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Soon-to-be-Reprinted: Examining Garruk vs. Liliana

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Over the past couple weeks, we've gone over the important reprints in Elves vs. Goblins, Jace vs. Chandra, and Divine vs. Demonic. One last set is part of the Duel Decks: Anthology collection, and that's Duel Decks: Garruk vs. Liliana. Is there anything good in this one?

garrukvsliliana_productshot

 

One last time, I will give the disclaimer that all prices cited are TCGplayer mid and just there as a frame of reference—expect prices to drop once these decks are reprinted.

Planeswalkers

You may have surmised from the deck title and picture above that Garruk Wildspeaker and Liliana Vess are included in this set, and you'd be right. Coming in at just under $16, the foil Liliana with Terese Nielsen art is one of the priciest versions of the card. Garruk's price of around $8 matches up more with the non-foil printings, which is probably due to the art being less cool, despite being also being by Nielsen.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Garruk Wildspeaker

Unfortunately, those are the only cards of decent value in this set. Everything else comes in at a couple bucks or less.

A Couple $2 Rares

This set's Mutilate has unique art, so it's the priciest version of the card at $1.98. Similarly, Bad Moon is the only printing with the 8C frame (Eighth to Conspiracy), which may make it desirable for some collectors. Still, neither of these rares even breaks $2, so we're not looking at anything exciting here.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Bad Moon

Some Commons and Uncommons of Note

A few commons and uncommons come in at over a dollar. These are worth noting for those times that you buy a collection and are trying to pick the worthwhile Duel Decks cards.

Two copies each of both Rancor and Harmonize is pretty nice. Two copies of Nature's Lore, the only 8C-border printing, also adds some minor value. Treetop Village has always been played, and Invigorate is good enough to be banned in Pauper (but not really see play anywhere else). Finally, Snuff Out has unique art and its only 8C-border printing, which makes it more than six times as pricey as its Mercadian Masques counterpart.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Snuff Out

Bulk Rares Close It Out

Unfortunately, the rest of the rares in the set are under a dollar. For reference, they are Ravenous Baloth, Plated Slagwurm, Rude Awakening, and Skeletal Vampire.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Ravenous Baloth

So is Duel Decks: Anthology Worth It?

From a financier's perspective, I'm not really interested in buying this $100 set for MSRP. Most of these cards will drop in price due to this reprint, and even if none did, I'm not sure that piecing out each deck would be all that profitable or worthy of one's time.

From a player's perspective, there's not a lot of tournament staples here. There are some great Cube/Commander cards, and eight foils for folks who love their shinies, but nothing that is ridiculously hard to obtain, short of maybe Demonic Tutor in Divine vs. Demonic. 

For a casual player, I think this is a great purchase. Eight preconstructed decks to mix and match among friends, with some powerful cards for future deck building, is a very cool thing. It seems like Wizards is aiming hard at the kitchen-table player with this product, but at a $100 MSRP, that may backfire.

Regardless, seeing a reprint of a set like this should put us all on notice. Nothing not on the Reserved List is safe from reprint. That includes individual cards, but as we're seeing here, it includes sets too. I doubt we'll be seeing a normal expansion reprinted any time soon, but supplementary sets like From the Vault, Commander's Arsenal, and Planechase seem to be fair game. Keep that in mind if you're investing in sealed product or cards printed in supplementary expansions.

Insider: Burning Man – The Rise of Burn in Modern and Legacy

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Over the past few months, Burn has seen a dramatic increase in win rate in Legacy and Modern. The metagames have reacted accordingly; players are adopting the archetype and increasing Burn's share of the metagame each week. I attribute this success to the printing of Eidolon of the Great Revel.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Eidolon of the Great Revel

A Burning Hot Summer

Two Burn decks made the Top 8 of Modern Grand Prix Kobe last weekend, while four more copies of the archetype finished within the Top 32. Burn was a big player in the tail end of the Modern PTQ season, and here in the Midwest it won no less than two PTQs in the final two consecutive PTQ weekends.

Here's the decklist that took first place in Kobe:

Modern Boros Burn by Teruya Kakumae

Creatures

4 Vexing Devil
4 Goblin Guide
4 Eidolon of the Great Revel
3 Grim Lavamancer

Burn Spells

4 Rift Bolt
4 Lava Spike
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Skullcrack
3 Boros Charm
3 Searing Blood
3 Shard Volley

Lands

8 Mountain
4 Sacred Foundry
4 Arid Mesa
4 Battlefield Forge

SIDEBOARD

4 Molten Rain
4 Stony Silence
1 Shatterstorm
2 Wear // Tear
4 Leyline of Sanctity

On mtgtop8, Burn has rose to 9% of the Modern metagame and has nearly reached the same level of success as Affinity. On Magic Online, Burn now captures more than 6% of the Modern metagame and has surpassed Splinter Twin decks in popularity.

In Legacy, Burn made the Top 8 of the last SCG Open, in Syracuse, it reached Top 8 of the SCG Open in Dallas two weeks before that, and it made Top 8 in Worcester three weeks before that. Looked at together, that's a very solid performance for a little-played archetype in a very diverse format. Players including Gerry Thompson have praised the deck in articles. It's clear that Burn is a legitimate archetype in Legacy.

Here's the Top 8 list from Syracuse:

Legacy Burn by Alex Johnson

Land

20 Mountain

Creatures

4 Goblin Guide
4 Eidolon of the Great Revel

Burn Spells

4 Rift Bolt
4 Fireblast
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Price of Progress
4 Lava Spike
4 Chain Lightning
3 Flame Rift
3 Searing Blaze
2 Sulfuric Vortex

Sideboard

1 Sulfuric Vortex
2 Ensnaring Bridge
2 Relic of Progenitus
2 Vexing Shusher
2 Mindbreak Trap
2 Pyroblast
2 Red Elemental Blast
2 Smash to Smithereens

Some food for thought:

Goblin Guide is a key card in the burn archetype. Since Journey Into Nyx was released in May, Goblin Guide has increased approximately 50% in price on Magic Online, from around 6 tickets to the current price over 9 tickets.

In paper, the price trajectory of Goblin Guide has reached a similar conclusion. From the end of winter towards the beginning of PTQ season, Goblin Guide saw a slight price decrease in line with other Modern staples, from around $13 down to $11.

PTQs began in June, and by the middle of July Goblin Guide had regained its March peak. By the middle of August, Goblin Guide saw a new high over $15. Now, with the results of GP Kobe and PTQs, Goblin Guide has seen a spike of over 50%, with prices currently sitting over $23.

The Philosophy of Fire

Burn operates differently than most decks. Its core principle is "The Philosophy of Fire." Here's Zvi's contemporary take on it. (Here's a concise 2014 update from Flores.) So it goes that Burn is not concerned about what the opponent is doing, nor is it concerned about card advantage in the traditional sense. It simply wants to deal 20 damage to the opponent, and each card it plays is worth some fraction of that number.

