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Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em #20

November 21, 2018 by Edward Eng 7 Comments

Many people have been saying there’s been a little less movement regarding Magic finance during the past few weeks or months. Some people are saying there’s a slowdown. Others are saying it’s normal because the holidays are around the corner and players have less money to spend on Magic cards. Regardless, Magic continues to move full steam ahead. Magic Arena has been gaining a lot of traction lately which in turn is generating more interest in paper Magic. And that’s a good thing.

We also had an action-packed weekend with Grand Prix Milwaukee featuring Legacy, Modern, and Standard and SCG’s Las Vegas Standard Open with even more innovations. And Ultimate Masters spoilers are still rolling in. So even though the lists on MTG Stocks has seemed shorter than usual lately, this still a ton to dive into. Plus, this is a great time to buy into cards you need for tournaments or to fill out your collection as some people turn their attention to other purchases during the holidays.

Article Series Main Focus Points

  • Cards that you should hold on to or pick up for tournaments if you need them before they rise in price. These cards are either seeing increased play in one or more formats, the supply is drying up, or they’re pretty far from the next reprint.
  • Cards that you should consider selling or trading away. Their prices are pretty much at the ceiling owing to inflation from speculation, reprint inevitability in the near future, a lull in tournament play, or some combination of these.

Holds

Fatal Push – FNM Promos

Fatal Push

Aether Revolt

$3.50

channelfireball

37%

Spread

$4.79

tcgplayer_market

Target Purchase Price
$5

This recently rotated out of Standard, so this is a pretty good time to start picking these up. They won’t fall too much further because the card is a multi-format all-star.

This card isn’t getting knocked out of Modern or Legacy by another option anytime soon. It’s just way too efficient. Plus, the printing of Assassin’s Trophy has increased demand for Fatal Push, leaving more people wanting to play Golgari and Jund decks. We’ll probably look back a year from now and see a nice upward trend on this promo.

Card Kingdom has a small amount of these in stock at a $5. And TCGplayer has a few sellers with playsets at that price range too.

Rest in Peace – Return to Ravnica & Masters 25 (Non-Foil)

Rest in Peace

Masters 25

$3.00

cardkingdom

52%

Spread

$4.57

tcgplayer_market

Target Purchase Price
$5

This is starting to creep back up in price. And I’m not sure if we’ll see this in Ultimate Masters since it was just reprinted in Masters 25. This is probably one of the most efficient sideboard cards of all time. It does a very good job at trying to hose any deck that’s trying to abuse the graveyard, particularly Dredge which is still on the prowl. Take a look at Jonathan Zhang’s winning list from SCG Las Vegas.

Modern: Dredge by Jonathan Zhang

Creatures (18)
  • 4 Bloodghast
  • 2 Golgari Thug
  • 4 Narcomoeba
  • 4 Prized Amalgam
  • 4 Stinkweed Imp
Non-Creature Spells (23)
  • 4 Shriekhorn
  • 1 Darkblast
  • 4 Cathartic Reunion
  • 2 Conflagrate
  • 4 Creeping Chill
  • 4 Faithless Looting
  • 4 Life from the Loam
Lands (19)
  • 2 Mountain
  • 2 Blood Crypt
  • 4 Bloodstained Mire
  • 1 City of Brass
  • 4 Copperline Gorge
  • 1 Gemstone Mine
  • 3 Scalding Tarn
  • 2 Stomping Ground
Sideboard (15)
  • 2 Damping Sphere
  • 1 Leyline of the Void
  • 2 Ancient Grudge
  • 1 Assassin’s Trophy
  • 1 Darkblast
  • 3 Lightning Axe
  • 3 Nature’s Claim
  • 1 Conflagrate
  • 1 Thoughtseize

The reprinting of Life from the Loam in Ultimate Masters will also provide a bit of sorely needed supply to players looking for this card to play in Modern and Legacy. And don’t forget about Damping Sphere foils, which I mentioned in article #18.

Fire // Ice – FNM Promos

Fire

Commander

$0.02

channelfireball

2850%

Spread

$0.59

channelfireball

Target Purchase Price
Under $5

Continuing on Ultimate Masters, this just got reprinted as a common, which is going to make it legal in Pauper. Some people are still saying Pauper is dead. But Magic Online still has a healthy showing of League and Challenge tournaments, so I think it’s pretty far from dead. Plus, this is still a great way for new players to enjoy competitive tournament play at an affordable price, especially as a segway from Magic Arena. Take a look at SIKOSLOVAKE’s Izzet Delver deck for reference. This might be a nice deck for Fire // Ice when it becomes legal.

