Oreskos Swiftclaw
1 Quickling
2 Welkin Tern
1 Raise the Alarm
2 Aeronaut Tinkerer
1 Frost Lynx
2 Razorfoot Griffin
1 Amphin Pathmage
1 Master of Predicaments
1 Nimbus of the Isles
1 Triplicate Spirits

Spells

1 Into the Void
1 Void Snare
1 Peel from Reality
1 Oppressive Rays
1 Devouring Light
1 Sanctified Charge
1 Marked by Honor
2 Rogue's Gloves

Lands

9 Island
8 Plains

This is more of a representation of how people actually build their decks, both in paper and online Magic. The vast majority of players lay out the creature curve by mana cost, so why are written decklists not universally done this way, too? Raise the Alarm and Triplicate Spirits, while technically spells, are functionally creatures, so they should be included in the creature category. The order of cards with the same casting cost doesn't matter as much to me, but alphabetical could be a good rule of thumb.

As for spells, mana cost doesn't matter so much as function. Note that the order I've listed the spells above group them by what they're doing: bounce spells, removal, pump/tricks, and creature buffs. In my opinion, this decklist is much easier to parse than this:

wotcdecklist2

For all the focus on decklists in Magic articles across the internet, the actual presentation doesn't get as much attention as it deserves. Being aesthetically pleasing to look at as well as enabling quick digestion should be viewed as a crucial factor by content creators. And decklist presentation is an art, not a science. A Legacy Storm deck is going to require a different layout than an M15 Limited deck, which will in turn be different than a Modern UWR Control deck. Being cognizant of this fact is essential for Magic content providers.

This is all, of course, a matter of opinion. You may prefer seeing decklists in a different way than I do, and I'm interested to hear your thoughts on the matter. What's most important to you when looking at an online decklist?

Insider: A Time for Standard

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I've already written about becoming a father recently, and between the increased expenses from the baby and decreased income from my wife being off of work, I've cashed out of a good portion of my MTG specs.

One of the great things about having separate funds for Magic is that when you need the money, you have the option of falling back on liquidating some easy-to-move assets. That's what I did this spring and summer, and now that my finances are a little more under control, I'm ready to start committing some money back into the game.

In many ways, I'm starting from scratch. This means I'm looking for low-risk, inexpensive buy-ins to build up a bit of a portfolio before the release of Khans of Tarkir. 

Where I'm Looking

After ignoring cards from Theros block for the entire year, they’re all I’m looking at lately. Nearly a year of drafting has led to the highest supply we’re ever going to get of these cards, and the summer doldrums have led to the expected dip in demand that makes this the best possible time to buy.

We've also got an excellent resource in Trader Tools. Being able to sort by spread is a great start to figuring out where the good opportunities are.

therossingledigit

It's cool to see so many cards at single-digit spreads, especially from the fall set. Theros cards have by far the most supply (remember the 6:2:1 ratio from drafting), as well as having had the most time to settle to a floor price. Perhaps retailers are having trouble getting copies of these cards because everyone assumes they're worthless.

Sander van der Zee has been on Steam Augury for some time now, even doubling down in his recent Brainstorm Brewery guest spot, and though it's essentially a bulk rare right now, I'm sure he's happy to see the negative spread. I'm still not buying in, but it's certainly worth pulling out of bulk boxes. I'm just not sure that Jace's Ingenuity isn't better.

A Quick Aside on Commons and Uncommons

Seeing Titan's Strength at the top of this list, especially at above-bulk-rare pricing, is simultaneously vindicating and disappointing to me. I've advocated holding onto draft commons and uncommons until after rotation, but Titan's Strength is not one I have been pulling. In fact, I failed to pull some of the top commons being bought right now.

commonsfromtheros

This tells me to be more patient with selling draft bulk. I guarantee that the three boxes of draft leftovers I sold during the Zero to Draft challenge had many copies of Read the Bones and Voyage's End, both of which I like a lot and drafted often during the format. Most painful of all is Gods Willing, which originally was in my pile of cards to save, but ultimately thrown back in to the bulk pile.

It just goes to show that you can't really know which draft leftovers retailers will be buying. After Searing Spear buylisting for a dollar, Lightning Strike seemed on track for at least a quarter, but the reprint in M15 plus being from a fall set has put this at a point where I wouldn't even be willing to send it in. Moving into Khans of Tarkir, I'm just going to accept that storing three or four longboxes of cards until after Theros rotates is worth the possibility of adding $40 of commons and uncommons to a buylist order I was sending in anyway.

Back to our Regular Programming

I've liked Anger of the Gods ever since Aaron Forsythe tweeted the following during Pro Tour Born of the Gods:

IMG_2219 IMG_2220

That is some serious pedigree, and the fact that the card is sitting at a decent spread (only nine copies are at five-percent, but over 100 are around 30 percent) and has the chance to perform in Standard makes it all the more appealing. That being said, I'm not rushing out to buy these at $1.50. Scooping these out of binders should be a priority, but my guess is the ceiling is $4 or $5 tops.

I say this because Slagstorm was more or less a staple in Wolf Run Ramp decks, which saw a ton of play in the Delver days. It was also from the small set Mirrodin Besieged, meaning there was less supply. It still only hit $4.

I'm hesitant to think that Modern play will make up for the threefold number of copies that Anger of the Gods has on the market. Still, many people at your FNM will see the $1.50 price tag, look at this as a "dollar rare," and give it to you for a pittance. This is a solid opportunity if you grind lots of trades.

Card Kingdom is buying 260 copies of Agent of the Fates for three cents under retail. I've seen mixed reports on Twitter about this card playing a role in GP Trial-winning decklists, but I haven't seen any on-camera play at any big events.