Cards like Goblin Guide are so potent because they are capable of dealing more than their fair share of damage. In that sense, every time Goblin Guide is connecting with the opponent, the Red deck is effectively drawing a card. Grim Lavamancer is strong for the same reason.

The true strength of Burn decks in every format they thrive in is that their cards are difficult to interact with. First and foremost, Burn spells can't be stopped by creature removal, the most commonly played form of interaction. From a practical standpoint, Burn spells are also relatively strong against commonly played counterspells. For example, the most popular counterspell in Modern, Remand, just buys time, and in Legacy, Force of Will offers a poor rate and will often still cost life. Similarly, burn spells are relatively strong against Thoughtseize.

The reason Burn decks are not often seen playing creatures is that they offer the opponent an escape route and a way to make their cards relevant. That's why Burn plays things like Goblin Guide, which hits immediately, or Keldon Marauders, which generates some value in the face of removal, or Hellspark Elemental with haste and unearth.

Eidolon of the Great Revel changes the rules on creatures. In the purest sense, Eidolon of the Great Revel generates card advantage for the Burn deck. Opponents will be forced to spend removal on any early game Eidolon of the Great Revel, which costs them two life points and effectively draws the burn deck a card. If an opponent does not have removal for Eidolon of the Great Revel, they will be unable to use their cards effectively, as taking any amount of extra damage against a Burn deck is a recipe for failure.

Eidolon of the Great Revel is also a legitimate attacking threat that must be answered with removal or a blocker, otherwise it will connect and deal damage, effectively drawing cards. Eidolon of the Great Revel provides the Burn deck a much-desirable source of proactive board presence that doesn't compromise the deck's integrity and natural strengths. It's the total package for the Burn deck.

Blazing the Trail Ahead

While Burn is susceptible to metagaming like any other archetype, it's not so vulnerable to hate as one might think. Burn is increasingly splashing colors, typically white, black, or both, to provide access to tools, especially from the sideboard.

For example, the commonly played Wear // Tear gives the red deck an out to hate cards like Leyline of Sanctity and the classic anti-red hate card Circle of Protection: Red, which is actually Modern legal. If lifegain becomes a huge issue, cards like Rain of Gore are easily splashable.

In Legacy, Hydroblast is strong but underplayed, and Chill merely slows the deck down. Red Elemental Blast is a great option from the Burn sideboard that hates on opponents and their own hate cards.

Eidolon of the Great Revel itself even helps against sideboard hate. It operates on a different axis than the rest of the Burn deck, and it demands attention from cards that don't necessarily deal with burn. Using Standard as an example, something like Dispel is strong against Burn but quite weak against the creature draws. Eidolon of the Great Revel simply demands creature removal, so it forces players to leave in creature removal that overall is quite weak against the Burn strategy. This dilutes their deck and sideboarding potential.

The printing of Eidolon of the Great Revel has dramatically increased the win rate and popularity of burn decks in Modern and Legacy. The deck is here to stay and should remain a fixture of both metagames. Share your experiences in the comments!

Why the New Block Structure Could Mean Increased Prices

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If you haven't seen the announcement, you're living under a rock. Climb out on, shield your eyes against the sunlight, and read this article here.

Now come back. I'm making a bold claim.

The new Block structure will increase card prices.

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Prices like this could become more common in the future.

It's certainly a possibility at least, thanks to the magic of the "Third-Set effect." You can read the full article here.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Posted in Feature, Finance, Free2 Comments on Why the New Block Structure Could Mean Increased Prices

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Khans of Tarkir Spoilers – Soundclaw Mystic

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Soundclaw Mystic

Awwww yiss. While this card doesn't need Morph, like, at all, it is the mana fixing creature I'd hoped for. The real question is whether this will be a Noble Hierarch or a Druid of the Anima.

With the morph ability seemingly tacked on hastily, the real question is whether there will be a card, possibly in Temur, possibly just somewhere in the set that reduces Morph costs, either to play them facedown or to flip them. If you could play this guy for 1 mana facedown then flip him to net two mana, that could be very cool. He flips up for 2 and gives you 3 plus he can tap when he flips up if he was in play facedown at the start of the turn, so there are potential shenanigans here. Still, he's mostly likely just a solid mana fixer. He has fewer toughness and much less hexproof than Sylvan Caryatid which means he is likely extra copies of Caryatid if needed until roptation unless there is some significance to his morph ability. Turning colorless mana into colored mana in a configuration you can't designate one time isn't stellar, but it may be the ability we'll need.

In a vacuum, this card is tad underwhelming so far, so we'll have to see what the rest of the set gives us.

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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LSV guests on Spellslingers

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I'm not a huge YouTube watcher, but this is definitely one of the cooler Magic-related series out there. Spellslingers, as it's called, has generated a huge following and been a big hit so far.

And this week it got a little more awesome.

Unknown

Hall of Famer and all-around good guy Luis Scott-Vargas was on the show this week, and it's well-worth checking out. You can find the video here.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Posted in Feature, Free1 Comment on LSV guests on Spellslingers

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Insider: Exploring Modern

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Recently one of the local guys I’ve known for a while top-eighted Modern States with quite an interesting deck. This deck takes Storm in a completely different direction than you’re used to seeing. Instead of focusing on being a pure combo deck and finishing off your opponent with Grapeshot and Pyromancer Ascension triggers, your goal is to attack your opponent with efficient red creatures and a giant Storm Entity.

Storm Aggro is one of the most interesting decks to come out recently, so you may have heard about it--but if not, prepare yourself for some amazing synergies using the lowest land count I’ve seen in quite some time.

Storm Aggro by Mike Tedeschi

Creatures

4 Burning-Tree Emissary
4 Goblin Bushwhacker
4 Goblin Guide
3 Heartlash Cinder
1 Lightning Mauler
2 Priest of Urabrask
4 Simian Spirit Guide
3 Storm Entity
4 Street Wraith

Spells

3 Desperate Ritual
4 Gitaxian Probe
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Manamorphose
2 Pyretic Ritual

Lands

4 Arid Mesa
6 Mountain
4 Scalding Tarn

Sideboard

3 Dangerous Wager
2 Forked Bolt
1 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Legion Loyalist
2 Pillar of Flame
1 Pyretic Ritual
2 Shattering Spree
2 Sulfur Elemental
1 Torpor Orb

Just like any other aggressive red deck you have the best red creature ever printed in Goblin Guide and to back him up Burning-Tree Emissary is joining the party. Burning-Tree seems like the perfect fit for Modern. If another aggro deck is going to exist in Modern outside of what’s already known, I think multiple free 2/2’s is the way to go.

This deck can be very explosive. There are times that between Manamorphose and Gitaxian Probe you can generate a storm count of four or five pretty easily. Even when you don’t play quite so many spells, Storm Entity with a couple counters is still a good aggressive creature.

This aggro deck is very focused on the attack phase so playing against the best deck in the format, Melira Pod, is quite a headache. They have creatures like Voice of Resurgence and Kitchen Finks, not to mention that you can do little to stop them from comboing.

