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Fakes spotted

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This week, redditor /u/Uthayne posted that he had bought counterfeit Scalding Tarns on TCG Player. The evidence is conclusive.

Be careful when ordering online. If your card is worth more than about $30, make sure you test the card to make sure it's genuine. The light test is a very good quick and dirty test to see if a card is genuine.

However, not to worry. The fakes are not getting that much better. This card apparently felt much different and the typeface looked off.

If you do buy a fake card on TCG Player, contact them and they will investigate. If the seller is knowingly selling fakes, they will be dealt with.

It's impossible to really examine a card you buy online, so understand there are risks. If you're a seller, make sure the cards you send out are genuine by doing these tests yourself. We've seen cards as cheap as Hallowed Fountain faked, but if you send out a fake Tarn and you're on the hook for a refund and you're out the card, you could have a bad day. Protect yourself as a seller and as a buyer.

Fakes are still very easy to detect and this should not make you panic. Just know that this is a thing that happens and that the light from your smartphone is one of the best tools you have to detect this rash of counterfeit cards. Protect ya neck and buy in person where possible.

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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New homes for old Planeswalkers

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We all like Jace, but we know the cutest one is definitely the plushie toy, right?

Okay, maybe not. But in case that is your thing, I have some good news for you.

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Also coming are Gideon, Kiora and maybe more. Look, I know most of us players don't care even a little about these things, but they are an important part of Wizards' overall marketing strategy, and on that note I'm all for them.

After all, who doesn't want a tiny toy Bolas?

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Details You May Have Missed from the MTG Panel at SDCC 2014

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Thanks to Twitter, we knew much of what was said in the MTG Comic-Con Panel the day of the event. Last week, Wizards of the Coast posted a video of the presentation to YouTube, which is embedded below for your viewing pleasure.

There were a few things I took away from this video that were not necessarily discussed elsewhere online. Had you heard these details?

  • Khans of Tarkir is a wedge set, but it is not a wedge block. Presumably due to the time travel element, we won't necessarily be seeing wedge cards in the still-to-be-named-publicly winter and spring sets of 2015.
  • Although the Shards of Alara factions were based on the central color of each shard (Bant's central color was white, Grixis's central color was black, etc.), the wedges of Khans of Tarkir won't be so symmetrical. I assumed that the central color would be the mutual enemy of the other two colors, but in fact, we're going to be jumping around the color wheel by twos. In other words, the Abzan Houses will be centered in white, including white, black, and green (skipping blue and red on the color wheel). The Jeskai Way will be centered in blue with red and white as its other colors. The Sultai Brood will be centered in black with green and blue allies, the Mardu Horde will be centered in red with white and black allies, and the Temur Frontier will be centered in green with blue and red allies. Even though it's not the symmetry I anticipated, it's still symmetrical in that each clan has the same pattern of moving around the color wheel. Mark Rosewater assured the audience the reasoning for this choice would become clear as we moved into spoiler season.
  • The reveal of Zurgo Helmsmasher is the first time WOTC has given us a spoiler from the fall set as San Diego Comic-Con. That's pretty cool.

Zurgo-Helmsmasher

  • Despite being roughly $175 at TCGplayer mid, the audience could not have been less impressed with the Rolling Earthquake spoiler for From the Vault: Annihilation. "Scattered applause" would be a generous description of the response; "smirking laughter" would be more accurate. It's not hard to discern that what the audience really wanted to see was Damnation, and short of that, there would be no impressing them.
There was an error retrieving a chart for Rolling Earthquake
  • Finally, I previously alluded to the chance of seeing Urza in the Commander decks coming out this fall, but Mark Purvis's exact words reiterated my feeling on this: the Commander decks will feature "different characters from throughout Magic's history that maybe didn't have a card in the past." This isn't true of the revealed Teferi, but it sure is true of the big man, Urza himself. Unless you count Blind Seer, which you shouldn't. Considering the lore of Urza has him much stronger than modern planeswalkers, putting this in a casual-only format will help WOTC be able to push the card without breaking Standard.

I hope these details were new to you. They certainly were to me!

From the Vaults: Plot Twist

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A while back, a story hit and a grainy photograph was found on the internet.

FtV Annihilation Visual Spoiler

I wrote at the time that it was a little unclear whether this was indeed a genuine list. Something felt off about the circumstances of the cards being leaked. MTGSalvation forum users were much quicker to call the photograph a hoax, citing typeface inconsistencies and other nonsense.

This week, Magiccardmarket, the European SCG (I guess?) posted presales of the exact list that was considered debunked.

Untitled

Taken together, the picture of genuine-looking cards and a major retailer taking pre-orders  seem to indicate this may be the FTV: Annihilation list. Wizards is mum on the subject, going farther than not confirming or denying the leaked list and going so far as to not address the list at all. Strange times. FTV lists are not given the same "strategic leak" treatment sets get to ramp up excitement.