Is it casual demand? Is it secretly great in Standard and only Card Kingdom knows? I'm not sure, but I'm confident in CK's confidence, so I literally just purchased 24 copies at $0.40 each with free shipping. If the card goes nowhere and I bulk my copies out, I lose all of $7. The upside isn't super high, but doubling up on something so trivial is right where I want to be at this point.

Born to Journey

Interestingly, despite the lower supply, the spreads are higher in Born of the Gods and Journey into Nyx.

bornofthegodsbottomthree

journeyintonyxlowestspread

One card in particular sticks out to me from this group. Phenax, God of Deception is a casual mill player's dream. If Consuming Aberration is a $3 card, being a rare, a prerelease promo, and from a large set, then Phenax has a lot of room to grow.

I'm putting my money where my virtual pen is on this one too, purchasing five copies at $3.33 each shipped. Incidentally, while trying to remember the name of Consuming Aberration, I discovered another Dimir mythic that currently has a negative spread:

There was an error retrieving a chart for Lazav, Dimir Mastermind

I'm not saying you should go out and buy that one, but just pointing out that you should be aware of the cards you may see in binders that can net you above retail on buylists. These are easy money in trades.

What about the other cards on the above list? I'm not really moved to buy anything, but if I were planning to play Standard next year, I would be sure to have my playset of Courser of Kruphix ready to go. Just because it was reprinted in the M15 Clash Pack (and by the way, how bad is it that a Google search can't find me the official spoiling of this product on the new Wizards website?) doesn't mean the card is financially dead.

Reid Duke wrote about the card recently, saying that it is, "among the best cards in Standard." The reprint has driven its price down, but we've seen in the recent past that a format staple has the ability to survive multiple reprints if it's widely enough played.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Thragtusk

Waiting for the Fall

I'm slowly funneling a little bit more money into Magic, looking to double and triple up until I've got my MTG fund reestablished. The opportunities to sell are coming up with Khans of Tarkir. I'm looking forward to building up enough cash to enable another baby in a couple years!

Community Cup Formats Announced

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As the title read, the formats for the Community Cup - the annual showdown between Wizards members and players chosen to represent the Magic Online community - have been announced.

And we have some doozies.

news20140814_mtgocc

First up is a Vintage Masters draft, which seems just awesome. It's followed up by IronRoot Chef, which I don't understand at all but you can read about in the release. Next is eight-booster Sealed, which should produce some powerful decks, and then Cube *with stipulations*.

And the big one to top it all off? Khans of Tarkir Sealed. This will happen just before the full set is revealed, so anything they play with could be completely new to us. We'll have to hope!

You can read the full release here.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Posted in Feature, Free, Khans of Tarkir, MTGO1 Comment on Community Cup Formats Announced

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GamesCon Spoilers

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I'm going to be honest, I'm not really sure what GamesCon is, outside of the name making it obvious that it's a gaming convention.

Did you know that GenCon, another popular gaming convention was this weekend? Someone should tell Wizards of the Coast.

OK, that's not fair. Everyone I would send a snarky "Herp, did you know GenCon was this weekend?" tweet to is AT GenCon. I spent all last night looking at who showed up at the party at Kilroy's that I didn't go to. Helene Bergeot was there. Christine Sprankle. Terese Nielsen. Brian Kibler. Some males, too, probably. Still, despite most of my favorite Magic people being at GenCon, there were no GenCon exclusive spoilers. I'm not going to make pointing this out an annual thing. We've lost this fight - WotC just doesn't care about GenCon and prefers to spoil new Magic cards at whatever generic "nerd" con is going on that weekend in any other city. We get San Diego ComicCon exclusive planeswalkers and GenCon exclusive "how would you like to pay $18 to play in an M15 booster draft run by Pastimes?" This is what we get, so let's be grateful there was another con this weekend because no we get spoilers.

Thousand Winds

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For 7 mana you can really pull your opponent's pants down. It's less narrow than Aetherspouts and provided you keep your dudes vigilant, it's one-sided. This is not the most exciting return to Morph possible, but this is a good limited card. I don't see a 7 mana combat trick being useful in standard when dealing 2 damage is so simple. This is going to die to Lightning Strike unless you wait until you have 13 mana to play it. Not super exciting. I hope the cards improve.

Stitcher Geralf

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I don't know if this guy wants to be a general, but he's pretty solid. Lots of decks want to deck themselves in EDH and this guy obliges, albeit slowly. The Mimeoplasm might want this guy, for example. Illusionists' Bracers on this guy will be fun, and maybe a parallel lives or Primal Vigor in the mix. I am presuming this will come out in the Teferi Planeswalker deck. I think this could be a good addition to EDH, and while building around it seems narrow (blue can't really capitalize a ton on this ability without cards in colors that care about the graveyard a bit more) it could be a good general. Decks that contain blue, though...the possibilities are endless. Still, this is hardly the second coming of True-Name Nemesis, so don't expect a run on the Teferi deck because of this guy.

Mardu Heart Piercer

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This is the picture we have. Can't read it? Not to worry.

Mardu Heart Piercer 3R

Creature - Human Archer

Raid: When Mardu Heart Piercer enters the battlefield, if you attacked with a creature this turn, Mardu Heart Piercer deals 2 damage to target creature or player.

2/3

Raid is a new keyword. It's like bloodthirst but not as good in some cases and better in others. I like that this can kill off a blocker. I imagine not all raid abilities are combat tricks like this, but this does complicate combat. It also teaches newbs not to play dudes pre-combat, which is helpful.  All in all, this is a solid card for limited, a format I can't wait to play because it's not core set.

 

There you have it. 3 new cards spoiled. 2 from Khans, 1 from Commander 2014. You saw it here first. I mean, maybe you did.

 

 

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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Posted in Free2 Comments on GamesCon Spoilers

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Is Xenagos the next Jace, Architect of Thought?

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It's an interesting question, and one that has been kind of a hot topic recently: Could Xenagos be the next Jace?