Decks like Junk and UWR Control can be quite difficult as well because even though you are fast, they have a lot of removal and ways to brickwall your creature swarm. With that being said, this deck is a blast to play and you force your opponent to have answers quickly or try to deal with your potent attacks in game two.

As with any combo deck, and this is an aggro combo deck, sometimes you have combo pieces in hand and nothing to do with them. The rituals in this deck can become stranded with nothing to use them on. This type of virtual card disadvantage can lose you games. They may be essential for this strategy to function, but I think the deck would do fine on its own without these cards.

Funny story, I’ve been working on my own Burning-Tree Emissary deck for a while now and it looks similar but different to this list.

All In Red by Mike Lanigan

Creatures

4 Goblin Guide
3 Kird Ape
3 Llanowar Elves
3 Birds of Paradise
4 Signal Pest
4 Burning-Tree Emissary
4 Priest of Urabrask
3 Lightning Mauler
4 Goblin Bushwhacker
4 Myr Superion
4 Simian Spirit Guide
2 Hellrider

Spells

3 Lead the Stampede

Lands

4 Scalding Tarn
2 Arid Mesa
3 Stomping Ground
4 Copperline Gorge
2 Mountain

Sideboard

4 Lightning Bolt
2 Combust
3 Blood Moon
1 Shattering Spree
2 Ancient Grudge
3 Back to Nature

This version focuses more on swarming the opponent than creating one big threat, but both of these decks are trying to do the same thing. Your mission: play creatures as quickly as possible and attack your opponent. Not many players have seen Myr Superion in play in a competitive format, especially on turn one. Storm Entity and Manamorphose may deserve a spot in this deck but there may not be enough support for either.

My favorite card in the deck is Lead the Stampede. With so few lands and so many creatures, this card represents drawing a high number of cards for a cheap amount of mana. There have been many times when I’ve cast this draw spell, which is the same as Garruk, Caller of Beasts +1 ability, and drawn five cards. Statistically it’s possible to draw any number from this spell but your average is quite high.

Just like the Storm Aggro version, this deck also suffers from a tough Melira Pod matchup. Having the best deck as a bad matchup is not a place you typically want to start from, but your matchups against everything else are so good that it may be worth the risk.

Both of these decks are extremely fun to play. If you are in need of a change in Modern, the deck is fairly inexpensive overall, especially if built without the fetches. Get ready and go all in.

If you couldn’t tell, I’ve been brewing a lot in Modern lately. Standard hasn’t given me much to work with, but hopefully the new changes and the two-set blocks will shake things up more frequently. Until then, Modern has a huge card pool to work with and I’ve got a lot of ideas.

Rat Rock by Mike Lanigan

Creatures

4 Dark Confidant
4 Tarmogoyf
4 Pack Rat
3 Scavenging Ooze
3 Courser of Kruphix
2 Phyrexian Obliterator

Spells

3 Thoughtseize
3 Inquisition of Kozilek
3 Abrupt Decay
1 Bile Blight
1 Dismember
1 Slaughter Pact
2 Maelstrom Pulse
3 Liliana of the Veil

Lands

4 Verdant Catacombs
1 Overgrown Tomb
4 Temple of Malady
2 Twilight Mire
2 Treetop Village
1 Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
3 Mutavault
5 Swamp
1 Forest

Sideboard

3 Obstinate Baloth
1 Thrun, the Last Troll
2 Lifebane Zombie
2 Grafdigger's Cage
1 Bile Blight
1 Golgari Charm
1 Duress
1 Thoughtseize
3 Creeping Corrosion

For the most part, this deck should seem straightforward and unimpressive. What you need to focus on is Pack Rat. Last week I talked about his financial possibilities and this deck I whipped up is one of the main reasons.

There are so many options in Modern that many players lean towards these grindy midrange strategies that can disrupt any deck they are playing against and then use their Tarmogoyfs to clean up the mess. When we got Scavenging Ooze, that helped give us another win condition in this type of strategy, but I always felt like many games were hard to win because if they dealt with your first threat, it might be multiple turns or more until you could find another one to close the game with. Enter Pack Rat.

Pack Rat has dominated and warped Standard and we all know it. It never got to the point where it was banned, but there were times when I wondered if it should be. While not quite as broken nor as easy to cast, Umezawa's Jitte reminds me a lot of Pack Rat in the way they both built a metagame around themselves. In both situations your only option is play the card or play a card that beats the card.

Now that we have access to more cards in Standard, there are strategies that can fight Pack Rat by being faster than it, but when it first started seeing play that was not the case. Comparing Pack Rat to one of the most broken cards of all time should tell you how well I think it will play in older formats.

Some decks have no outs to your Pack Rat and the games play out similarly to the ones we used to play in Standard that were easy wins. Respect Pack Rat in Modern. I made a small concession to this line of thought by including Bile Blight, which I think is well positioned right now.

Other than the Standard powerhouse, not much is different about this list other than the addition of Mutavault. Not only does this man land help your win condition as it does in Standard, but it also does great things like blocking Etched Champion.

This list is easily customizable for your metagame but the one I’ve put together here seems great against what you’re likely to face currently. I’m gonna start playtesting with this deck and I expect great results. If you’re interested in putting Pack Rat through the Modern ringer alongside me, please post your results in the comments.

A Glance at Finance

Modern Burn has really picked up lately due to the addition of Eidolon of the Great Revel. Seeing play in all three formats, the red Eidolon seems like one of the best cards you can be trading for right now. Try to find them for under $6, but even that price seems likely to increase. When a card sees play in all three formats, its price should increase and we haven’t really seen that yet. What we have seen is some of the other cards in the Modern deck bumping up in price.

[cardimage cardname='Flames of the Blood Hand'][cardimage cardname='Goblin Guide']

Both Flames of the Blood Hand and Goblin Guide have seen big gains in value lately and neither is really a surprise. I stated earlier that Goblin Guide is the best red creature ever printed and even if you don’t agree, it not going away any time soon.

Starting out with this creature is the ideal opening for any red deck no matter the format and going to battle without them in your deck is likely to lead to failure. Goblin Guide in multiples is how red decks steal games they have no business winning and race strategies they shouldn’t be able to race.

The GP promo held down the price of this card but that was only a temporary setback. Now, the promo is an average of ten dollars more than the regular one, which is about the same price as the set foil. This guide will be leading red mages to battle for years to come; I’d be getting your copies now before they go up even more, but hopefully you saw this one coming.

In other random financial news, sometimes the most innocent looking cards bump up overnight. Neither of these next two cards see lots of play, but their new price tag seems to indicate otherwise.

[cardimage cardname='Maralen of the Mornsong'][cardimage cardname='Umbral Mantle']

While there are some copies to be had more cheaply, most of the copies of Maralen of the Mornsong are around $4-5 and foils are over $30. In the last couple of months I’ve seen her in some bulk boxes. She is worth looking around for because from what I’ve seen, not many players are interested in holding onto their copies.