Pauper: Izzet Delver by SIKOSLOVAKE

Creatures (19)
  • 3 Ninja of the Deep Hours
  • 4 Augur of Bolas
  • 4 Delver of Secrets
  • 4 Faerie Miscreant
  • 4 Spellstutter Sprite
Non-Creature Spells (22)
  • 1 Dispel
  • 2 Gush
  • 2 Lightning Bolt
  • 3 Brainstorm
  • 4 Counterspell
  • 4 Skred
  • 2 Ponder
  • 4 Preordain
Lands (19)
  • 2 Ash Barrens
  • 3 Terramorphic Expanse
  • 4 Snow-Covered Mountain
  • 10 Snow-Covered Island
Sideboard (15)
  • 2 Swirling Sandstorm
  • 2 Stormbound Geist
  • 4 Pyroblast
  • 3 Hydroblast
  • 2 Electrickery
  • 1 Echoing Truth
  • 1 Annul

Kambal, Consul of Allocation – Kaladesh (Foil)

Kambal, Consul of Allocation

Kaladesh

$1.80

cardkingdom

149%

Spread

$4.49

cardkingdom

Target Purchase Price
$5

Here’s another card that just rotated out of Standard and also has a decent showing in Modern plus scattered play in Legacy.

And with the printing of Arclight Phoenix, this could start to see an uptick in play via Mardu decks. Take a look at Roope Metsas’s 17th place deck at Grand Prix Atlanta.

Modern: Mardu by Roope Metsas

Creatures (10)
  • 2 Arclight Phoenix
  • 4 Bedlam Reveler
  • 4 Young Pyromancer
Non-Creature Spells (30)
  • 1 Terminate
  • 2 Fatal Push
  • 4 Lightning Bolt
  • 1 Dreadbore
  • 2 Collective Brutality
  • 3 Thoughtseize
  • 4 Lingering Souls
  • 4 Inquisition of Kozilek
  • 4 Faithless Looting
  • 2 Blood Moon
  • 1 Nahiri, the Harbinger
  • 1 Liliana of the Veil
  • 1 Liliana, the Last Hope
Lands (20)
  • 1 Sacred Foundry
  • 1 Plains
  • 2 Blood Crypt
  • 2 Mountain
  • 2 Swamp
  • 4 Marsh Flats
  • 4 Bloodstained Mire
  • 4 Blackcleave Cliffs
Sideboard (15)
  • 1 Worship
  • 2 Stony Silence
  • 2 Pithing Needle
  • 3 Molten Rain
  • 3 Leyline of the Void
  • 2 Kambal, Consul of Allocation
  • 1 Grim Lavamancer
  • 1 Experimental Frenzy

As mentioned above, Fatal Push also shows up in this list. And don’t forget about foil Molten Rain, which I mentioned in article #17.

Recent Sells

Runaway Steam-Kin – Guilds of Ravnica (Non-Foil)

Runaway Steam-Kin

Guilds of Ravnica

$2.00

strikezone

75%

Spread

$3.49

cardkingdom

Sold Price
$7.50 (store credit)

I mentioned these as recent sells in article #15. And I made a small profit on these. But I still had a bunch left. I didn’t want to keep these any longer as I didn’t see the potential for these to spike in the near future since it hasn’t really taken off in Modern.

It’s still possible that this could be broken, but that still remains to be seen. Thus, I decided to dump the rest of these at a loss in an effort to make up the difference somewhere else. I’m looking at a box of Ultimate Masters as a possibility to spend the store credit on. I’m still hearing mixed reviews regarding the expected value of a box, which is why I haven’t pulled the trigger yet.

However, this is still a card to keep an eye on as the price continues to drop. And I think a target buy price for foils could be in the $5 range within the next few months.

Folds

Mist-Cloak Herald – Rivals of Ixalan (Non-Foil)

Mist-Cloaked Herald

Rivals of Ixalan

$0.05

cardkingdom

460%

Spread

$0.28

tcgplayer_market

Target Sell Price
$0.05+

I mentioned Legion’s Landing in article #19 as a Fold. And I didn’t take advantage of that. Card Kingdom was buying these for $7.80 but now they’re their buylist price is only $6.50. Yet, I’m still thinking about selling them.

Mist-Cloak Herald is another card I was going to sell. And the buylist price dropped from $0.09 to $0.07. You snooze; you lose.