Xenagos

There are certainly some similarities, though there are also some key difference. But both inhabit a similar space heading into their first Rotation, and that could mean big things for Xenagos since Jace hit $30 after Theros rotated in.

I've seen an interesting progression with people's thoughts on Jace. A year ago people didn't see much in him despite the fact he was all over the Block Pro Tour Top 8. I've always been a big believer in following Block results, and I advised getting in at the 8-10 the cheaper copies were at. As it worked out, the card ended up being played quite a bit immediately following Rotation, which caused a bit of a run on it and pushed the price to $25.

Did Xenagos match up?

You can read the full article here.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Posted in Feature, Finance, Free1 Comment on Is Xenagos the next Jace, Architect of Thought?

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Insider: Striking a Chord in Modern

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Last summer was great for me in terms of Magic because I got to play not only one of my favorite decks ever, but one of the most successful as well. The deck in question was The Aristocrats.

I played various versions of the deck since it was created but it wasn’t until M14 was released that the deck really shaped up into a powerhouse in the metagame. The deck played so well for me that I went out of my way to play in as many Standard tournaments just so I could rock my aristocratic force into Top 8 after Top 8. This journey was short-lived though because a few short months later, Standard rotated into the horrible Theros mess that we still have right now. M15 has breathed a temporary breath of life into Standard, but other than that, I can’t wait for rotation to happen.

With Standard not being as interesting as I’d like, I found myself reminiscing about last summer and the wonders of the Aristocrats. After some unsuccessful attempts to try this strategy again in Standard, I started working on it for Modern.

One of the reasons I think this type of aggressive strategy would be good in Modern is due to the resurgence of Jund, Junk, and the Rock. These archetypes have been doing a lot of winning lately and Aristocrats is the perfect strategy to combat this type of deck. It worked last summer in Standard, so it should be just as effective in Standard as well.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Lingering Souls

While Cartel Aristocrat may be the namesake of the deck, he wasn't the first card I knew I would include. The card I love in Modern right now is Lingering Souls. Not only is it good against any controlling strategy, but it’s amazing against Affinity and Pod. When you have a card that is a versatile threat like Lingering Souls, you know you are on the right track.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Ajani Goldmane

The next piece is a shoutout to Lorwyn Block Standard and the original Black-White Tokens. Many players have forgotten the power of the original Ajani and how potent he can be in a token strategy. Have you been paying attention to the continual rise in price of this planeswalker? He’s not done growing either.

In this deck, Ajani Goldmane provides a threat that is hard to deal with and increases your clock considerably. If you are willing to pay four mana for this effect from your land, Gavony Township, shouldn’t you be willing to pay for it from a planeswalker too? Garruk Wildspeaker may prove to be better in this spot, but Ajani synergizes so well with the next creature in the deck.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Kitchen Finks

Kitchen Finks may not be news to anyone that’s played or watched Modern, but it is very good in this deck. You tend to deal yourself a bit of damage and he helps you gain some back. In addition, creating a resilient threat in combination with your planeswalker makes it even better in this deck than others.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Blood Artist

Because you need consistency with your creatures for this deck to function, Birthing Pod seemed like a poor choice. Chord of Calling for value on the other hand, seems great in this deck especially since you can get my favorite card in the deck, Blood Artist. With Blood Artist, you not only have an aggressive deck, but now you have a way to combo your opponent out at the end of the game and drain the rest of their life.

Melira-Crats

Creatures

4 Noble Hierarch
3 Doomed Traveler
3 Voice of Resurgence
4 Cartel Aristocrat
3 Blood Artist
3 Kitchen Finks
1 Melira, Sylvok Outcast
1 Spike Feeder
1 Archangel of Thune

Spells

3 Thoughtseize
2 Path to Exile
2 Abrupt Decay
3 Lingering Souls
2 Ajani Goldmane
3 Chord of Calling

Lands

4 Verdant Catacombs
4 Marsh Flats
2 Temple Garden
1 Godless Shrine
1 Overgrown Tomb
1 Horizon Canopy
2 Razorverge Thicket
2 Woodland Cemetery
2 Gavony Township
1 Forest
1 Plains
1 Swamp

Sideboard

3 Stony Silence
1 Creeping Corrosion
1 Reclamation Sage
1 Duress
1 Sin Collector
2 Surgical Extraction
1 Slaughter Pact
1 Orzhov Pontif
1 Abrupt Decay
3 Leyline of Sanctity

This deck is a blast to play and your opponents will be guessing about what you are doing the whole time.

After testing some with the deck I’m not certain about the main deck Thoughtseizes. They weren’t good in the matchups I tested against but they are good in others so depending on what your metagame looks like, I might replace them with the third Path to Exile, the third Abrupt Decay, and a Linvala, Keeper of Silence.

I was trying to find a place for Linvala, but I’m not sure where to fit her in. She is very good against many decks, and even though we can’t Pod for her, having access to one seems important.

One key aspect to this deck is what lands you fetch. The most important thing to remember, after playing around Blood Moon in the appropriate matchups, is that you need lots of green mana. Your main engine for Chord of Calling is Lingering Souls and those don’t help with the triple green requirement. The vast majority of the time you should be fetching both Overgrown Tomb and Temple Garden first. Always keep Chord in mind when you are cracking your fetches.

Testing against Melira Pod seemed the highest priority because the evolution of this deck led it to be constructed so that it’s a semi-mirror match. If they have access to maindeck Orzhov Pontif, your Lingering Souls plan is much worse. You can play around Pontiff by killing their two-cost creature with Birthing Pod on the stack. You may not always have the removal spell but it’s an interaction that comes up more than you might think.

Ajani Goldmane is crazy good against them. Every time I’ve cast him, I won the game, so don’t underestimate his power. Blood Artist is also very good against them. There are board states where they can wipe your board with Pontiff but Blood Artist prevents them from doing that because it would kill them. I don’t have enough testing to know whether or not keeping in Blood Artists postboard is correct or not, but the variance of its power is extreme.