One of the reasons people were so quick to call foul on this list is a lack of strategic reprints. Everyone expected Damnation due to its high price and instead a bunch of Portal cards and junk rares grace the list. Cards like Upheaval don't seem to fit the theme, although the set could scarcely be released with 0 blue cards, one could argue. The whole situation is strange, and it's not getting much clearer as new "evidence" is uncovered.

If this is indeed the list, how many of you are buying?

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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Grand Prix Portland begins!

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That's right, I'm talking about a Grand Prix starting. And it's a Thursday. I know you're thinking "Grand Prix always start on Saturday!"

That's usually true. But in this case, it's not.

gp_portland_wide

Cascade Games is doing something we've never seen beore: running the event for a full four days. They expect every day to be packed to the brim, and it's definitely going to be an interesting experiment. I don't know if people will show up before even the earliest definition of the weekend, but in my book more Magic is never bad.

I'll be there doing coverage, and I know a lot of people in the podcasting community are gathering as well. If you're headed to the event: Have fun. If you're not, you're missing out. On four days of Magic.

You can find more information on the Grand Prix here.

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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Reprints and the Return of Morph

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There are always promotional videos during pro tours, and sometimes you can pick up some interesting tid-bits from them. That was the case this weekend.

In the video “Inside R&D Magic 2015: Green,” Magic developer Sam Stoddard discussed returning mechanics and reprints: “Whenever we do a returning a mechanic for a set, we, of course, do want to have a big iconic card that reminds you of why the mechanic is awesome. And for this set it was Chord of Calling. This was probably the most popular convoke card in the original Ravnica set, and a lot of players were confused a lot [about] why we didn’t include it in Modern Masters. It’s a card they really wanted to own. Well, of course, we didn’t include it because we were saving it for this.”

There was an error retrieving a chart for Chord of Calling

After not reprinting Noble Hierarch in Magic 2013, some of us thought Chord of Calling would be safe from reprint in M15 (I’ll raise my hand on this one). Stoddard’s comments are interesting in light of the fact that we already know the returning mechanic for Khans of Tarkir: morph.

So what are the iconic morph cards from Magic’s history? I wasn’t active during previous appearances of the mechanic, but I am familiar with some of the cards with morph that are commonly played in Cube. Fortunately or unfortunately (depending on your point of view), there’s nothing particularly expensive on the list.

Below are a dozen morph cards often seen in Cube lists. Some are more likely reprints than others, especially given that flavor will be a factor. Which ones do you think we’ll see in Khans of Tarkir?

morphcards

Insider: PTM15 Standard and Finance

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PTM15 Standard has come and gone, and while the typical juggernauts of the format dominated, there were a number of new and interesting underdogs that emerged.

There were tons of deck lists from the Pro Tour hidden on Wizards' new web site. Not everyone has time to sift through pages and pages of decks to find the hidden gems, and that’s where I come in. Let’s get started.

No Limit Soldiers by Alex Sittner

Creatures

4 Akroan Crusader
3 Favored Hoplite
4 Dryad Militant
4 Soldier of the Pantheon
4 Boros Elite
4 Legion Loyalist

Spells

4 Launch the Fleet
4 Raise the Alarm
4 Dynacharge
4 Obelisk of Urd
1 Spear of Heliod

Lands

4 Battlefield Forge
4 Sacred Foundry
4 Mana Confluence
3 Mutavault
4 Plains
1 Mountain

Sideboard

3 Keening Apparition
3 Boros Charm
3 Gods Willing
4 Electrickery
2 Phyrexian Revoker

By now, most of you have heard about this deck but the exact list eluded many players looking to see it written out.

The strength of this deck is its speed. With a whopping 23 one-drop creatures and only Raise the Alarm as the other creature producer, it’s easy to see how fast this deck can be. Most aggressive decks that came before this loved it when they curved a one-drop into two one-drops. With this deck, that is an average draw you should get most of the time.

It might seem obvious, but the metagame can easily adjust to this strategy by playing more Anger of the Gods and Drown in Sorrow. Obelisk of Urd can prevent your opponent from wiping your board, but if you don’t get it in play on turn three, you might be in a lot of trouble.

Another problem is that because Obelisk of Urd is so important to this strategy, Thoughtseize is still good against this deck. Playing an aggressive deck, one of your goals should be to make Thoughtseize as bad as possible. There are many good targets for the discard spell in this deck.

This deck is consistently fast and forces your opponent to have answers right away or lose the game. No Limit Soldiers reminds me of decks like Metal Red and Tempered Steel. These aggressive decks are all in on their game plan and if they don’t win quickly, it’s extremely hard for them to win in the mid to late game.