But I’ll also dump these if I sell the Legion’s Landings. Seven cents for a common is incredible!

Recent Buys

Ravenous Trap – Zendikar (Foil)

Ravenous Trap

Zendikar

$10.00

cardkingdom

100%

Spread

$19.99

cardkingdom

Purchased Price
$5ish

This was another card I mentioned in article #19. And I decided to get a playset since Arclight Phoenix decks are becoming more optimized and innovative in Modern. Plus, this is a decent sideboard option to combat Dredge like the aforementioned Rest in Peace.

There aren’t too many of these left on TCGplayer, so if you want original foil versions of these, your window is probably closing pretty quickly. Otherwise, you’ll probably have to wait a while for a reprint if they don’t show up in Ultimate Masters.

Public Spreadsheet

Stay up to the minute on what I’m looking at on a daily basis via the Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em – Public MTG Finance Spreadsheet. Don’t forget to bookmark it, because I update it on the fly. This way you can see what’s going on as the market moves and before articles about certain cards are published.

Summary

Holds

  • Fatal Push – FNM Promos
  • Rest in Peace – Return to Ravnica & Masters 25 (Non-Foil)
  • Kambal, Consul of Allocation – Kaladesh (Foil)
  • Fire // Ice – FNM Promos

Recent Sells

  • Runaway Steam-Kin – Guilds of Ravnica (Foil)

Folds

  • Mist-Cloaked Herald – Rivals of Ixalan (Non-Foil)

Recent Buys

  • Ravenous Trap – Zendikar (Foil)

Watchlist

  • Runaway Steam-Kin – Guilds of Ravnica (Foil)

Public Spreadsheet

Hold ‘Em & Fold ‘Em Spreadsheet

Let me know what you think in the comments below. Agree? Disagree? Why? You can also connect with me on Twitter at @edwardeng. I’m also open to suggestions on how to make this series more valuable. Hit me up.

Have fun,
Eddie

Post categories: Buying, Finance, Free, Free Finance, Legacy, Modern, MTGO, Pauper, Predictions, Selling, Standard


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Edward Eng

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Filed Under: Buying, Finance, Free, Free Finance, Legacy, Modern, MTGO, Pauper, Predictions, Selling, Standard

« Daily Stock Watch – Ultimate Masters Watch Edition Part 1
Daily Stock Watch – Ultimate Masters Edition Part Two »

Comments

  1. David R says

    November 21, 2018 at 2:07 pm

    The Pauper Delver deck is mislabeled– should be UB Delver, not Grixis Delver. I don’t think I have ever seen a three-color Delver deck in Pauper. (Only a few Pauper decks can afford to run three colors, usually Affinity or Tron, due to being able to benefit from cards such as Prophetic Prism, Springleaf Drum, and Chromatic Star.)

    This means that Fire/Ice’s potential home is possibly limited only to UR Delver decks, but it might well earn a spot there.

    Reply
    • Edward Eng says

      November 21, 2018 at 2:38 pm

      You’re correct, David. Thanks for the note. I updated that section.

      Reply
  2. Chris Nilges says

    November 27, 2018 at 5:43 pm

    Hey Edward just got 4 Rest in Peace in some Masters 25 I opened what price do you think it can get to?

    Reply
    • Edward Eng says

      November 27, 2018 at 7:57 pm

      It might reach $10 but not 100% sure. Looks like it’s still on the rise, so that’s a good sign towards reaching $10.

      But if you need them, keep them since they’re highly playable and usually in multiples. If not, it looks like Card Kingdom is buying them for $5 right now.

      Reply
      • Chris Nilges says

        November 27, 2018 at 9:03 pm

        Thanks for taking the time to answer me! Yea I was thinking $8 – $10 and I’m going to hold. From experience I can tell you Masters 25 probably won’t be opened too much as the EV is sometimes hard to get.

        Reply
        • Edward Eng says

          November 28, 2018 at 12:11 am

          Anytime! Thanks for posting your question. Yeah, it doesn’t seem like Masters 25 was too popular. And Ultimate Masters will be the last Masters set for a while.

          Just be careful if you’re only in it to make a profit. It could easily get reprinted in Standard again or some supplemental set. If that’s the case, take the profit now or soon if there is some for you before that opportunity bursts.

          If you just need them to play with, then it’s pretty good that you got them now before they spike more.

          Reply
        • Edward Eng says

          November 28, 2018 at 4:14 pm

          RIP maindeck in Modern. LOL.

          Reply

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