There are so many ways to win with this deck that you have game against nearly every deck in the metagame. The mirror is much closer than I thought it would be, almost exactly 50-50, so you think you are likely to see a lot of Pod decks, this might not be the right choice. If you have a lot of experience with this list, you definitely have the edge though so if this deck interests you, get a lot of reps playing it especially against Melira Pod.

People think Modern is well defined, but with over a decade of cards available in the card pool there are lots of strategies left to be explored and the Aristocrats is poised to do some damage in the metagame.

I’m working on some other ways to gain an edge in the format as well. If this interests you, post in the comments. I’ll keep writing about Modern here and there. It’s an awesome format and now that the fear of losing the Modern Pro Tour is gone, I’m reassured about its longevity.

A Glance at Finance

There was an error retrieving a chart for Birthing Pod

As you can see, Birthing Pod has drastically dropped in value once again. Despite being a four-of in multiple staple Modern decks, Pod has once again dipped. If you can trade into copies of this card, it seems poised to jump back up in price.

Full Art Lands

I’ve noticed all three sets of full art lands increasing in value over the last year. Most of the Unhinged lands are 8-10 now but I’ve seen a lot of local dealers with older prices still. Check around at your local shops for some good deals.

In addition, I as well as many other dealers have finally moved our Zendikar full art lands above a dollar. If you can get these for less than that, you can still make money on them. The Jon Avon ones especially are $2-3 but many shops have them all priced at a dollar. Unless we get a huge influx of full art lands, all of them should keep increasing in value.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Khalni Hydra

Khalni Hydra is one of those casual hits that continues to creep up in value as time passes. Many of you frequent traders know this hidden gem but those of you who don’t should keep your eyes open for them.

Rise of the Eldrazi is packed with hidden value so look through cards from that set carefully. I came across one of these in bulk that someone traded in to my store and while that’s not likely to happen often, trading for this undervalued casual powerhouse is worth your time.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Vexing Devil

While the price of Vexing Devil has stayed fairly steady since its depart from its unimpressive run in Standard, the buy price is creeping up. The spread on this card is getting lower and lower which means it seems like a card waiting to spike.

Modern Burn is popular especially for players new to the format. My stance is still that the deck is terrible and you should never play it, but that won’t stop the mass of other players who want to play the format and don’t have the capital to invest in a better deck.

Well that's all for me for this week. Thanks for reading and please post your thoughts on the deck or the financial opportunities in the comment.

Unleash the Aristocrat Force!

Mike Lanigan
MtgJedi on Twitter
Jedicouncilman23@gmail.com

Insider: Checking Back in on Casual Hits

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Before I go any further, let me say that I was at Grand Prix Portland last weekend and had an absolute blast. It was great to meet everyone I did, the time at the house with the podcast community and listeners/readers was awesome, and I got the chance to write a story for coverage I’m probably more proud of than anything I’ve done in Magic before.

But that’s not the topic on hand today. With Modern on the downswing (one I expect to continue for several more months at least), Standard in a holding pattern until rotation (or at least pre-rotation pickups, which I covered in part last week and will do more of in the coming weeks), and not much else to do during the summer, I want to look at a different subsection of cards.

The Casual Market

One of the most important things in Magic finance, of course, is diversification. I understand we’re using the word a bit differently than it’s used in the real world (and you certainly shouldn’t be tying up all your money in Magic cards), but even within Magic diversification is important.

Specifically, this is the best time of the year to stock up on the “casual” card. These cards, often reprinted in the Core Set, bottom out in the fall before rising at the end of the year and beginning of the next.

So today I want to look at some historical trends and then target some of the cards in Magic 2015 that we want to look at.

In the past, I’ve suggested getting on these card around now, in August. Part of this is just the reality of a writing schedule, where it’s easier to find a week to talk about them now than in September and October when Standard is shiny and new.

But looking at some past cards like Vexing Devil or Quicksilver Amulet, it seems the bottom comes not in August on the most recent set but around rotation, even if it’s not affected by rotation. We’ve seen some of these go lower the year after they’re in Standard, and while there’s something to the argument of waiting to pick them up there’s also the fact that it’s much harder to find these things in binders a year later.

That’s why I like picking up Magic 2015 goodies a few months from now rather than 12 months from now. So let’s look over what cards I’ll be targeting.

Sliver Hivelord

I’m not positive yet how far this will fall. I certainly don’t think you pick it up before October, since there are enough Slivers in Standard right now to try and make it work. I think we’ll see a fair dropoff come rotation, and depending on how low it drops you want to either pick it up then or wait. I’ll be looking to acquire these in November-December. The same goes for Sliver Hive.

Liliana Vess

On the one hand, I feel good about calling this a pickup at $5 before prerelease weekend, since it’s now $10 as I expected. That said, I thought it would make this list as a more appealing target as well. This feels like a rotation 2015 pickup, or possibly sooner if it plummets before then (which I doubt).

Chandra, Pyromaster

$5 still just feels wrong to me. It’s got Standard power, Modern power and it makes this list because it also has Commander power and insane kitchen-table appeal going for it. I’m picking these up now in Standard preparation with the fallback that planeswalkers rarely hold under $5 ever.

Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth

In the same boat, $5 for this feels wrong long-term. The original was $20+ before the reprinting, and in a few years this printing will have easily doubled up just based on the built-in appeal.

Perilous Vault

I really like getting into this once it hits $2-3. It will be an EDH player for a long-time to come, and given how it’s taking up a mythic spot in Magic 2015 I don’t expect them to retain that premium real estate for it going forward. This seems to be like it can easily find $10-12 in 18 months.