Jund Walkers by Pierre Mondon

Creatures

3 Elvish Mystic
4 Sylvan Caryatid
4 Courser of Kruphix

Spells

2 Golgari Charm
1 Abrupt Decay
3 Mizzium Mortars
2 Dreadbore
4 Read the Bones
2 Putrefy
1 Hero's Downfall
3 Xenagos, the Reveler
3 Chandra, Pyromaster
3 Vraska the Unseen
2 Rakdos's Return

Lands

2 Blood Crypt
2 Overgrown Tomb
4 Stomping Ground
3 Temple of Abandon
2 Temple of Malady
4 Temple of Malice
4 Llanowar Wastes
1 Mutavault
1 Forest

Sideboard

1 Rakdos's Return
1 Mizzium Mortars
1 Golgari Charm
1 Abrupt Decay
2 Slaughter Games
1 Pithing Needle
4 Magma Spray
2 Duress
2 Thoughtseize

As one of the most successful decks from the Pro Tour, you should start playing against this deck regularly at any Standard tournament you attend. This deck is the evolution of Jund Monsters but has moved past the ‘monsters’ part and onto hard-to-deal-with planeswalkers.

Just like Jund in any format, the archetype is customizable to any metagame and can be built to beat any type of deck. The one absent card I couldn’t exclude is Garruk, Apex Predator. This deck seems tailor made for one or two copies of the planeswalker killer and his absence is baffling. You may not want to mess with a proven deck, but if I sleeve this up, Garruk will certainly make an appearance. I have been extremely impressed with him every time I’ve seen him in play.

There’s an innocent little card in the sideboard that I wanted to mention briefly: Magma Spray.

I’ve cast many Magma Sprays in my day and recently it’s starting to show up in more peoples’ sideboards. Decks like this struggle against Voice of Resurgence so using one spell to deal with it swings the tide of the game in your favor. This cheap removal spell also helps against the fast red aggro decks as well.

Other changes to consider would be fitting in Nissa, Worldwaker and/or Polukranos, World Eater to have some additional threats. Both of those cards are powerful tools that are hard to deal with. I like my controlling decks to have lots of win conditions though so it may not be necessary, but it would still be strong.

Rabble Red by Melissa DeTora

Creatures

4 Firedrinker Satyr
4 Rakdos Cackler
4 Foundry Street Denizen
3 Legion Loyalist
4 Burning-Tree Emissary
3 Ash Zealot
2 Firefist Striker
4 Goblin Rabblemaster
4 Rubblebelt Maaka

Spells

3 Lightning Strike
4 Stoke the Flames

Lands

18 Mountain
3 Mutavault

Sideboard

2 Dynacharge
4 Eidolon of the Great Revel
1 Legion Loyalist
2 Magma Spray
2 Mizzium Mortars
2 Skullcrack
2 Titan's Strength

When a whole pro team plays a deck, I pay attention. In this case, Rabble Red lived up to the hype, putting Melissa into the top 32 at this event.

Having played Goblin Rabblemaster, the centerpiece of the deck, in multiple Limited events, I know how powerful he is firsthand. My impression of his transition to Standard was that he needed lots of goblins to be playable. Clearly I underestimated this Goblin Assault with legs.

As an aside, every time I see this card I think of Goblin Piledriver and how influential he was back when I started playing Magic. While Rabblemaster isn’t quite as good as Piledriver in terms of how big his power can get, making a 1/1 every turn is extremely good. Additionally, you can save your 1/1’s by convoking Stoke the Flames.

If you want to try and improve the deck, adding green may be one way to go about it. Ghor-Clan Rampager may be the only green card you play, but that seems like the perfect card for this deck.

Either way, this deck is strong, consistent, and fast. It has answers for most of the format's problematic permanents and is well set up in the current metagame. If I wanted to be playing an aggressive deck right now, this is the first deck I would work on.

Naya Tokens by Michael Majors

Creatures

4 Elvish Mystic
4 Sylvan Caryatid
4 Voice of Resurgence
1 Skylasher
1 Phyrexian Revoker
3 Brimaz, King of Oreskos
3 Polukranos, World Eater
2 Purphoros, God of the Forge
4 Scion of Vitu-Ghazi

Spells

3 Selesnya Charm
2 Banishing Light
3 Xenagos, the Reveler
2 Chord of Calling

Lands

4 Temple Garden
4 Stomping Ground
4 Temple of Plenty
4 Mana Confluence
4 Battlefield Forge
3 Forest
1 Plains

Sideboard

3 Skylasher
1 Chord of Calling
1 Xenagos, the Reveler
1 Ajani, Mentor of Heroes
3 Setessan Tactics
2 Archangel of Thune
1 Spirit of the Labyrinth
1 Reclamation Sage
2 Ajani Steadfast

Both Michael Majors and Dan Jordan did very well with this wacky deck at the Pro Tour and I love it. Naya Tokens may be the craziest deck on this list, but it definitely has game against Mono-Black and U/W Control which not many decks can claim.

I love the Chord of Callings in this deck also and wouldn’t mind seeing a third one maindeck along with some other spicy targets. Chord is one of my favorite cards to play and this is yet another deck that can take advantage of it.

How you could build this deck without Elspeth, Sun's Champion is beyond me and I would not leave home without a couple copies. On top of being one of the best planeswalkers, she pairs so well with Purphoros, God of the Forge. This deck does look tight on space, but at the very least, the fourth Scion of Vitu-Ghazi has to be worse than the first Elspeth.