Umbral Mantle does a lot of sweet things in Commander and is part of an extremely rogue combo deck in Modern, but TCG Mid of $6 is still a lot. The foils have not adjusted in price to this new shift and there is no certainty that this card will gain or maintain its value. If you have copies laying around, I’d suggest unloading them right away. The buy prices have not adjusted yet so if you want to move this card, list them online for sale somewhere.

Well, that’s all for me this week. We are heading into spoiler season, and I’m extremely excited to share that time with you guys.

Until Next Time,

Unleash the Modern Force!

Mike Lanigan
MtgJedi on Twitter
Jedicouncilman23@gmail.com

Insider: Khans Rotation Pickups (Part 2)

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Last week we delved into the first half of my rotation pickups, where I focused on the rotating cards from Return to Ravnica block to pick up as they leave Standard. I’m pretty happy with that article and the targets identified. That said, I know it’s always the “less fun” half of the conversation, since the gains take longer to materialize.

So today let’s get into the meat of it: things from Theros block to pick up with a chance of growth in the next few months. I’m just going to dive right in, and while I’ll note a few cards I want to talk about, this is mostly only about those targets with high upside.

Theros

Xenagos, the Reveler

I wrote about this one a few weeks back when it was $6-7, and since then it’s gone nuts, up to $17.

There’s no reason to buy in at this point. If anything, I would consider selling, though it could possibly reach $20-25 for a few weeks immediately following rotation.

Ashiok, Nightmare Weaver

Starting to see movement, and currently at $8. Worth buying in? Certainly not in cash, but I think the price is fine for trades to have a playset or two. In a slow format with a bunch of taplands Ashiok can be a monster, and we could see movement up to $15.

That said, while I don’t hate having a few I’m not sure this is the best spec. She didn’t see a ton of Block or even Standard play in the last six months.

Nylea, God of the Hunt

Of all the gods, I think this could be the best target. Mono-Blue will not be as strong after rotation, so Thassa at $8 isn’t super-exciting, nor is Master of Waves.

Mono-Green, though, certainly has some tools. Making full use of Nissa, Worldwaker is one part of it, but the mono-green stompy decks have also floated around. I don’t really see this going below $5 in the next nine months.

Sylvan Caryatid

As we’ve noted before, the time to get in on this was several months ago when it was $5. At $8 now the upside feels pretty low. Sure, it’s super powerful and will be all over the place, but everyone already knows that. It’s a rare from a first set with a promo printing. It’s going to go past $10, but it would really have to go crazy to make buying in now worth it.

Temples

All of them feel fine to me. I feel like the ceiling on Theros ones is likely around $5-6, but the others could easily reach $10.

Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx

It’s at an all-time low of around $4. It’s hard to imagine mono-color being insane post-rotation given the wedges we’re getting, but this is a unique land with a powerful effect, and it can’t go much lower than $4.

Prophet of Kruphix

I like that the new printing pushed the price of this down. We all know how insane it is in Commander, but honestly I wouldn’t be surprised to see it make a push in Constructed. On the one hand it competes with Prognostic Sphinx at the five-drop slot, but on the other hand you can just play Prophet and then flash in your Sphinx, so there’s that.

This thing is available for a buck. No way it isn’t correct to have plenty on hand.

Soldier of the Pantheon

This won’t be under $2 for long. It’s a card that could conceivably be extremely powerful in a multicolor world, and $5-6 is attainable.

Anger of the Gods

Available around a dollar. If we get no four-mana wrath in Khans (as it looks like we won’t), then this is probably the best sweeper control decks will have. Given its already ubiquitous use in Modern, getting in at these for a buck seems solid if unexciting.

Ashen Rider

I would love this card at a dollar even if there weren’t some reanimation decks floating around in Block. It’s a really easy call here to hoard this mythi, because even if it doesn’t break through in the short term, it will be a solid performer over a longer time period.

Penny Stocks

  • Nighthowler
  • Fabled Hero
  • Firedrinker Satyr
  • Prognostic Sphinx
  • Agent of the Fates

These are exactly what they sound like. All of these have seen some play in either Standard or Block, and are readily available under a buck. If you have any faith in a particular one (Sphinx comes to mind), the payoff could be huge. I think Agent of the Fates, which is surprisingly really important in the mono-black aggressive decks, could be the biggest surprise.

Born of the Gods

Gods

I’ll go ahead and touch on the 10 from the latter two sets here. They all seem to be bottoming out, and I expect rises from here. Keranos, God of Storms, in particular, has a lot of upside at $7, given its applications outside of Standard.

Courser of Kruphix

This card still dominates the Block format, and in a world where people don’t have wrath, it survives Anger.

I know it’s a steep buy-in at $10 after the reprint dropped the price, but I honestly wouldn’t be surprised to see it pass $15 again. This was all over the place at the Pro Tour. Do I think you buy in at $10? Again, not for cash. But I think you trade for some and hold any you have.

Phenax, God of Deception

Not a competitive card, but it has bottomed out around $3, and I doubt it will be cheaper. Not only is this a legitimately scary Commander card, it’s got all the casual appeal possible.

Herald of Torment

People will play mono-black aggro, I promise. It’s going to be one of the cheaper decks given the lack of fancy lands, it’s easier to get into and it’s actually powerful. In a field of taplands and Mana Confluence, the deck will be real.

Herald at a dollar seems criminally underpriced. See also: Pain Seer.

Eidolon of Countless Battles

This is holding at $1.50 for a reason. It’s extremely powerful but also a card with some non-Standard appeal. Mono-White Heroic was played a bit at the Pro Tour, and this has some pretty high upside at dollar-rare status in trades.

Penny Stocks

  • Hero of Iroas
  • Gild
  • Chromanticore

Journey into Nyx

Mana Confluence

Off its lows and back up to $12. I think $20 isn’t completely unreasonable. That said, $12 is a steep buy-in, so trading/holding seems like the play. People are going to need to fix their mana in the new three-color format.

Banishing Light

Very glad I called this at the dollar pre-sale price, and it continues to climb. It’s a shoo-in to be reprinted somewhere along the line, but until that happens it’ll continue to climb, especially since Detention Sphere rotates out and leaves Light as the only O-Ring effect in the format.

Ceiling? Probably $5, similar to Inquisition of Kozilek when it was in Standard.

Silence the Believers

Still love this thing. If new Standard looks anything like the Block format, you’re going to see a lot of this. How high can it go? As a card that’s usually a two- or maybe three-of, I don’t think it can go much higher than $5. But even a triple-up from $1 to $3 sounds reasonable and profitable.

Dictate of Erebos

There’s not a better long-term spec in the block than this thing, which is available at 50 cents. The blue and green Dictates are also good, but this is by far the best of the bunch.

Foils are maybe the better play, but at $8 and eight times above the regular copy, I think both are good but maybe the non-foil copy is a better bet for those of you just trading into these for the long-term hoard.