The Chain Veil

Certainly don’t advocate going deep on this, or going in at all at the current $3 pricetag, but if this really hits the basement I want in simply because of how unique the effect is.

Old Favorites

Something Wizards does every year is reprint an old casual favorite that had gotten expensive. In recent years we’ve seen Darksteel Forge, Sanguine Bond and recently Door of Destinies, which is off its lows and feels like a solid pickup at $2.

This year we have a few that had created expensive cards in the past. Preeminent Captain and Crucible of Fire may not seem like much, but both were $5 before the reprint. I think it will take some time to see them climb back that high, but I have faith that both will be solid $3 in 18-24 months. Given that they’re essentially bulk throw-ins right now, it’s hard to lose.

Remember that I’m not advising you to go blow your next paycheck on any one of these. But if it comes down to the choice on a throw-in between a random Standard rare and or something like this, it’s a perfect time to keep your eye to the future and go with the solid long-term plan. This is why I love casuals and their cards, and I’ll be doing my best to pick these up in the coming months.

 

Thanks for reading,

Corbin Hosler

@Chosler88 on Twitter

A Controversial Draft Pick at the PT

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Ben Stark is regarded by many to be the best Limited player in the world. If you tuned in late to Pro Tour Magic 2015, you likely didn't see his draft that kicked off the event. In his first pack, he made what has been discussed by many as a controversial pick. What would you take out of this pack?

BenStarkp1p1atptm15

 

If you're familiar with the format, you've probably identified that the best common is Triplicate Spirits and the best uncommon is Cone of Flame. Red is widely considered to be the best color in the set, as well. Although Triplicate Spirits is extremely good, Cone of Flame is a rare class of card that is quite capable of providing a three-for-one. It's also harder to get, being an uncommon and all. So it's the pick, right?

Stark took Triplicate Spirits. With Siege Dragon, Forge Devil, Torch Fiend, and Blastfire Bolt in the pack, he decided the risk of putting his neighbor to the left (who happened to be Sam Black) into red was too high and went with the only playable white card in the pack.

Image (1)

Did he overthink things, though? He ended up losing to Andrew Cuneo in round one and Aleksa Telarov in round three, managing only a 1-2 record in this draft. Despite Triplicate Spirits being excellent, Cone of Flame is decidedly insane, more powerful in a vacuum, and from the top color in the format.

Of course, results-oriented thinking is not where we want to be. Stark may have had reasons other than what is immediately apparent: knowledge of his neighbors' preferences, a higher win percentage with white decks in testing, or just metagaming against what he felt was the biggest threat. He is a master, after all, so we owe him the benefit of the doubt.

download

Still, it's pretty hard to justify passing a Cone of Flame. What do you think? Did Stark make the right pick here? Or did we see the pro make a mistake on camera? What would you have chosen?

Permanent Expression of Temporary Feelings

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It's been said that a tattoo is a permanent expression of a temporary feeling. However, Magic: the Gathering is no mere flash in the pan. The game has been going for 20 years and looks stronger than ever. I've been playing since 1996, which means I've played Magic longer than I haven't played it. Could it be time for some ink? These people thought so.

We probably have to reserve judgment until after it heals.

I sure hope that's marker.

I think his arm is rejecting the tattoo the same way my eyes are.

Bad.

Ass.

Generic enough you could pretend not to be a nerd later, I guess.

This tattoo is banned in all formats

"Samurai Glimpse the Unthinkable?" You just made that up...

Hey, if that's what you want on your arm all the time.

Uhhhh, no. I just really love the Punisher.

How best to let people know you're a lover, not a fighter?

Bad.

Ass.

Ass.

Bad.

Chas Andres' next tat?

Yeesh.

What the difference a couple hundred bucks can make.

In conclusion, I'm too afraid of having something awful on me forever and I don't trust anyone else to permanently deface me, and I can't draw, so I guess no ink for me. Still, some of these are pretty good. Maybe next year.

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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This Week On Insider: August 3rd – August 10th

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Alexander Carl - Virtually Infinite - Mistakes We Make, Part 2

Novice and expert alike, we are all prone to making mistakes in investing and speculation, which can be quite costly. Alexander Carl ran down some more common errors to avoid, and weighed in with the community to hear their insights.

One subject he covered was that of opportunity cost:

We all have a limited amount of time allotted for Magic, and using that time to execute onerous, low-margin trades is a waste when you could instead be playing matches or brewing decks. Arbitrage (finding a buyer paying more for a card than another seller is selling it for) is a surefire way to make money, but at the cost of your scarce time.

Sometimes we are not losing money, but we are losing money relative to what we could be making if our tix were invested elsewhere. This is a classic definition of opportunity costs.

>Read More...


Sylvain Lehoux - Investing in M15 Rares on MTGO

Sylvain Lehoux shared his strategy for investing in core set rares, backed by solid data from last year's M14. Analyzing what all the gainers in M14 had in common, Sylvain arrived at a strong set of metrics to determine what rares to buy out of any given core set.

Another very interesting fact about these eleven M14 rares is that, according to MTG Goldfish graphs, all of them, with the exception of Tidebinder Mage, never touched the bulk rare value of 0.05 Tix before Theros release, Imposing Sovereign being the cheapest at 0.2 Tix by the end of August. Only Ogre Battledriver didn’t reach 0.05 Tix before October 2013 and finally finished as a bulk rare.

Reapplying the metrics to M14, Sylvain explains the outcome you might expect if you followed his formula:

Applying this strategy retroactively to M14 rares, you would have picked ten winners and only one loser (Ogre Battledriver). You would have also missed Tidebinder Mage. Overall, it would have been largely beneficial.

>Read More...


Ryan Overturf - Updates to Vintage Grixis Keeper

Ryan Overturf has been playing a lot of Vintage. Last week he wrote about one of the key control decks in the format, Grixis Keeper, and his efforts to fine-tune the list. He walks us through his process and explains how new understanding of the format informed each change.