I would also be tempted to replace Polukranos, World Eater with Advent of the Wurm because I love casting Advent before Scion to create a sick board state out of thin air. Sure Polukranos is amazing but populating wurm tokens is a game winning sequence.

The sideboard for this deck looks extremely well crafted as well. It takes advantage of two different versions of Ajani which is awesome because they are helpful in completely different situations. It’s no surprise to me that this deck did well and it looks like tons of fun to play.

If you have the time, take a look at the rest of the successful decks from the most competitive Standard tournament this season. The pros know how to tweak their decks to get the most out of them and studying these changes is a great way to improve as a deck builder. Here’s the link. Click on the decks tab right under Ivan Floch’s trophy shot for the decks.

Standard Finance

Before I head out this week, I wanted to mention some movers in Standard. There are some surprising climbers from M15 that you should be aware of and some rotating staples that are worth noting their dip in price.

Let’s start with some cards that are worth more than they used to be.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Goblin Rabblemaster

Being the centerpiece of a Pro Tour deck is a great way to double your price overnight. I think Rabblemaster could retain his new price or even continue to increase a bit more, especially if he makes the transition to the next Standard format. You may be able to get some good deals on this guy still but even if not, I’d be looking to pick up at least a playset to hold on to.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Liliana Vess

Not many planeswalkers increase in price this soon after they are printed, especially ones which have been printed many times before. Apparently, the original Liliana is quite popular among many different types of players. Casual players love her for their commander decks and competitive players get their copies to jam right into Mono-Black Devotion. I’m not sure how much more room she has to grow; if you have extra copies, I would look to unload them soon.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Terra Stomper
There was an error retrieving a chart for Aegis Angel

Wizards threw us a curve ball this year by printing these reprints in the free starter decks but not in M15. Because of that, their value actually increased.

While I’m not surprised that the M15 versions are worth some money, I was shocked that the older version bumped up to match the new price. To top it off, it looks like the new price is sticking. Crazy as it sounds, you should probably be sorting through your old bulk rares or your local shops to find some copies of these cards before someone else does.

They are legal for Standard play and some players will actually want to try them out. I know I had to scour for copies of both of these cards to put in my case, so I assume other dealers will too.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Galerider Sliver

Slivers may not be the most competitive deck out there but it is a popular one. Galerider Sliver gained some traction with the release of M15. Take advantage of the situation and pick up some underpriced ones. Make sure to move them quickly though because your window is probably short.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Legion Loyalist

It’s no surprise that this card bounced back up a bit after declining for a while. When multiple versions of red decks start playing a card, its price tends to go up like this. The window on this guy is probably short as well but maybe not because these red decks will be good until rotation.

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Now we are getting to some cards that continue their downward trend. Every time I think Revelation can’t go any lower, it’s price drops more. This is a solid Modern card and worth getting a set if you don’t already have one. It may go lower yet, but I’m not sure how much lower it can go.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Pack Rat

One of the most hated cards in Standard started as a bulk rare, peaked, and is now nearly back where it started. In case you haven’t heard yet, making Pack Rats is a viable Modern strategy. There are not a lot of decks that can answer your rat army if it gets going. Don’t move your set and when everyone else is unloading theirs, get more. I like this guy long-term quite a bit.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Domri Rade

Oh Domri, you are dropping in price too? After nearly falling half of his value, Domri is showing no signs of halting his descent. This is another card I really like long-term because he is playable in Modern.

His playability is dependent on what the format looks like, but I’ve played him a lot in Kiki Pod to good success and seen him be quite potent in Green-Red Aggro. I say hold onto this guy.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Scavenging Ooze

Finally, we’ll round out our long-term specs with a powerhouse in the format. Once copies of this card dry up, his price will start increasing again quickly. He is a staple in the format and that’s not going to change anytime soon. Get as many copies of this guy as you can. The promo is especially undervalued so try to get some of those as well.

That’s all for this week. There’s been a lot happening in the Magic community lately and these are just some of the interesting changes. If you want to chat about these or any other Magic topics, I'm always available on Twitter.

Unleash the Force!

Mike Lanigan
MtgJedi on Twitter
Jedicouncilman23@gmail.com

Insider: Pro Tour Magic 2015 Postmortem

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Who ever knew sheep could go so far?

Ivan Floch did, and Nyx-Fleece Ram and Archangel of Thune took him all the way to the Pro Tour title. Not the combo you’d expect to win the whole thing, but it certainly worked.

Of course, the real question is, will it continue to work? And, if so, what are the financial ramifications?

With next year’s Pro Tours all going to Standard, more than ever we need to care about the format as it will be receiving more press than Modern (outside of Modern Masters 2, which I’ll get to in a bit).

Anyway, we had rams and more from the Pro Tour, and today I want to break down what this means for us as we move out of the summer doldrums and into pre-rotation hype.