Penny Stocks

  • Setessan Tactics
  • Nyx-Fleece Ram
  • Worst Fears
  • Doomwake Giant

Time for Khans of Tarkir

Previews start next week, and I’m excited for the set. I’ve also been fortunate enough to be asked to work text coverage at Pro Tour Khans of Tarkir in Honolulu, so if any of you are attending I’ll see you there!

As for Theros, I certainly listed a lot of the cards that I think can rise substantially. While I think acquiring an index of these is a good idea, remember this is just my impression, and you may have your own thoughts as to what the best specs are.

I think it’s better to aggressively acquire a few you feel strongly about, and passively trade for the rest. It’s better to hit 50 copies of one penny stock than spread yourself too thin and only have a playset when the spike happens. Different approaches work for different people, so find what works best for you, and enjoy the ride!

 

Thanks for reading,

Corbin Hosler

@Chosler88 on Twitter

More Troll Decks, Please!

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Have you watched Jacob Wilson's "Troll" deck videos? He's done two of them so far, and they're awesome. If you haven't watched, I recommend you do so before reading on. My discussion will be spoiler-heavy and synopsis-light.

I love this series, for so many reasons:

It's Entertaining

Just these two installments have inspired more laughs from me than pretty much all other Magic strategy content combined. Wilson and Alexander Hayne are obviously good friends, and it's cool to get to be privy to some sillier moments from seasoned pros—a pro tour champion and a pro tour finalist, as Hayne playfully needles Wilson in one video.

I cheered out loud when they pulled off a Tibalt, the Fiend-Blooded -4 into a lethal Hidetsugu's Second Rite. I roared with laughter every time Hayne referred to bouncing Oboro, Palace in the Sky and replaying it as "a very powerful play." And I loved seeing these guys win matches with cards I've never heard of or seen in play.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Tibalt, the Fiend-Blooded

It's Educational

Even though Hayne and Wilson are being goofy, we still get to glean insight from their collective play skill and knowledge. Yes, they play a little sloppily at points in these videos. Mistakes happen, but they're also how we learn. One of the big reasons to watch video content is that we can learn from the errors of others rather than making them ourselves.

The other huge benefit of watching content from pros is seeing their thought processes at different points in their games. The conversations between Wilson and Hayne show that they're both sharp players who think ahead and can quickly weigh risks versus rewards. If by watching we can pick up even just a hint of that mindset, we'll come away as better players. It's just a matter of being savvy enough to know when they're having fun and when they're playing to win.

It's Good for Spikes

Sometimes Spikey players need to be reminded that this game is fun. But more important for Spike is this: how do fringe cards become staples? They're tested. Even though many of the sideboard cards in these decks are obviously not up to par, some of them proved to be reasonably powerful in these matchups. The only way to discover sweet tech is to try it out, and to that end, these guys are performing a public service for the tournament-going crowd.

It's Good for Johnnys

Comboing Boil with a bunch of Spreading Seas effects is a Johnny's dream, and here we get to see established decks with a twist. Maybe a pure Johnny would more appreciate a brew from the ground up, but we've got Travis Woo for that. Taking established decks in bold new directions fills a niche in MTG content, which is always nice for the casual viewer.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Boil

It's Good for Timmys

Wilson and Hayne haven't yet cheated in huge creatures during this series, but Boiling away someone's mana base or finishing the game with Hidetsugu's Second Rite definitely fills some of the desire to experience awesome plays, as defines the Timmy psychographic. We can only hope that some ridiculously wonky creatures will start making appearances in future installments.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Hidetsugu's Second Rite

Overall, what Wilson and Hayne are doing here is great for Magic. By combining content that both entertains and educates, appealing to every psychographic in the process, they're providing something different on the MTG content scene. I, for one, hope to see more content like this. What do you think?

Art of Tarkir

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We haven't had any cards from Khans spoiled recently, but we have had some art spoiled. Some of these images look pretty slick, and won't look nearly as good when shrunk down on a card.

Here's a Mardu card. Mardu is all about speed and this looks like no exception. Is this a creature? And aura that grants haste? Hard to say, but this does have a distinct "Mongolian plains" feel to it, and I imagine most of the Mardu are going to have that sort of "rampaging Mongol horde" feel to them.

This card with the Temur symbol has a distinctly Himalayan feel to it. The fact that this guy is as big as the mountains in the background could mean this is a Giant Growth type card, although the flames coming out of his hand in a Dragon claw formation could mean it's more nuanced than that. This could be a legendary creature in the vein of Zurgo Helmsmasher. Hard to tell from the art, but this looks pretty tight. Are the Temur mountain-dwellers?

The Sultai are the fang of the Dragon, and this gorgon-looking creature is no exception. Damia players will await a new potential general in the Sultai's new legendary creature, and gorgon-lovers everywhere will await a few new playable gorgons for their silly gorgon decks. Are the Sultai underground dwellers, hiding and using the shadows to conceal their motives? That's a leap from just one picture, but it fits.

Jeskai, a dumb and embarrassing name for the wedge (yet less dumb and embarrassing than continuing to call decks of this color "American"). Jeskai pictures always end up looking like anime. Is this a screenshot from Avatar? Did you get a load of the Kung Fu Panda group shot they revealed before?

The original

And the direct-to-DVD sequel. I guess the Jeskai are going to be kind of like Tibetan monks. I hope all of their group shots are equally silly. The only thing consistent between the two pictures is the giant grey guy. Is that the same guy? Could he be the Jeskai leader, featured as a Legendary creature? Could be cool, I guess.

This Abzan warrior clearly just got done watching Batman Begins. Swords are good for parrying and blocking, too, you know.

"No. Abzan is scale of the Dragon. Check out how scaly I am."

I think a junk-colored wedge could be cool, but if all we get are defensive spells and lifegain, I'm likely out.

We get less than nothing from this except for the dress which reveals I don't know enough about Chinese history to place it. Are the Abzan desert wanderers? Royalty ruling the land as part of a centuries-long dynasty? Your guess is as good as or better than mine. Still this picture looks pretty tight.

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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Insider: Saddle Up – Wrapping Up Modern and Prepping Your Collection for Standard Rotation

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My Modern season ended with a loss playing for Top 8 of a TCG Diamond event and a very quick exit from a PTQ. Not the greatest of outcomes, but I feel like I learned quite a lot this season and I do have a PTQ Top 8 to show for it.

Here's the 75 I sleeved up for the Diamond event:

Modern Izzet Delver

creatures

4 Young Pyromancer
1 Vendilion Clique
4 Delver of Secrets
4 Snapcaster Mage

spells

4 Lightning Bolt
2 Pillar of Flame
4 Mana Leak
1 Remand
4 Spell Snare
4 Gitaxian Probe
2 Vapor Snag
4 Serum Visions
1 Vedalken Shackles
1 Electrolyze

lands

4 Steam Vents
4 Scalding Tarn
4 Misty Rainforest
2 Arid Mesa
4 Island
1 Mountain
1 Tectonic Edge

sideboard

2 Hibernation
1 Combust
1 Electrickery
2 Negate
2 Relic of Progenitus
1 Counterflux
1 Spell Pierce
1 Dispel
2 Magma Spray

The miser's Tectonic Edge replaced an Island from my previous list, and it's not without its downside, but being able to draw a land that kills Celestial Colonnade, random utility lands and the occasional Tron piece is a powerful effect for such a low cost.