The singleton-esque nature of the deck adds a lot of play to Gifts, but also a lot of complexity. The card is so contextual that it’s hard to craft go-to piles outside of the aforementioned Vault-Key-Snap-Will and this disruption suite:

You can also just value Gifts for Ancestral Recall and… other cards. Probably Snapcaster Mage and Yawgmoth’s Will.

There’s no card that challenges you to know your deck more than Gifts Ungiven, and my greatest recommendation on how to play the card is to practice extensively.

>Read More...


Sigmund Ausfresser - Some Good News, Some Bad News

Sigmund Ausfresser dissected the big announcements from Wizards about all-Standard Pro Tours and the new PTQ system. He offers some anecdotes about how these changes affect people in the MTG community, but also touches on the financial ramifications:

As for impact on card prices, I don’t expect anything positive to come from this. The news will apply more downward pressure on a collection of cards that have already suffered in price. And if we do get more reprints and a Modern Masters II set next year, I can see even greater downward movement in prices. This may be a battle the MTG Finance community cannot win.

In the meantime, I’m going to continue to trim my Modern position. In reality, I have few Modern cards left in my collection as it is, but I certainly won’t be acquiring much more from Modern.

>Read More...


David Schumann - Behavioral Economics, Part 1

David Schumann applied some core principles of behavioral economics to MTG finance, to shed light on the ways our perceptions can obstruct good decision making when left unchecked.

The first person you walk up to and ask for said card will pull them out and then give you your total of $20, but your brain has previously affixed the price of $1 per card. You balk at the new price because so recently it was much cheaper. The $1 price is an anchor your brain has set in place and it will affect your evaluation of a card’s value until your brain accepts the new price and “sets” another anchor. The time it takes to set the new anchor will vary, but this are another example of the brain taking a shortcut when making a decision.

What’s interesting about price anchors is that they can actually cause you to bypass the most efficient “deal” because your brain values the “cost” at a much higher level of importance than other factors.

These psychological impulses can be hard to control, but awareness is the first step.

>Read More...


Danny Brown - Ch-Ch-Ch-Changes in PT Land

Lots of authors weighed in on the changes announced to the PT last week, and that included Danny Brown. He ran through the (enraged) response on Twitter and speculated as to other changes that may be impending.

As for Standard, perhaps this is an indication that there are going to be big shake-ups in the format with each new set released next year. We’re likely looking at a powerful block, which would make sense given Theros block’s relative lack of power. I’d be surprised if we saw another Dragon’s Maze or Born of the Gods next year—the complaints about a stale Standard would be deafening.

It could also indicate that WOTC is intending to be more liberal with bannings in Standard. This is questionable, since historically they’ve hated doing such a thing, but it is a possibility. If this turns out to be the case, we’ll want to diversify our holdings and not go too deep on any one spec. And if we do, we want to sell as soon as profit is realized, just in case.

Of course he didn't fail to recommend a few pickups in all this, to prepare for rotation and the release of the first wedge set, Khans of Tarkir.

>Read More...


Jason Alt - Un-pimp Your Ride

Jason Alt dove headfirst into the bizarre world of Alternate Fourth Edition and Summer Magic, to tell you everything you wanted (and didn't want) to know about these ultra-rare sets. With characteristic humor and irreverence, he explained how to recognize these oddities, and why many people may not even know they have them in their possession...

Someone at Wizards, probably because his first job was at Atari in the 80s, said, “These are the worst. Bury them in the @$&*ing desert.” The rest is history.

Alternate Fourth Edition is worth between two and ten times what regular Fourth Edition is worth, depending on the card. If you see Fourth Edition cards in binders and the front coloration looks odd, flip them over and check the tip of the A. Just say you’re checking condition if you don’t want the person to think they have something that’s rarer than it really is and make them not want to trade it until they know what it’s worth.

>Read More...


Mike Lanigan - PTM15 Standard and Finance

Mike Lanigan surveyed the Pro Tour coverage for interesting and novel deck lists, and turned up quite a few. While not all these decks preformed at the same tier as Mono-Black and U/W Control, they did exhibit the power of several M15 cards, which may greatly impact the metagame after rotation shakes things up.

The strength of this deck is its speed. With a whopping 23 one-drop creatures and onlyRaise the Alarm as the other creature producer, it’s easy to see how fast this deck can be. Most aggressive decks that came before this loved it when they curved a one-drop into two one-drops. With this deck, that is an average draw you should get most of the time.

It might seem obvious, but the metagame can easily adjust to this strategy by playing moreAnger of the Gods and Drown in Sorrow. Obelisk of Urd can prevent your opponent from wiping your board, but if you don’t get it in play on turn three, you might be in a lot of trouble.

Mike also covered a bevy of cards that changed prices because of PT results, and discusses their likely trajectories in the near term.

>Read More...


Corbin Hosler - Pro Tour Magic 2015 Postmortem

Corbin Hosler also plumbed the Pro Tour results for information of financial relevance. He went through each of the major archetypes and began by asking what cards they lose at rotation. From there, he discussed their overall viability post-rotation and highlighted the cards to watch as we move into fall.

Lots of key pieces including Voice of Resurgence and Ajani, Caller of the Pride leave, but there are some powerful ones left moving into next season. Namely, the core of Sunblade Elf, Soldier of the Pantheon, Fleecemane Lion, Boon Satyr and Banishing Light are enough pieces to conceivably rebuild from the ground up.

Of these, it may oddly be an uncommon with the most upside. I always said Banishing Light would be at least $2, and it’s currently sitting a little above that. Realistically the best window was when I talked about grabbing these at the Journey into Nyx prerelease, but honestly trading for them at $1.50-2 doesn’t seem like the worst idea.

They certainly won’t come down until the inevitable reprint, and if that reprint isn’t in Khansthey will have a nice little upside given how desirable they are.