The Top 8

  • 1 White-Blue Planar Cleansing Control
  • 1 Green-White Aggro
  • 2 Jund Planeswalkers
  • 2 Black-White
  • 1 Brave the Elements Naya
  • 1 Boros Burn

So I guess the witch that was Mono-Black Devotion is dead? Maybe so, but while Grey Merchant may have left us, the true terrors of Pack Rat, Desecration Demon, Lifebane Zombie and Thoughtseize have not.

Of course, most of those rotate in a few short months. Until then we’ll have to suffer through it. While I would usually look at the top decks and figure out what rotates, in this case it’s easier to figure out what they actually keep, and make decisions from based on what we know from Block event Pro Tour Atlanta a few months ago.

White-Blue

There was an error retrieving a chart for Sphinx's Revelation

Keeps Divination, Dissolve and Last Breath, along with lands. Basically, this deck doesn’t exist after rotation, as even the “win-con” of Elixir of Immortality goes.

Green-White

There was an error retrieving a chart for Voice of Resurgence

Lots of key pieces including Voice of Resurgence and Ajani, Caller of the Pride leave, but there are some powerful ones left moving into next season. Namely, the core of Sunblade Elf, Soldier of the Pantheon, Fleecemane Lion, Boon Satyr and Banishing Light are enough pieces to conceivably rebuild from the ground up.

Of these, it may oddly be an uncommon with the most upside. I always said Banishing Light would be at least $2, and it’s currently sitting a little above that. Realistically the best window was when I talked about grabbing these at the Journey into Nyx prerelease, but honestly trading for them at $1.50-2 doesn’t seem like the worst idea.

They certainly won’t come down until the inevitable reprint, and if that reprint isn’t in Khans they will have a nice little upside given how desirable they are.

Of the rares, I like Solider and Satyr the most, given that they sit lower than Lion, are currently available under a dollar and conceivably fit into more decks than a straight Green-White card does. Even if these go to just $3 and hit $2 on a buylist you’re looking at an easy double-up, and if they fail to pan out your risk was low in the first place.

Jund Planeswalkers

Let’s use Yuuki Ichikawa’s list for reference. The planeswalkers in question? Xenagos, the Reveler. Nissa, Worldwaker. Chandra, Pyromaster. Vraska the Unseen.

Notice a common trend? They’re nearly all legal next season. Of the 11 planeswalkers he played, only the singleton Vraska rotates.

So let’s look at the rest of the deck. Rotating from the maindeck: Mizzium Mortars, Dreadbore, Rakdos's Return, the typical removal suite from Ravnica, and Mutavault.

In other words, 12 cards and some land. Given that it’s premium removal it’s losing but more removal always seems to be around (especially after the threats are less universally potent after rotation), and that with the new wedges the mana seems fixable to go with Sylvan Caryatid, there’s a lot to like here.

Specifically, I like Xenagos at $7, where it has bottomed out. This was also a huge player at the Block Pro Tour, and could easily see the “Jace spike” to $15-20 next season. There’s also a lot to like about Chandra at the $5 its headed toward. Sure, she may not be a huge Modern player anymore, but she’s the best Chandra ever printed and is from a core set. Solid chance to hit $10. After all, Ajani, Caller of the Pride did so for a time in his second printing last season, so there’s a precedent.

There was an error retrieving a chart for Courser of Kruphix

The usual suspects of Courser of Kruphix and Sylvan Caryatid are also present, and while Caryatid is at an all-time high of $7 and likely doesn’t have much upside, there’s also little reason to think it won’t still be heavily played as we just went another set without a four-mana Wrath.

Similarly, Courser (and the Block deck with Prognostic Sphinx) benefit from there being no Wrath. Courser is trending downward thanks to a reprint after hitting $18, but I wouldn’t be incredibly surprised to see a double-bounce here. If it comes down to $7-8 and nothing from Khans gives us reason to think it will fall out of favor (A Wrath, mainly, as this is insane with the Caryatid/Sphinx engine), then I become interested in again picking it up in anticipation of it going back to $15.

Black-White

There was an error retrieving a chart for Elspeth, Sun's Champion

Dies for the most part, but you can be guaranteed that Thoughtseize and Elspeth, Sun's Champion are showing back up next season.

Obviously Thoughtseize fits into the Mono-Black decks that also feature juicy targets like Herald of Torment, but it will also fit into just about everything else, too. I know it’s far from cheap at $15, but it’s one of those cards people aren’t going to want to come off of because they know how good it is in Eternal play, so I don’t think we’re going to see a much lower price without a reprint in a supplementary product.

Elspeth is $20 and will likely fluctuate between $15-25 next season, because it’s still the premier finisher. I don’t see a ton of opportunity, but you can feel reasonably confident at the current price if you need a playset to compete with.

Brave Naya

Dies outside of Solider and Lion. More points for those two cards, but nothing especially compelling.

Burn

Probably dead? Eight of the nine creatures rotate, as do many of the best burn spells, including Boros Charm. The sideboard may offer a glimpse of the future with more Chandra, Eidolon of the Great Revel (a card I like at current prices thanks to Eternal applications), as well as Firedrinker Satyr. I wouldn’t exactly go in on any of these, but it shows us another home for Chandra.