I cut the second Shackles on account of the fact that I board it out against almost everyone, and I don't especially miss it. The deck is solid and is a viable option, but I intend to modify it to try to find the best Delver of Secrets deck I can to prepare for the next time that I play Modern.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Tectonic Edge

It's absolutely true that the reinstatement of the Modern Pro Tour puts more pressure on the Modern ban list, but recent updates suggest that they are much more hesitant to ban cards now. In particular, the unbanning of Wild Nacatl and Bitterblossom suggest that R&D prefer to try to have more decks without outright banning existing ones. If this is the case, then Modern has become a lot more like Legacy, in that you can realistically prepare for an event of either format several sets in advance without seeing major shakeups.

The big reason I would like to continue being a Delver of Secrets deck, despite Delver itself being weak to the surplus of removal played in the format, is that the Delver plan is just too fast for the non-removal saturated deck and the rest of the deck can pick up the pieces in the face of opposing Lightning Bolts and Abrupt Decays. In particular, the inclusion of Snapcaster Mage and Lightning Bolt gives the deck a ton of reach. Expanding on this plan seems to me to be the best way to improve upon my current list.

Arguably the best on-color burn spell that I'm not playing is Searing Blaze. It would be possible to make Searing Blaze work, but it's awkward for a number of reasons. There's the obvious fact that not all opponents will have creatures, but then there's also the fact that this is a land-light deck that often has no interest in skipping land drops to possibly enable a later Searing Blaze, and that double red typically involves playing an untapped Steam Vents to take two damage at least once. It wouldn't be the worst include, but I imagine I can do better.

Jeff Hoogland recently posted a list that I find intriguing:

Modern URW Delver

creatures

4 Delver of Secrets
4 Snapcaster Mage
2 Vendilion Clique
4 Young Pyromancer

spells

3 Electrolyze
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Lightning Helix
4 Remand
2 Vapor Snag
3 Gitaxian Probe
2 Pillar of Flame
4 Serum Visions

lands

3 Arid Mesa
1 Celestial Colonnade
1 Hallowed Fountain
2 Island
1 Mountain
1 Plains
1 Sacred Foundry
4 Scalding Tarn
3 Seachrome Coast
3 Steam Vents

Four Remand and no Mana Leak is largely a nod to the fact that this is really just a burn deck, though I'm inclined to say that I'd still rather have Leak over some number of the Remands. The big advantage that this list has over mine is this bad boy:

There was an error retrieving a chart for Lightning Helix

If this were just a red card, there's no way that I wouldn't already be playing it. I tried adding some Lightning Helixs for a Daily in the week leading up to the PTQ and tilted off after losing to Blood Moon.

It's an unfortunate weakness, but, more notably, adding white changes a lot of how you play certain matchups and makes building the sideboard completely different. I'm over the weakness to Blood Moon, but I think it was right to not charge in with an imperfect list and rather to play exactly what I know and to plan on brewing for the future.

With the restructuring of PTQs. I'm not sure when my next opportunity to play competitive Modern will be, but I'm sure that it will happen soon enough. At the very least, I imagine I'll be attending the Nebraska GP.

Standard Rotation

As a broader focus, I'm working on getting ready for the coming Standard rotation. I really don't know how Khans of Tarkir will impact Standard, but there are a number of cards I'm working on picking up come rotation.

In the last year of Standard, I made the jump to actually owning my Standard decks, which was something that I hadn't done in years. With some money out of pocket, some trades, and from picking up Mutavaults way back when they were $10, I was able to build any version of Boros Burn or Red Devotion that I wanted to play. Being able to show up to any Standard tournament and have a deck that was personally tuned was a huge improvement for my mental well being with regards to Magic, and in the future I'm going to try to own as many Standard cards as I can acquire within reason.

I don't know how good the mana is going to be when Khans is released. The wedge theme is only for one set, and with three color decks already being commonplace at the Theros Block Pro Tour, it wouldn't be surprising to see non-wedge three color decks be viable in Theros-Tarkir Standard.

I also don't expect WotC to completely disregard everything about devotion. I'm probably picking up way more cards than any rational person should, but here's a short list of tools that I recommend anybody looking to have easy access to Standard acquires before Khans launches.

Lands

This one is obvious, and you'll hear it from any writer on QuietSpeculation. Temples are cheap right now, and they're only going to go up. I could see Temple of Malady take a slight dip maybe, though it's not for nothing that they're not really being drafted anymore. I wouldn't expect Temple of Malady to specifically increase much in price, if at all, but every other Temple certainly has room to grow.

I'm not super big on Painlands, but they're not bad to own by any means. They're easy enough to pick up in trades and it's highly unlikely that any of them will drop below $4. Shivan Reef in particular has seen a decent amount of Modern play, and while it's a bit pricey, it could still easily jump back to being a $10 card if it sees significant Standard play.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Mana Confluence

If you want to buy Mana Confluence for $10, then now is the time. Don't miss the bus on this one. There were 18 of these in the Top 8 of PT Journey into Nyx. Painlands put some pressure on the card's playability, but two copies in a three color deck or four copies in a two color aggressive deck will likely be commonplace.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Courser of Kruphix

Courser saw a significant dip with its printing in a precon, but it's sure to gain a few dollars as it and Sylvan Caryatid show up in literally every green deck. I would minimally acquire a set of both for playing with, though they're not likely great spec targets, as they're both already pretty high.

Aggressive Rares

Firedrinker Satyr, Pain Seer, Master of the Feast, Herald of Torment and Master of Waves are all at prices significantly lower than rares in decks should be.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Pain Seer

The black aggro deck made a reasonable showing at the Block PT, and I won't be surprised to see it be a thing post-Khans. I mean, Thoughtseize (you should clearly pick these up as well, if you haven't yet) is going to be bar-none the best card in Standard at that point, so the deck will at least have that going for it.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Master of Waves

I really just have no idea what's going on with the price of Master of Waves. I know that nobody is buying into the current Blue Devotion deck anymore, but do people really not believe that anything will happen to make this playable post-Khans?

It just takes permanents with blue mana in their casting cost. It's possible that there won't be an aggressive blue deck, but the deck doesn't have to be aggressive for Master of Waves to be a stone cold killer. I won't be the least bit surprised if Dictate of Kruphix becomes a Standard playable card, and Master of Waves is as good a follow up to Dictate as any.

At any rate, $4 is a laughable price for a mythic rare of this power level.