>Read More...


Scott Fielder - First Impressions - Vintage on MTGO and Rotisserie Draft

Scott Fielder shares his experiences playing Vintage in two quite disparate environments, both of which he recently tried for the first time. One was the MTGO Vintage queues, and the other the highly-skilled draft format, Vintage Rotisserie:

Looking back on the draft, if I was in the first seat I would have taken Ancestral Recall. My reasoning is that blue is obviously a very strong color to be in with access to all Vintage-legal cards, and there is a ton of fast mana available beyond the moxen.  Even if most of the fast mana is gone by the time it gets back to you, picking up Time Walk and Snapcaster Mage on the wheel is a great place to be.

I ended up in U/R, taking Ancestral Recall with the second pick in the draft, and in terms of my experience in the second seat, I would venture to say that being on the wheel is a good place to be.  When you are on the wheel you are free to take two-card combos without fear of somebody else taking one of your pieces.

>Read More...


Adam Yurchick - Change Is Coming - What the Impending Fall Standard Rotation Means for You

Adam Yurchick provided a road map for approaching new Fall Standard formats. Understanding the key components from the previous block and core set will give you a serious competitive edge when building in the new environment.

He also applied the information we have about Khans to further hypothesize what will matter:

The move towards multi-color certainly hurts devotion, which is currently the most dominant synergistic strategy in Standard. It’s clear Mono Blue Devotion is going to be pushed from the format unless a new crop of quality devotion-enabling creatures are printed. The power cards of the archetype remain, but there is a distinct lack of quality blue creatures up the curve.

Aggressive red decks seem to have a lot of tools, and, with just a little more help from the next set, it could be a competitive deck. It’s a common theme for proactive and consistent aggressive red decks to be an early frontrunner in a freshly-rotated Standard format, and this year will be no exception.

>Read More...


Insider: MTG Stock Watch Week of 8/10/14

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Welcome back, readers!

As mentioned in my article two weeks ago, I'm going to try and make this style of article a biweekly column. The goal is to make it similar to normal stock/finance watch articles in which I'll highlight the cards in several categories that have seen the most movement.

As I learned from the previous article, it's important to list the cards that had the largest price changes (whether up or down) so I'll make sure to cover both sides from now on. I will also be bumping up the number of cards evaluated in each category to five.

My first article I went a little more in depth on the real world examples of each type of stock. I won't reiterate these ideas each time, so if you want a bit more background information feel free to read my previous article.

Penny Stocks

#1 Goblin Rabblemaster (+308%) - This guy's jump was solely due to a strong performance at PT M2015. This was the card that QS sent out the Insider alert on as it was being played by all members of Team Revolution.

He provides continuous threats and has a lot of synergy with the other cards in the Rabble Red deck highlighted at the PT. It's important to note that he's already dipped a little bit, but the PT was last weekend, so his price has somewhat stabilized at the new value around $3.50 per card (from around $0.80).

The deck proved it had a lot of power behind it. But being a regular rare, it will likely not break $5 again, especially if all the hype from the PT barely got it to breach $5.50 for more than a day. It's not really a splashable card and it only fits well into aggressive red decks (as if there were any other form).

goblin rabblemaster stock

#2 Legion Loyalist (+85%) - This guy follows on the heels of Goblin Rabblemaster. His abilities are relevant in the current format (first strike, trample, and can't be blocked by tokens, i.e. Pack Rats). He pairs really well with Goblin Rabblemaster, as the Rabblester's tokens help turn on his battalion trigger.

He was already seeing play in Boss Sligh (which broke a few weeks ago at the SCG Invitational piloted by Tom Ross). He makes it extremely difficult for decks to trade with attacking creatures when combined with pump spells like Rubblebelt Maaka or Titan's Strength. The first strike from Loyalist can mean that instead of trading two-for-one with the small aggressive deck, the slower deck loses their creature to a lone pump spell, and may still take some damage thanks to trample.

legion loyalist stock

#3 Urza's Tower (Shore) (+39.8%) - The Antiquities version of this Urzatron land has had a nice price bump the past week.

The fact that the oldest printing is still under $4, while being a staple for a specific Modern deck boggles my mind. With the shore artwork going up on this one, I expect Urza's Mine (Tower) and Urza's Power Plant (Bug) from Antiquities (but not Chronicles) to follow suit. If you don't want to pony up $15-$18 for the foil versions from 8th or 9th then these are your pimp versions of choice (or if you happen to prefer the old border style).

 

urza's tower stock

#4 Squelch (+37.2%) - Squelch is one of those older uncommons that a lot of people may not realize exists. It serves as another way in Modern to punish people for running so many fetchlands and isn't as color intensive as Shadow of Doubt (though to be fair it doesn't serve as as much splash hate). This card can also serve as a way to stop Kiki-Jiki or Splinter Twin (for a turn) by countering the tap ability.

Our own Doug Linn called this spec over a year ago as it was seeing play in Mono-Blue Tron. If that deck is picking up, this card is likely being pulled up with its success.

squelch stock

#5 Tainted Isle (Planechase 2012) (+22.7%) - I'll be honest and say I really don't get this one. The most likely explanation is very few of these are available on TCG Player (under 10 total) and when the sample size is this small, someone buying the cheapest copy or two can cause the average to move up a bit. 22.7% looks like a lot, until you realize that after that jump the card is still only $2.

tainted isle stock

Blue Chip Stocks

#1 Wasteland (+5.54%) - In the past few weeks we've seen a lot more UWR Delver variants doing well at the SCG Opens which appears to have caused an upsurge in Wasteland (to counteract the previous downsurge we saw two weeks ago).

wasteland stock recent

#2 Tundra (+4.21%) - I believe this one goes hand in hand with Wasteland's resurgence. This is the first land usually fetched in the UWR Delver decks as blue and white are the main colors and red is more of a support color.

tundra stock recent

#3 Scrubland (+2.96%) - Esper Deathblade has enjoyed a small resurgence lately (from being out of the limelight entirely just a couple short months ago). But it seems more likely that this color combination, which is very popular with casuals, has simply started to move up slowly as one of the premier non-blue duals (behind Bayou).

scrubland stock recent

#4 Savannah (-2.11%)- The lack of any Zoo or Maverick decks in any recent Top 8's seems to be pushing this dual down in value a bit.