Rabblemaster Red

The breakout deck that didn’t Top 8. We watched Goblin Rabblemaster go from 75 cents to 3-4 dollars. The deck actually loses a fair amount at rotation and is a metagame call depending on the amount of sweepers. I think if you got in on Rabblemasters cheap you get out now, and in all likelihood don’t get back in unless we see something from Khans that plays nicely with the deck concept or the Rabblemaster himself.

Looking Ahead

A more diverse Top 8 than we expected. Jund seems like the deck best-positioned to stay relevant moving forward into next season, but there are powerful Theros cards littered across the field that will remain heard.

One more thing before I go: Modern Masters 2.

You may have seen Danny’s post earlier in the week about this; there are three Limited events planned next summer on the same weekend, and none have cities determined yet. I’ve always called Modern Masters 2 for Summer 2015, and these dates line up perfectly with a worldwide Modern Masters event extravaganza. I would be extremely surprised if that’s not what we saw.

That means even more that, unlike a lot of times, Standard is where we want to focus our efforts right now. With rotation offering some great chances at games, it becomes even more difficult to hold onto a lot of Modern stock. With every week and every new announcement that goes by I’m more glad than ever I made the decision to lower my Modern holdings and advocated for others to do the same back at the beginning of the summer. It allows me to be extremely excited for next summer without worrying about what I need to get rid of.

The world of Magic finance is constantly changing, and even more so it seems this year. The last few months have been a little slow, as is usually the case in the summer, but it really looks like we’re gearing up for some busy months ahead of us.

 

Thanks for reading,

Corbin Hosler

@Chosler88 on Twitter

Life Imitates Art

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More specifically, sometimes the art can influence the card more than the card designers intended.

Take, for example, one of the most famous stories about Magic art.

In 1993, budding artist Mark Poole was commissioned to do several pieces for Magic the Gathering's trading card game. The set would later be called "Alpha". Most commissions went fine, but the art submitted for a land called Tropical Island wasn't going to work as submitted.

While the Tropical Island is technically there, the birds used to denote the tropical nature of the island were featured too prominently.

Wotc was stuck. They didn't like the painting because it seemed to feature the birds but they had to pay Poole for the art either way. Not wanting to waste it, they cobbled together a quick card that would feature the bird art and it accidentally became one of the most iconic green creatures to this day, despite them constantly saying "we don't want green's iconic creature to be a 0 power flier"

Too bad.

So what are some other examples of the art influencing the card?

Source- Maro's Tumblr

 

Sunweb was supposed to be unable to block white creatures. Too bad the art came back with Sunweb blocking the absolute crap out of a white creature. Better change the card text...and what do you know, the card's actually more fair, now.

Those do not look like squirrels! Waiting in the Weeds was supposed to be the first card to feature Squirrel tokens; a staple token for casuals everywhere. The art director must have had whiskey for lunch because those do not look like squirrels. Cats it is.

Geoff Darrow's art for Goblin Scouts is way too good to throw away. Sorry, Dwarves who were supposed to be generated, making a card that made more sense.

 

What's your favorite "the art influenced the card" story?

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Jason Alt

Jason Alt is a value trader and writer. He is Quiet Speculation's self-appointed web content archivist and co-captain of the interdepartmental dodgeball team. He enjoys craft microbrews and doing things ironically. You may have seen him at magic events; he wears black t-shirts and has a beard and a backpack so he's pretty easy to spot. You can hear him as co-host on the Brainstorm Brewery podcast or catch his articles on Gatheringmagic.com. He is also the Community Manager at BrainstormBrewery.com and writes the odd article there, too. Follow him on Twitter @JasonEAlt unless you don't like having your mind blown.

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More Developments in Wizards vs. Cryptozoic

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We've written about Wizards suing Cryptozoic for the distribution of their game Hex, and today we have more information to add to the ongoing story.

First, the premise. Wizards believes Hex (a game that appears remarkably similar to Magic) infringes on its copyrights. Cryptozoic, which produces Hex, will likely stand on the legal position that game mechanics cannot be copyrighted. While that point is true, Wizards is countering with the claim that basically Hex doesn't borrow from Magic, it literally is Magic with a few words changed.

In the court of common sense, Wizards has a slam-dunk case. There are dozens of examples of Hex cards that function identically to Magic cards, which changes like calling creatures "troops" instead and nothing else changed. Giant Growth is an effect that has a place in a lot of games, but it's different when you literally copy Giant Growth.

Of course, the only courts that matter are the legal ones, and Cryptozoic certainly has a leg to stand on, even if they do eventually lose the case.

If that case ever happens, that is.

Unknown

Cryptozoic's first response to Wizards was that they didn't even have jurisdiction to file in Washington state. Wizards countered this week that because Cryptozoic employees logged onto Magic Online servers based in Renton, they do in fact have jurisdiction. You can read the full amended complaint here. Next up will be a ruling on whether or not Wizards can even sue Cryptozoic with their original motion. If not, they'll be forced to start the process over.