Goblin Rabblemaster is a card that has already proven itself and is coming from a set that won't be drafted much. I'd scoop up a set of these if you have any interest in playing red beatdown in the coming Standard format. Its appearance at PT Magic 2015 inflated its price somewhat, but availability is pretty high right now. I wouldn't wait, and if you can get them in the $2.50 range or at a similar rate in a trade, they're definitely worth collecting.

Planeswalkers

There was an error retrieving a chart for Xenagos, the Reveler

At this point, it's too late for Xenagos, the Reveler. $15 just isn't going to happen for me, and if there's a Xenagos deck that I simply must play, I don't expect to ever need to pay more than that for him.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Nissa, Worldwaker

I also don't feel good about dropping $35 on Nissa, Worldwaker. If she takes off, she'll easily be $40-$50 and will most likely be in a deck alongside Xenagos. My plan as of now is to not play that deck, but if Xenagos drops to $9-$10, it will be reasonable to trade for and I'd happily spend $25 on Nissas.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Kiora, the Crashing Wave

Kiora, the Crashing Wave seems a little more reasonable at $14 to me than Xenagos, as she's been at that price for some time without really seeing play and she's from a less opened set. She also plays pretty nicely with Courser of Kruphix. She's pretty niche though, and I have no intention of acquiring more than three or four.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Ajani, Mentor of Heroes

I would sooner die than play a white aggressive deck, but new Ajani is certainly playable and is worth acquiring. Less new, but still new, Ajani, Ajani, Mentor of Heroes is one that I'm actively picking up. Brian Kibler advocates the card even in Modern, and it's definitely a strong Standard player. I wouldn't be surprised to see a $25 price tag on this guy again.

All of the non-Jace Magic 2015 planeswalkers are all but guaranteed to see some play and are reasonable pick-ups. I would wait on Garruk, Apex Predator though. He's good, but he strikes me as the type of card that won't show up a ton. He's basically designed to bust up midrange mirrors, and I don't expect the metagame to get to that point for at least a few months.

The only planeswalker that I currently believe is a slam dunk is Elspeth, Sun's Champion. There's no better six drop as of now, and it would take a hell of a good one to knock her from her throne. At $20 it will be tough to make money on her, but again, you'll probably pay more if you decide that you need to play an Elspeth deck in Theros Khans Standard.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Elspeth, Sun's Champion

~

This is the part of the year where it's hardest to know what to expect with Magic. Modern season is ending and Standard is about to change dramatically. That said, there's always work to do and it never hurts to look forward, in particular with regard to MTG Finance.

If somebody can give me a good reason why Master of Waves is a bad spec, I'm all ears.

If you want to be ready to play Modern next year, don't sleep on it! Start practicing now. If you want to make money on Theros and Magic 2015 cards, don't sleep on that either! Xenagos, God of Revels is evidence that the window is already closing.

Thanks for reading.

-Ryan Overturf
@RyanOverdrive on Twitter

Insider: MTG Stock Watch (Week of 8/24/14)

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Welcome back, readers! Today I'm continuing my bi-weekly trend of looking over the MTG cards which have recently had the most financial movement (as well as the sealed product trends). Keeping with tradition I will start first with the "Penny Stocks".

Penny Stocks

#1 Maralen of the Mornsong (+220.9%) - This is a card which has seen a little Commander play (typically when it's a commander in a deck it acts as the "tutor" to get Ad Nauseam or some other black combo kill.

While most of us believe this one is a buyout it's hard to discount that this card plays really well with Ob Nixilis, Unshackled so there could definitely be some "staying power" to the price. While I do expect this spike to drop a bit, I doubt we'll see it back at it's old price anytime soon.

maralen of the mornsong stock

#2 Urza's Tower (Shore) (+50.4%) - This one seems a bit odd. It jumped about a month ago by almost 40%, but apparently dipped back down some and then rejumped again to its current price. I stated before that Tron decks are still played in Modern and they do seem to be branching out a bit (I read an article posted by Gerry T highlighting a mono-black Tron list).

Urzas tower stock

#3 Chasm Stalker (+18.6%) - This was one of my picks from M15 that had some breakout potential. Though it hasn't done so yet, it appears that others feel the same way and demand has gone up recently. QS's own James Chilcot is a big fan of this guy, and I definitely would target these to even out trades.

chasm stalker stock

#4 Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind (FTV:Dragons) (-15.2%) - This one might seem a bit perplexing, as FTV: Dragons was the first FTV, it's rather old, and Niv-Mizzet was a popular EDH general for awhile. I can attest to a few friends with Niv-Mizzet decks that have morphed them into Keranos, God of Storms decks. I don't know if this is a major shift in demand or perhaps players were getting tired of that style of EDH deck, but you can see that this trend has been occurring all year (and even demand for regular Niv Mizzet has been on the decline).

Either way, I wouldn't panic just yet, but I also don't expect to see the kind of demand for him as I used to. It also doesn't help that a lot of players don't like the FTV foiling process.

niv mizzet the firemind stock

#5 Pack Rat (+14.4%) - This increase is rather perplexing. Despite Mono-Black Devotion's very strong Standard showings, its impending rotation would normally mean demand decreases and prices drop. However, this past week we did have a buyout of the foil Pack Rats and it's quite plausible that this guy is riding the coattails of his foil counterpart a bit.

pack rat stock

Blue Chip Stocks

#1 Wasteland (-11.11%) - This one dropped quite a bit, erasing the gains from two weeks ago (and then some). There was no SCG Legacy tournament last week, so there's no new "deck of choice" to cause this drop. It is important to note that with the ascension of UWx Miracle decks, which don't run Wasteland, to arguably the "best deck" in the Legacy metagame, players who switch decks are dumping these (as an 11% drop is pretty major for a supposedly "stable" stock)

wasteland stock 8_24_14

#2 Tundra (-4.73%) - Tundra is another of our previous week's top cards, though in that case it was on its way up. Ironically, this drop in demand directly contradicts my thought on Wasteland's drop (as the UWx Miracles players do run Tundras...usually 3-4). It could be that the number of sales of this card the past week or so hasn't been all that high and a few sales might affect our numbers here. That or all the top players have all decided to play Storm.

tundra stock 8_24_14

#3 Badlands (-4.6%) - B/R has often been one of the least desirable dual lands and its recent jump into the $80 range was heavily due to the jump in other dual lands, as well as a resurgence in the Jund archetype (which had been on the decline recently). The card is showing an overall decline in value (same as almost all of the duals since their spikes occurred).

badlands stock 8_24_14

#4 Dark Confidant (+3.51%) - Finally we have a gainer this week and it's a decent amount. Dark Confidant has the luxury of being one of the two "Blue Chip Stocks" that is both Modern and Legacy playable (with Tarmogoyf being the other).