However, even the 2% drop is only a loss of less than $2 and when the percentages are this low there's a possibility that people just recently listed a few lower cost options on TCG Player. Looking at TCG there are a lot of HP ones available which might be forcing the owners of LP who want to sell quickly to put a lower price tag on them to encourage buyers.

savannah stock recent

#5 Show and Tell (+2.08%) - Show and Tell decks, while not nearly as dominant as they were a year ago, have been finding homes in SCG Top 8's. There has also been a resurgence in Omnitell decks (which also require a playset of Show and Tell) doing well in opens.

show and tell recent stock

Value Stocks

Our value stock selections from the previous article were Mana Confluence, Temple of Epiphany and Temple of Malice. As you can see by the below graphs two of my three picks have started trending upward, whereas Temple of Malice has continued it's downward trajectory.

The biggest problem with Temple of Malice (and something we might need to consider moving forward) is that black-red  is often an aggro color combination, which synergizes poorly with lands that come into play tapped. It is important to note that a lot of the Jund (Monsters and/or Planeswalkers) lists run a full compliment of Temple of Malice, so it likely won't keep going down.

Upon reviewing the numbers last time, I don't really feel it's wise to post the +/- percentages on these unless there is a significant jump. A change of less than 0.1% could be attributed to a few of the cheaper copies being bought up or a few being added to the market.

In the spirit of bumping from three to five choices, my next two value stock picks are Temple of Deceit and Temple of Enlightenment. The reason behind these picks are simply they are some of the strongest color combinations in Magic's history and currently the concern of Esper Control losing a lot of its components come rotation has people more willing to part with them, but it's important to keep in mind that both Elspeth and Hero's Downfall will still be legal post-rotation and pairing either with blue can lead to a powerful control deck.

recent mana confluence stock

temple of epiphany recent stock

Temple of Malice recent stock

temple of deceit stock recent

temple of enlightenment stock recent

Growth Stocks

Our growth stocks are showing a strong uptick in Worldwake and Zendikar (though again given the small sample size it's hard to argue that one or two higher-than-average sales can affect the average comparison greatly.)

The average comparison was calculated by taking (New Average + Old Average) / 2. I took this approach because it's the average of a larger sample size and we want the sample size to grow--the larger the sample size, the closer to the "market price" we'll get. We will always keep the previous two week's data next to the newest data so we can get a direct comparison to look for trends.

Week of 8/11/14 Box Most Recent Completed Auction Second Most Recent Third Most Recent Fourth Most Recent New Average Average comparison
Innistrad $200.00 $201.50 $213.95 $214.99 $205.31 1.12%
Dark Ascension $119.49 $98.99 $96.00 $109.00 $107.62 -1.63%
Avacyn Restored $135.98 $134.99 $135.98 $116.39 $130.17 0.51%
Scars of Mirrodin $170.00 $140.51 $167.50 $159.00 $156.63 1.67%
Mirrodin Besieged $169.99 $159.95 $138.50 $155.00 $152.61 2.13%
New Phyrexia $364.95 $316.00 $290.56 $315.00 $314.13 2.39%
Zendikar $527.00 $499.99 $559.99 $485.00 $497.00 4.23%
Worldwake $799.99 $740.00 $749.99 $645.04 $700.74 4.71%
Rise of the Eldrazi $500.01 $549.00 $549.00 $540.00 $536.99 -0.46%
Week of 7/28/14 Box Most Recent Completed Auction Second Most Recent Third Most Recent Fourth Most Recent Average
Innistrad $209.00 $199.00 $195.00 $209.00 $203.00
Dark Ascension $109.00 $90.00 $126.50 $112.00 $109.38
Avacyn Restored $122.50 $117.50 $139.50 $138.50 $129.50
Scars of Mirrodin $167.50 $141.01 $142.53 $165.00 $154.01
Mirrodin Besieged $155.00 $132.50 $150.00 $159.95 $149.36
New Phyrexia $290.50 $315.00 $301.00 $319.99 $306.62
Zendikar $499.99 $568.99 $355.00 $480.00 $476.00
Worldwake $645.04 $650.00 $675.88 $700.00 $667.73
Rise of the Eldrazi $579.95 $493.03 $510.00 $574.95 $539.48

What To Do With a Shady Store

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This recently came across the interwebs, and I think it's worth sharing. A Reddit user expressed concerns that his LGS was pocketing the promo cards that Wizards sends out and was reselling them for a profit rather than passing them out to the players as WOTC intends, and it seems he's not alone.

The simple question is, what can you do?

Simple answer: Report this activity to Wizards. It's something they take extremely seriously, and you should alert the customer service department. A stern warning from WOTC typically would shut this down, but they will take further action if needed.

I've seen local stores do this before. I went to a midnight Game Day at one of them, took a friend's homebrew deck and battled until 4 a.m. to make Top 8. I finished fifth, and then I find out they're only awarding half the Top 8 promos "because only four came in." That is, of course, a complete lie because they literally only come in packets of 8, and I found out later the same thing was happening with buy-a-box promos.

I guess I didn't need one anyway...
I guess I didn't need one anyway...

This is incredibly shady behavior, but you are not powerless. Simply bringing it up to the store is a start, and refusing them further business and encouraging others to do the same is understandable, but you also have Wizards on your side. Remember that.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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