If that sounds long and wearisome, you're on the right track. This is how things get tied up for years in the courts, and this may end up being no different. Regardless of the outcome, I'm pretty sure the lawyers are the only ones winning here.

What do you think?

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Corbin Hosler

Corbin Hosler is a journalist living in Norman, Oklahoma (also known as the hotbed of Magic). He started playing in Shadowmoor and chased the Pro Tour dream for a few years, culminating in a Star City Games Legacy Open finals appearance in 2011 before deciding to turn to trading and speculation full-time. He writes weekly at QuietSpeculation.com and biweekly for LegitMTG. He also cohosts Brainstorm Brewery, the only financial podcast on the net. He can best be reached @Chosler88 on Twitter.

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This Week On Insider: July 27th – August 2nd

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Sylvain Lehoux - While You Are Not Free Drafting M15

With the release of M15 on MTGO, players who had logged into their account had a free draft package waiting in their account. It was mentioned in the QS Forums and a few articles that there is an opportunity to create some new accounts to take advantage of the $10 draft packages.

But in the meantime, Sylvain sets up the landscape for the coming future. Now's a good time to map out your acquisition strategy for the upcoming season:

All these changes aside, release events are usually the opportunity to find good deals among discounted cards that players are willing to let go for few extra Tix. For several cards in Theros block, it might as well be the cheapest prices you’ll see before the new Standard season starts.

I’ll give you my thoughts on the M15 rares next week, as there’s absolutely not rush to acquire them–with very unique exceptions, all of the M15 rares will be on a downward slope until Khans of Tarkir‘s release next October and you are very likely to overpay if you buy them sooner than that.

And Sylvain kept true to his promise, covering his thoughts on M15 this week.


>Read More...


Sigmund Ausfresser - Reactions to the SDCC Announcements

With a slew of Magic: The Gathering announcements being made at the recent SDCC, Sigmund took the opportunity to digest the news and spoilers--both good and bad:

The good news is some of the information spoiled will certainly impact financial values. The bad news is most of the most obvious effects will be negative for prices. But that doesn’t mean there is nowhere to look for opportunities – there just may have to be a little more “speculation” if people hope to get into a bet on the ground floor.

Always sober and honest in his market prospectus, Sigmund reminds us that the market is rarely as simple as "buy this, sell that".


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David Schumann - MTG Stock Watch

Drawing familiar parallels between MTG Finance and the stock market, David does a solid job correlating the common categories and using historic price graphs to identify similarities.

The first thing I’d like to do is break down potential cards into different categories. The normal stock market tends to split them into these main categories:

  • Penny Stocks – cheap, very speculative stocks. The Wolf of Wall Street made his fortune by pushing these onto people and for the most part they lost their money on these picks. This types of stocks are very high risk/high reward (similar to lottery tickets).
  • Blue Chip Stocks – these are stocks of established companies, often considered safe and dependable. They are your Coca-Cola’s and your Microsoft’s.
  • Income Stocks – These are the stocks that give you higher dividends but are usually less likely to grow much in value, similar to putting your money in a bank and getting your interest rate as a return.
  • Growth Stocks – These types of stocks tend to grow and yield a good return, though dividends are usually re-invested into the company.
  • Value Stocks – These are the stocks/securities that are considered undervalued. The market experts believe they are good longer-term investments

As the first example of a Penny Stock, David uses Terra Stomper:

#1 Terra Stomper (+359.2%) - The reason for this guy being the biggest jumper for the penny stock group is that he was included in the green Sample Deck but not in normal M15 packs. However, many stores didn't realize this and in order to fill preorders they were forced to crack Sample Decks or buy up the Zendikar version. Thus his bump was mainly due to misunderstanding.

Terra Stomper stock


>Read More...


Ryan Overturf - Modern Izzet Delver Updates and a PTQ Report (Top 8)

Ryan's favorite Modern deck, Izzet Delver, led him into the Top 8 of a recent PTQ. Always one looking to improve, he offers up his list, his report, and the subsequent changes he would make, having faced this particular metagame.

If you're into Modern and either want to know how to pilot or play against Izzet Delver, Ryan's report and innovations are worth reviewing.


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Paul Nemeth - [Video] AngelPod M15 Update

With the release of the new MTGO client and M15, Paul tackles his updates Modern AngelPod. Did Reclamation Sage make the cut?

There was an error retrieving a chart for Reclamation Sage


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Danny Brown - History Matters

Danny reminds of us of the historical truth to set release timing and prices, proposing opportunities for acquisition and the importance of timely offloading:

I’ve written before about long-term Standard trajectories. If history is to be our guide—and that’s the new hypothesis I’m working under, remember?—then Theros block staples are at their low points right now.

Supply has peaked: M15 is the new hotness, so most of the Theros that will be opened has already been drafted. Demand has bottomed out: it’s summer, so fewer people are playing. Standard is stale. People are getting rid of their rotating RTR cards and many are wrongly trading out Theros as well.