While Pod style decks seem to still be the de facto "best deck" of Modern, the GBx midrange decks do seem to be gaining some ground (at least I see more people playing them locally then I did just a month or two ago). This is the only card on our "Blue Chip Stock" list that had positive gains this week.

dark confidant stock 8_24_14

#5 Scrubland (-3.33%) - Looks like another of our previous top gainers is falling right back down again. This could again be another example of the steady decline of the post-spike duals in general. This is the type of graph we expect to see when something's price is artificially spiked as opposed to actual market demand causing a price increase.

scrubland stock 8_24_14

We need to carefully monitor these trends over the upcoming weeks, as the current trend is a bit disturbing (normally the "safe stocks" are stable, not trending negative across the board).

Value Stocks

My picks haven't really changed a whole lot, as I'm still all on board for rare mana fixing lands. I still like Mana Confluence the most, and the spoiling of the enemy "trilands" (similar to the Shards trilands) might imply that Khans will lack rare mana fixing lands (as Shards did) which means aggro decks will lean even heavier on Mana Confluence and pain lands.

That being said, while I still love the temples a lot (specifically Enlightment and Epiphany as they are the strongest Modern ones), I would like to put some focus on the "aggro" colored pain land, Battlefield Forge. Any aggro deck running RWx will need a full playset of these and time and time again we see R/x aggro decks come out of the gates as top dog at rotation.

Given the other red painland is Shivan Reef (and blue is rarely an "aggro" color), the only other painland that might get a bump is Caves of Koilos if a white aggro weenie deck materializes (though its recent reprinting as a four-of in the Modern Event Deck will likely mean that any price jump on this one will be far less severe). While I'm not a huge fan of any of the painlands getting a permanent price spike, I do foresee a 2-3 week window right after rotation with Battlefield Forge doubling up if (as we expect) a RWx aggro deck wins the first post-rotation SCG event. All that being said, here are my value stock picks this week:

mana confluence stock 8_24_14

temple of epiphany 8_24_14

temple of enlightment stock 8_24_14

battlefield forge stock 8_24_14

caves of koilos stock 8_24_14

Growth Stocks

This week we see overall gains across the board in both the entire Mirrodin block as well as the entire Zendikar block. As both blocks have a lot of powerful mythics that appeal to both casual and competitive players this isn't too surprising.

Week of 8/24/14 Box Most Recent Completed Auction Second Most Recent Third Most Recent Fourth Most Recent New Average Average comparison
Innistrad $206.11 $185.00 $229.99 $208.00 $207.44 1.03%
Dark Ascension $99.99 $119.49 $98.99 $96.00 $104.74 -2.75%
Avacyn Restored $129.95 $105.01 $110.50 $112.50 $122.66 -6.12%
Scars of Mirrodin $217.95 $180.00 $164.95 $162.50 $170.30 8.03%
Mirrodin Besieged $179.99 $169.95 $145.00 $167.50 $160.74 5.05%
New Phyrexia $349.99 $338.00 $297.50 $364.95 $329.62 4.70%
Zendikar $550.00 $532.00 $550.00 $559.99 $533.00 6.75%
Worldwake $655.01 $725.00 $799.99 $740.00 $731.88 4.25%
Rise of the Eldrazi $584.99 $589.95 $599.50 $584.95 $562.18 4.48%

All the Tokens. Ever.

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We all have our favorite tokens to represent Magical things. For me, it's the ones we've created for Brainstorm Brewery, which I find amazing of course. Other people have their own favorites, whether it be Pokemon cards or hand-drawn portraits or just a dice or whatever. Hell, some (like Wurmcoil Engine tokens) are even worth a few bucks each.

This man has taken it a step farther.

That's the start of a Token collection better than anything you or I have. His collection isn't quite complete since he still needs a foil Angel/Demon from the Helvault launch, but this is still better than anything I've seen before.

You can fin the full album here.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Soon-to-be-Reprinted: Examining Divine vs. Demonic

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We know that reprints of old and rare decks are coming in Duel Decks: Anthology, but these products were released so many years ago that many of us (including me) aren’t more than passingly familiar with the cards in them. If you want to get the bottom of these decks without spending the time to parse the the lists, you’re in luck: I’ve done the work for you. Let’s talk about what’s exciting in Duel Decks: Divine vs. Demonic.

divinevsdemonic

Interestingly, this one is available for far less on Amazon than the first two we covered, Goblins vs. Elves and Jace vs. Chandra. Those two were up around $200, but this box set is available starting at $129.99.  You might think that suggests it is worse than the other two, but I wouldn't be so hasty in deciding that. Like previously, note that all prices referenced below are TCGplayer mid, and will almost certainly drop upon the reprint of this product—they're just there as a frame of reference.

Cards Worth Money?!

The first two decks we examined did not include cards worth more than $8 to $10, tops. This product, however, has a Demonic Tutor. Besides the more-than-$200 judge foil, this is the only Tutor in the 8C (Eighth to Conspiracy) frame, and the reprint will be the only one in the modern border. Currently this version retails for $24, which is a pretty good start when considering if this $25 portion of the set is worth purchasing.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Demonic Tutor

And what do you know? There's another card close to $20 here. Akroma, Angel of Wrath is surprisingly expensive at $18.99, given the complete lack of competitive play it sees—it just goes to show that the casual angel fan does still exist in Magic. Of  course, this is the only version  in the 8C border, and it's also foil, so that doubtless contributes to its priciness when compared to the $7 Legions version.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Akroma, Angel of Wrath

Angels Gonna Ange

If Akroma's price didn't indicate that casual angel fans are still alive and kicking, perhaps the prices of these cards will:

There was an error retrieving a chart for Twilight Shepherd
There was an error retrieving a chart for Luminous Angel

 

 

The DvD version of Reya Dawnbringer is also coming in at $4.25, but the Conspiracy version (with different art) is under $1, so keep that in mind. The fact that all three of these cards are more than $2 each is almost certainly due to being angels. There's no competitive play to speak of to warrant anything but bulk rare pricing on these—only the fact that they are appealing to casual players and collectors.

The deck also includes two copies of Dark Ritual, the original DvD version being priced at $2.18. This will be the first printing of the card in the new border, which could contribute to a price increase for the reprinted copies. Keep an eye out to see if these are preordering for a too-low price.

And Then There Was Bulk

Wizards printed Serra Angel as a rare in this product, despite being an uncommon since Alpha. There are nine rares in this set, though, which I believe is the most in any Duel Deck, so I guess that mitigates this proverbial slap in the face.

Other dollar rares here include a foil Lord of the Pit, Fallen Angel (apparently non-white angels do not get the casual bump), Reiver Demon, and Promise of Power. Not a bad bunch for casual players looking for some sweet additions to their casual decks.

serraangekl

So is the Deck Worth It?

Yes, so far this deck is one of the main reasons to buy the product. Between Demonic Tutor and Akroma, Angel of Wrath, this deck blows the first two out of the water from a value standpoint. It makes up for the financial shortcomings of Goblins vs. Elves in a big way, and it would take major price drops for that to no longer be true.

Later this week, we'll take a look at the last set of decks included in Duel Decks: Anthology, Garruk vs. Liliana. Stay tuned!

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