All of that will change. Khans of Tarkir is coming, and when it does, we’re going to see the yearly reinvigorated interest from the community. All of a sudden, no-longer-being-draftedTheros cards will come into sharp demand, especially the ones that go well with what we now know is a set based on the three-color enemy wedges of Tarkir. So which Theroscards are good buys?


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Jason Alt - Holding

Returning from GP Boston, Jason iterates that, even though large events offer a great opportunity to sell inventory, not everything ought to be sold off. He covers some important reasons to hold onto cards.

What are some reasons I would hold onto a card that was in the same box as other cards I ended up selling? Why would I not just try to relieve the stress on my back and ship the entire box?


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Mike Lanigan - Building a Big Green Machine

With M15 live in the wilderness, Mike brews up a Mono-Green Devotion list, circling around the one that captured many players' hearts:

There was an error retrieving a chart for Nissa, Worldwaker

With the inclusions of Chord of Calling and Genesis Hydra, his list is waiting for you to sleeve it up.


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Corbin Hosler - Organized Play Changes and You

Corbin begins by describing the recent, drastic changes to Organized Play:

  • Each advanced store can run one Preliminary PTQ per season, open to anyone who wishes to compete.
  • Stores can choose between running a Standard, Modern, or Sealed Preliminary PTQ during each season, regardless of the format the Pro Tour it leads to is.
  • The winner of a Preliminary PTQ will qualify for the season’s Regional PTQ.
  • The first Preliminary PTQ season will run December 2014–February 2015, and the Regional PTQ will take place a few weeks after the end of the Preliminary PTQ season.
  • Anyone qualified for that season’s Regional PTQ is ineligible to compete in a Preliminary PTQ for that season.

And wraps up his article with takeaways on how these changes will affect you.


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Adam Yurchick - Controlling Modern - Esper Control by Guillaume Wafo-Tapa

Guillaume Wafo-Tapa went undefeated with his Esper Control list on day one at the recent Grand Prix Boston-Worcester, and, with a little more luck on day two, could have been within striking distance of Top 8. Regardless of his placing, this new list has drawn a lot of excitement and attention.

ESPER CONTROL Guillaume Wafo-Tapa

Maindeck

4 Celestial Colonnade
4 Scalding Tarn
3 Marsh Flats
3 Hallowed Fountain
2 Watery Grave
3 Island
2 Plains
4 Drowned Catacomb
1 Tectonic Edge
4 Spell Snare
4 Path to Exile
2 Remand
2 Logic Knot
2 Shadow of Doubt
4 Think Twice
4 Esper Charm
4 Cryptic Command
2 Supreme Verdict
1 Wrath of God
2 Sphinx's Revelation
1 White Sun's Zenith
2 Snapcaster Mage

Sideboard

2 Oust
1 Celestial purge
1 Disenchant
1 Detention Sphere
1 Wrath of God
2 Stony Silence
1 Elspeth, Knight-Errant
1 Elspeth, Sun's Champion
3 Thoughtseize
2 Teferi, Mage of Zhalfir

Adam dissects the list and rationalizes the card choices, offering some valuable insight into how the deck works together.


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The Golgari Charm Heard ‘Round the World

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If you didn’t happen to watch the quarterfinals match between Jackson Cunningham and Yuuki Ichikawa at Pro Tour M15 on Sunday (and honestly, they played really slowly so I can hardly blame you), you missed what was easily the coolest play of the tournament. Watch it starting at 44:15 below, or just read the summary.

Down a game and behind in game two, Ichikawa seemed basically dead. At six life and facing down a 5/5 Advent of the Wurm token and a 2/2 Voice of Resurgence token, his 4/4 Scavenging Ooze could grow to a 6/6 and eat the wurm—but Cunningham was holding Selesnya Charm, which seemingly trumped any chance Ichikawa had of winning the game.

scharm

Cunningham swung in with his 5/5 trampler, and after some thought, Ichikawa slid his 4/4 Ooze over to block. He activated Ooze just once, putting him at seven life and growing it to a 5/5. Cunningham seized his chance to nail the coffin shut and played Selesnya Charm, choosing the “exile target creature with power 5 or greater” mode.

Ichikawa had something else in mind. “Golgari Charm,” he said, to the amazement of everyone watching, as no one knew it was his last card in hand. He chose the mode that gives -1/-1 to all creatures, putting his Ooze back down to a 4/4 and countering Selesnya Charm. Then he safely pumped the Ooze to a 5/5, which allowed it to eat the now 4/4 wurm token. To add insult to injury, Cunningham also lost the Voice token in this exchange.

gcharm

In the following turns, Ichikawa quickly took the out-of-gas Cunningham down from 20 life to zero. Ichikawa ultimately ended up losing the match, but he got the consolation prize of winning the audience’s collective heart—not to mention the $10,000 prize awarded to pro tour quarterfinalists.

What was your favorite play of Pro Tour M15?

 

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